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     Thu. Jun. 12, 2003

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Tue. Jun. 18, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $100.6100 (0.31%) ($99.6200 - $100.9000) on Thu. Jun. 12, 2003.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.02% (three month average)
RSI   85
Latest Price   $100.6100(0.31%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SPY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SPY advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(91%)    IWM(89%)    XLK(89%)    XLY(87%)    EEM(82%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -0.51% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-33%)    SHY(-21%)    REMX(1%)    LQD(17%)    OIH(64%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.51% (StdDev 1.02%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   -0.1%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $99.53(1.09%)
10 Day Moving Average  $98.88(1.75%)
20 Day Moving Average  $96.63(4.12%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  16.9%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Average Volume   million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  1.5
One Month Target Price  > $100.61
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $95.48
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  37.8000 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -6.7% away from the target price of 100.61.
$. SPY price fluctuates within 2.73% (three month std-dev: 1.02%) daily (68% of days).

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