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     Mon. Mar. 4, 2024

Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 10, 2014 - Tue. May. 14, 2024)

(Semiconductor sector etf)

SMH latest price $224.1100 (1.61%) ($222.7300 - $227.1300) on Mon. Mar. 4, 2024.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.78% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $224.1100(1.61%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SMH advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SMH advances 3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SMH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(87%)    IVW(82%)    SPY(75%)    IWO(62%)    IWM(50%)  
Factors Impacting SMH price  SMH will decline at least -0.89% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VXX(-57%)    VIXM(-43%)    UUP(-23%)    TLT(1%)    XLE(13%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.89% (StdDev 1.78%)
Hourly BBV   1.2 ()
Intraday Trend   0%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $214.75(4.36%)
10 Day Moving Average  $210.22(6.61%)
20 Day Moving Average  $205.17(9.23%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  42.3%
Market Cap  $N/A