Trading Signals: MCD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 12, 2022

Trading Signals: MCD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(McDonalds)
MCD latest price $262.1800 (1.12%) ($259.5500 - $262.5100) on Fri. Aug. 12, 2022.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.28% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $262.1800(1.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MCD advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MCD advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MCD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPLV(68%)    DIA(62%)    IVE(57%)    IWD(54%)    SDY(54%)
Factors Impacting MCD price   MCD will decline at least -0.64% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-10%)    TBT(-9%)    SHY(-3%)    VXX(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.64% (StdDev 1.28%)
Hourly BBV 1.2 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $259.94(0.86%)
10 Day Moving Average   $260.65(0.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $258.71(1.34%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   14.5%
Market Cap   $195.088b

McDonald's Corp. engages in the operation and franchise of McDonald's restaurants. It operates through the following segments: U.S.; International Lead Markets; High Growth Markets; Foundational Markets and Corporate. The U.S. segment manages to increase customer awareness for its global mobile application, mobile order and pay functionality, and delivery platform. The International Lead Markets segment focuses in expanding the McCafÃ© coffee brand and the ongoing deployment of EOTF restaurants across the segment. The High Growth Markets segment involves in the ideas around design, digital, people, menu innovation, and value from other markets to enhance the customer experience. The Foundational Markets and Corporate segment refers commitment to run great restaurants and increase convenient to customers, including drive-thru and delivery. The company was founded by Raymond Albert Kroc on April 15, 1955 and is headquartered in Oak Brook, IL.

$. MCD price fluctuates within 1.5% (three month std-dev: 1.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 14 Average positive next day return: 0.99%(57%) Average negative next day return: -0.59%(43%) Sample size 14 Average positive next three day return: 1.53%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.95%(50%) Sample size 14 Average positive next weekly return: 1.14%(57%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.78%(43%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20220912

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_12_2022	249.46	258.71	260.65	259.94	260.58	261.03	262.18(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	3	20	1	9	1.53	70%	0.09	43.3	1.28%	1.2	0.9	70	-2.2
2	Aug_11_2022	249.23	258.35	260.72	259.35	259.91	261.5	259.28(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	59	50	64	44	2.01	70%	0.1	40.5	1.27%	-1	0.2	60	-1.8
3	Aug_10_2022	248.99	258.04	261.13	259.62	259.38	260.14	261.36(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	75	20	77	69	2.97	70%	0.1	41.5	1.27%	0.9	0.8	63	-1.6
4	Aug_9_2022	248.75	257.61	260.91	259.76	259.11	258.32	260.06(1.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-15	-30	-31	35	2.31	70%	0.1	42.9	1.27%	1.5	0.6	60	-1.2
5	Aug_8_2022	248.5	257.2	260.66	259.96	259.88	258.63	256.8(-0.94%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-60	-30	-86	17	2.25	69%	0.08	43.6	1.28%	-1.1	-0.1	52	-1.8

6	Aug_5_2022	248.31	257.04	260.17	261.45	261.06	259.9	259.23(-0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-53	-40	-81	33	1.82	65%	0.09	53.9	1.27%	-0.8	0.5	62	-1.3
7	Aug_4_2022	248.09	256.75	259.71	262.28	262.22	261.13	260.64(-0.55%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-33	-30	-60	48	2.09	68%	0.09	65.7	1.3%	-0.7	0.9	59	-1
8	Aug_3_2022	247.86	256.36	259.04	262.84	262.86	262.23	262.09(0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-10	-20	-34	64	2.31	68%	0.13	75.7	1.37%	-0.7	1.3	64	-2.8
9	Aug_2_2022	247.55	255.82	258.29	262.2	262.74	263.32	261.05(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	44	20	29	87	2.37	68%	0.15	84.7	1.37%	-2.2	1.3	63	-1.4
10	Aug_1_2022	247.19	255.36	257.82	261.41	261.32	263.5	264.23(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	122	60	120	127	2.38	68%	0.15	87.5	1.36%	1	2.2	69	-2.7

11	Jul_29_2022	246.81	254.76	256.61	258.64	258.81	262.16	263.37(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	168	90	183	124	2.65	65%	0.17	86.3	1.37%	1	2.4	64	-2.8
12	Jul_28_2022	246.38	253.92	255.7	256.76	256	259.14	263.46(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	163	80	181	108	2.85	67%	0.17	82.3	1.4%	2	2.9	64	-1.3
13	Jul_27_2022	245.96	253.11	254.55	254.76	254.18	255.47	258.89(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	102	30	115	63	2.72	66%	0.15	88	1.43%	1.4	2.1	60	-0.7
14	Jul_26_2022	245.59	252.33	253.89	253.9	253.26	252.86	257.09(2.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	-6	-20	-10	7	5.24	63%	0.14	72.4	1.43%	1.3	1.5	60	0.3
15	Jul_25_2022	245.25	251.83	253.32	253.78	253.72	252.89	250.38(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-36	-20	-45	-9	2.86	61%	0.06	91.3	1.4%	-1.9	-0.5	47	1.4

16	Jul_22_2022	245.1	251.73	253.64	254.19	254.44	253.66	253.99(0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-25	-20	-33	1	2.23	60%	0.07	110.8	1.4%	-0.7	0.7	53	0.8
17	Jul_21_2022	244.92	251.24	253.57	254.4	254.48	254.54	253.47(-0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-18	0	-29	14	2.06	60%	0.05	107.5	1.42%	-1.3	0.6	66	1.1
18	Jul_20_2022	244.79	250.74	253.52	254.22	254.74	255.22	254.58(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	52	20	52	53	2.18	60%	0.06	103.1	1.42%	-0.4	1	65	0.5
19	Jul_19_2022	244.64	250.03	253.21	253.84	253.71	254.41	256.5(1.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	37	20	31	55	2.18	62%	0.05	90.7	1.42%	1.8	1.4	76	0.6