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     Fri. Dec. 26, 2008

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)

PCY latest price $21.8000 (2.73%) ($20.4000 - $21.8000) on Fri. Dec. 26, 2008.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  5.62% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $21.8000(2.73%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  PCY advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  PCY advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  LQD(51%)    JNK(48%)    EEM(43%)    EWG(42%)    PEJ(42%)  
Factors Impacting PCY price  PCY will decline at least -2.81% in a week (0% probabilities).
  SHY(3%)    TLT(10%)    GLD(18%)    USO(21%)    TIP(25%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -2.81% (StdDev 5.62%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   5%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $21.2(2.83%)
10 Day Moving Average  $20.38(6.97%)
20 Day Moving Average  $20.1(8.46%)
To recent high  -19.3%
To recent low  59.7%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. PCY price fluctuates within 5.17% (three month std-dev: 5.62%) daily (68% of days).

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