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     Thu. Jul. 7, 2022

Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 10, 2014 - Thu. May. 30, 2024)

(Semiconductor sector etf)

SMH latest price $207.5500 (4.64%) ($203.0200 - $207.5500) on Thu. Jul. 7, 2022.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  2.9% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $207.5500(4.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SMH advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SMH declines -2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SMH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(53%)    FIVG(50%)    IVW(49%)    SPY(47%)    IWF(46%)  
Factors Impacting SMH price  SMH will decline at least -1.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
  UUP(-14%)    TBT(-11%)    VIXM(-9%)    VXX(-3%)    UNG(-2%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -1.45% (StdDev 2.9%)
Hourly BBV   1.5 ()
Intraday Trend   0%
  
 

  


1 - 5 Day Possible Target  $198.65(-4.29%)
Resistance Level  $210.59
5 Day Moving Average  $200.34(3.6%)
10 Day Moving Average  $205.39(1.05%)
20 Day Moving Average  $210.59(-1.44%)
To recent high  -18.2%
To recent low  6%
Market Cap  $N/A