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     Thu. Jul. 3, 2014

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Tue. May. 28, 2024)

(iShares Russell 2000)

IWM latest price $119.8200 (0.6%) ($119.2500 - $119.9100) on Thu. Jul. 3, 2014.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $119.8200(0.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  IWM advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  IWM advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  SPY(87%)    PEJ(83%)    VT(83%)    XAR(79%)    XLF(78%)  
Factors Impacting IWM price  IWM will decline at least -0.5% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-31%)    TLT(-23%)    UUP(-10%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-7%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.5% (StdDev 1%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.2%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $119.22(0.5%)
10 Day Moving Average  $118.49(1.12%)
20 Day Moving Average  $117.56(1.92%)
To recent high  -0.2%
To recent low  10%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Average Volume   million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  1.6
One Month Target Price  > $119.82
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $113.83
 
 

$. The price is -0.2% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's 0% away from the target price of 119.82.
$. IWM price fluctuates within 1.19% (three month std-dev: 1%) daily (68% of days).

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