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     Tue. May. 27, 2014

Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 10, 2014 - Wed. May. 29, 2024)

(Semiconductor sector etf)

SMH latest price $42.8494 (1.43%) ($42.3851 - $42.8494) on Tue. May. 27, 2014.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.06% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $42.8494(1.43%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SMH advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SMH advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SMH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(75%)    XLK(72%)    SPY(70%)    VT(68%)    IWM(63%)  
Factors Impacting SMH price  SMH will decline at least -0.53% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-21%)    TLT(-13%)    UUP(-10%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-4%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.53% (StdDev 1.06%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.7%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $42.06(1.88%)
10 Day Moving Average  $41.8(2.51%)
20 Day Moving Average  $41.61(2.98%)
To recent high  -0.3%
To recent low  6.4%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. SMH price fluctuates within 1.03% (three month std-dev: 1.06%) daily (68% of days).

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