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     Wed. Jul. 2, 2003

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Tue. Jun. 18, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $99.7700 (1.26%) ($98.5700 - $99.7900) on Wed. Jul. 2, 2003.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.01% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $99.7700(1.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SPY advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SPY declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(91%)    IWM(89%)    XLK(89%)    XLY(87%)    EEM(82%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -0.505% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-33%)    SHY(-21%)    REMX(1%)    LQD(17%)    OIH(64%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.505% (StdDev 1.01%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   1%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $98.48(1.31%)
10 Day Moving Average  $98.62(1.17%)
20 Day Moving Average  $99.37(0.4%)
To recent high  -1.9%
To recent low  14.6%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  37.8000 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. SPY price fluctuates within 1.24% (three month std-dev: 1.01%) daily (68% of days).

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