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     Thu. Feb. 5, 2015

Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 10, 2014 - Fri. May. 31, 2024)

(Semiconductor sector etf)

SMH latest price $51.1893 (1%) ($50.5788 - $51.1893) on Thu. Feb. 5, 2015.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.07% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $51.1893(1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SMH advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SMH declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SMH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(75%)    XLK(72%)    SPY(70%)    VT(68%)    XLY(64%)  
Factors Impacting SMH price  SMH will decline at least -0.535% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-20%)    TLT(-12%)    UUP(-10%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-3%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.535% (StdDev 1.07%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.3%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $50.27(1.83%)
10 Day Moving Average  $50.63(1.1%)
20 Day Moving Average  $50.64(1.08%)
To recent high  -2.5%
To recent low  6.9%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. SMH price fluctuates within 1.42% (three month std-dev: 1.07%) daily (68% of days).

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