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     Wed. Apr. 22, 2020

Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 10, 2014 - Tue. Jun. 4, 2024)

(Semiconductor sector etf)

SMH latest price $130.6450 (5.81%) ($127.0500 - $131.2400) on Wed. Apr. 22, 2020.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  4.75% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $130.6450(5.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SMH advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SMH advances 4.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SMH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  FIVG(69%)    QQQ(68%)    IVW(65%)    IWF(65%)    SPY(62%)  
Factors Impacting SMH price  SMH will decline at least -2.375% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-35%)    UUP(-21%)    VXX(-16%)    IGOV(-3%)    TBT(-2%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -2.375% (StdDev 4.75%)
Hourly BBV   0.9 ()
Intraday Trend   0%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $129.3(1.04%)
10 Day Moving Average  $128.18(1.92%)
20 Day Moving Average  $123.04(6.18%)
To recent high  -14.2%
To recent low  29.4%
Market Cap  $N/A