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     Wed. Jul. 11, 2018

Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 10, 2014 - Wed. May. 29, 2024)

(Semiconductor sector etf)

SMH latest price $101.9817 (-2.75%) ($101.9817 - $103.5172) on Wed. Jul. 11, 2018.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.39% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $101.9817(-2.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SMH advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SMH declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SMH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(74%)    IVW(72%)    IWF(72%)    XLK(70%)    SPY(69%)  
Factors Impacting SMH price  SMH will decline at least -0.695% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VXX(-18%)    UUP(-16%)    VIXM(-9%)    TLT(-9%)    IPO(-6%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.695% (StdDev 1.39%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   -1.2%
  
 

  


Resistance Level  $103.39
5 Day Moving Average  $103.05(-1.04%)
10 Day Moving Average  $101.61(0.37%)
20 Day Moving Average  $103.39(-1.36%)
To recent high  -6.9%
To recent low  7.5%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. SMH price fluctuates within 2.83% (three month std-dev: 1.39%) daily (68% of days).

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