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     Tue. Apr. 17, 2018

Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 10, 2014 - Thu. May. 30, 2024)

(Semiconductor sector etf)

SMH latest price $103.9930 (1.83%) ($102.6538 - $104.1402) on Tue. Apr. 17, 2018.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.96% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $103.9930(1.83%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SMH advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SMH advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SMH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(74%)    IVW(72%)    IWF(72%)    XLK(70%)    SPY(69%)  
Factors Impacting SMH price  SMH will decline at least -0.98% in a week (0% probabilities).
  UUP(-16%)    VIXM(-10%)    TLT(-9%)    DRIV(-7%)    IGOV(-4%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.98% (StdDev 1.96%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   1.2%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $102.43(1.53%)
10 Day Moving Average  $101.21(2.75%)
20 Day Moving Average  $102.21(1.74%)
To recent high  -6.3%
To recent low  11.3%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. SMH price fluctuates within 2.85% (three month std-dev: 1.96%) daily (68% of days).

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