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     Thu. Oct. 21, 2010

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 31, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)

QQQ latest price $51.2900 (0.2%) ($50.7900 - $51.7100) on Thu. Oct. 21, 2010.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.07% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $51.2900(0.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  QQQ advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  QQQ advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  SPY(92%)    XLK(91%)    XLY(84%)    IWM(79%)    EEM(73%)  
Factors Impacting QQQ price  QQQ will decline at least -0.535% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-24%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-4%)    IGOV(2%)    GLD(4%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.535% (StdDev 1.07%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   -0.4%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $51.22(0.14%)
10 Day Moving Average  $50.7(1.16%)
20 Day Moving Average  $50.01(2.56%)
To recent high  -0.4%
To recent low  18%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Average Volume   million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  1.5
One Month Target Price  > $51.29
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $48.55
 
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. The price is -0.4% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -7.3% away from the target price of 51.29.
$. QQQ price fluctuates within 1.76% (three month std-dev: 1.07%) daily (68% of days).

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