| SMH latest price $44.7899 (-1.19%) ($44.7713 - $45.8391) on Wed. Oct. 22, 2014. |
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| Trend Analysis and Forecast |
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| Average Daily Percentage Swing | 1.45% (three month average) |
| RSI | 43 |
| Latest Price | $44.7899(-1.19%) |
| Stocks Behave Similarly | Similar Stock List |
| Top Holdings | Top Holding List |
| Daily Trend | SMH advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days. |
| Weekly Trend | SMH declines -1.9% a week on average for past two weeks. |
| Market Behavior | Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap. |
| Correlated ETFs | Broad market will support SMH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(75%) XLK(72%) SPY(70%) VT(68%) XLY(64%) |
| Factors Impacting SMH price | SMH will decline at least -0.725% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%) TLT(-12%) UUP(-9%) IGOV(-6%) SHY(-3%) |
| Explanation | The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market. |
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| Relative Volatility | (options are extremely cheap) |
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| Market Trend Strength | -0.725% (StdDev 1.45%) |
| Hourly BBV | 0 () |
| Intraday Trend | -1.7% |
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