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     Mon. Jul. 17, 2023

Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 10, 2014 - Tue. May. 21, 2024)

(Semiconductor sector etf)

SMH latest price $159.9800 (1.93%) ($159.9800 - $159.9800) on Mon. Jul. 17, 2023.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  6.54% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $159.9800(1.93%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SMH advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SMH advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Growth stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SMH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(88%)    XLK(88%)    FIVG(86%)    BOTZ(85%)    VUG(84%)  
Factors Impacting SMH price  SMH will decline at least -3.27% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VXX(-52%)    VIXM(-44%)    TBT(-24%)    UUP(-20%)    USO(0%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -3.27% (StdDev 6.54%)
Hourly BBV   1.8 ()
Intraday Trend   0%
  
 

  


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5 Day Moving Average  $156.17(2.44%)
10 Day Moving Average  $153.59(4.16%)
20 Day Moving Average  $151.99(5.26%)
To recent high  -36.8%
To recent low  30.1%
Market Cap  $N/A