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     Mon. Jun. 1, 2009



Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 27, 2020)

(iShares Russell 2000)

IWM latest price $52.1300 (3.91%) ($51.1000 - $54.5500) on Mon. Jun. 1, 2009.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Breakout
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  IWM advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  IWM advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support IWM advance at 2.5% a week (90% probability)
  SPY(91%)    XLY(88%)    PEJ(86%)    QQQ(83%)    VGK(81%)  
Factors Impacting IWM price  IWM will advance at least 2.1% in a week (28% probabilities).
  TLT(-43%)    SHY(-19%)    TIP(-13%)    EDOC(-9%)    FEX(-6%)  
Explanation   The rally is sustainable and supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Buy the breakout
 
Valuation to SPY   -0.5
 
Relative Volatility   -0.9 (options are cheap)
 
Hourly BBV   0
Hourly Trend   0% [$0(0), $0(0)]
Last Hour Trend   0% [$0, $0]


IWM Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  88%
Bullish Price Move  3.1%
Bearish Probability  13%
Bearish Price Move  -3.1%
Recommended Position Size  24%
Latest Price  $52.1300
Next Hour Price  $52.13(0%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $52.19(0.12%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $51.59 - $52.45
Support Level  $49.44
5 Day Moving Average  $50.13(3.99%)
10 Day Moving Average  $49.48(5.36%)
20 Day Moving Average  $49.44(5.44%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  51.6%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
Average Volume  53.24 million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  0
One Month Target Price  > $52.13
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $44.13
 


  
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -20.9% away from the target price of 52.13.
$. IWM price fluctuates within 2.43% (three month std-dev: 3.07%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. IWM price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20090701

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Jun_1_20090%-51.6% 1%,0.4(0.2)1.7%,0.7(0.6)1.8%,0.700%0.1%2.2000.8NAN%070.18   52.13(3.91%)51.1-54.55Breakout 52.19(0.12%)51.59-52.4555
2May_29_2009-1.6%-45.9% 0.6%,0.3(0)0.2%,0.1(0.3)0.8%,0.400%-0.5%0.9000.7NAN%051.67   50.17(2.05%)49.08-50.27N/A 49.96(-0.41%)49.61-50.2545
3May_28_2009-3.6%-42.9% 0.6%,0.3(-0.1)-0.5%,-0.2(0.3)0.1%,000%-0.8%-0000.7NAN%058.83   49.16(0.12%)48.1-49.75N/A 49.16(0%)49.16-49.1650
4May_27_2009-3.7%-42.8% 0.8%,0.4(-0)-1.2%,-0.6(0.1)-0.1%,-0.100%-1.1%-0.1000.7NAN%048.21   49.1(-1.94%)49.01-50.37Downtrend 49.07(-0.06%)49.05-49.1345
5May_26_2009-1.8%-45.6% 0.9%,0.4(-0)-1.3%,-0.6(0.1)0.3%,0.100%-0.9%0.9000.7NAN%073.48   50.07(4.77%)47.32-50.16Downtrend 49.97(-0.2%)50.01-49.8748
 
6May_22_2009-6.3%-39% 1%,0.4(0)-1.5%,-0.6(-0.1)0%,000%-0.6%-1000.8NAN%038.44   47.79(-1.04%)47.35-48.66Correction 47.12(-1.4%)46.98-47.6738
7May_21_2009-5.3%-40.4% 0.9%,0.4(0)-1.2%,-0.5(-0)0.1%,0.100%-0%-0.5000.8NAN%049.31   48.29(-1.29%)47.45-48.7Correction 47.69(-1.24%)47.56-48.2350
8May_20_2009-4.1%-42.3% 0.9%,0.3(0)-1.1%,-0.4(0)0.7%,0.300%0.3%0000.9NAN%048.02   48.92(-0.93%)48.85-50.69Downtrend 48.88(-0.09%)48.85-48.9253
9May_19_2009-3.2%-43.6% 0.8%,0.3(-0.1)-1.2%,-0.4(-0.2)-0.1%,-000%0.8%0.4000.9NAN%055.71   49.38(0.04%)48.8-49.96Correction 49.12(-0.53%)48.96-49.3153
10May_18_2009-3.2%-43.5% 0.9%,0.3(0)-0.7%,-0.2(-0.3)-0.4%,-0.100%1.3%0.5001NAN%055.52   49.36(3.35%)48.11-49.57Correction 49.02(-0.69%)48.74-49.3660
 
11May_15_2009-6.4%-38.9% 0.9%,0.3(-0.2)0.2%,0.1(-0.3)-1.3%,-0.400%1.9%-0.5001NAN%053.89   47.76(-0.38%)47.28-48.42Downtrend Reversal 47.16(-1.26%)47.01-47.7656
12May_14_2009-6%-39.4% 1.4%,0.4(-0.2)1.2%,0.4(-0.2)-0.6%,-0.200%2.1%-0.4001NAN%072.81   47.94(1.4%)47.06-48.75Uptrend Consolidation 48.15(0.44%)48.17-48.0954
13May_13_2009-7.3%-37.5% 1.9%,0.6(-0.2)1.8%,0.5(-0.4)-1.3%,-0.400%2.4%-0.7001.1NAN%068.82   47.28(-4.58%)47.21-48.81Uptrend Consolidation 47.63(0.74%)47.68-47.4956
14May_12_2009-2.9%-44.1% 2.6%,0.7(-0.1)3%,0.8(-0.1)-0.3%,-0.100%2.9%0.7001.1NAN%049.45   49.55(-1.41%)48.71-50.82Uptrend 49.9(0.71%)49.28-50.1765
15May_11_2009-1.5%-46.1% 2.8%,0.8(-0.1)3.4%,0.9(-0.2)-0.1%,-000%2.9%1.2001.2NAN%040.06   50.26(-1.47%)49.79-50.66Uptrend 50.63(0.74%)49.81-50.9869
 
16May_8_20090%-48.3% 3%,0.8(0)3.9%,1.1(0.1)0.9%,0.200%2.7%1.8001.1NAN%063.47   51.01(3.47%)49.64-51.16Growing Uptrend 51.61(1.17%)50.38-51.9178
17May_7_2009-2.6%-43.4% 2.9%,0.9(-0)3.4%,1.1(0.1)0.3%,0.100%2.4%1001NAN%067.58   49.3(-2.36%)48.89-51.4Uptrend 49.71(0.83%)48.98-50.0257
18May_6_2009-0.2%-46.8% 3%,0.8(0)3.2%,0.9(0)0.6%,0.200%2.5%1.7001.2NAN%087.55   50.49(0.28%)49.5-51.22Uptrend 50.82(0.66%)49.9-51.2263
19May_5_2009-0.5%-46.4% 3%,0.8(0)3.1%,0.8(0.1)1.3%,0.300%2.5%1.8001.2NAN%058.36   50.35(-0.49%)49.63-50.61Growing Uptrend 50.9(1.1%)49.68-51.2168
20May_4_20090%-47.1% 3%,0.8(0)2.7%,0.8(0.3)1.5%,0.400%2.3%2.2001.1NAN%047.53   50.6(3.65%)49.07-50.7Breakout 50.88(0.55%)49.83-51.3371
 
21May_1_2009-0.3%-42% 2.9%,0.9(0)1.7%,0.5(0)0.5%,0.200%1.7%1.5001NAN%064.53   48.82(0.62%)48.41-49.3Uptrend 49.01(0.38%)48.36-49.2859
22Apr_30_2009-0.9%-41.1% 2.8%,0.9(0.1)1.7%,0.5(-0.1)0.7%,0.200%1.9%1.5001NAN%067.81   48.52(-0.92%)48.45-50.24Uptrend 48.7(0.37%)48.08-48.9658
23Apr_29_20090%-42.4% 2.6%,0.8(0.1)1.9%,0.6(-0)0.9%,0.300%2.2%1.8001.1NAN%079.88   48.97(3.79%)47.63-49.57Uptrend 49.14(0.35%)48.4-49.4669
24Apr_28_2009-1.2%-37.2% 2.5%,0.7(0)2%,0.6(-0)0.1%,000%2.3%0.8001.1NAN%051.2   47.18(0.15%)46.38-47.99Uptrend 47.45(0.58%)46.93-47.6868
25Apr_27_2009-1.3%-37% 2.3%,0.6(-0)2.1%,0.5(0.1)0.8%,0.200%2.5%0.9001.3NAN%049.39   47.11(-1.07%)46.61-47.79Uptrend 47.41(0.63%)46.78-47.6759
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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