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     Mon. Jul. 31, 2006

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Feb. 26, 2021)

(iShares Russell 2000)

IWM latest price $69.6800 (0.01%) ($69.0600 - $69.8300) on Mon. Jul. 31, 2006.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  N/A
Trend Narrative  Rebound
Average Daily Price Swing  $1.56 (2.25% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.55% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  0.2% (StdDev 1.55%)
Daily Moving Force  %
Correction Force  Weak (0%)
Trend   0.04%
Trend Strength  -0.9%
RSI   43
Momentum  1.5
Latest Price  $69.6800(0.01%)
Forecasted Low Price  69.4(-0.4%)
Forecasted High Price  70.1(0.6%)
Direction of Next Movement  Range(0.2%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction  -100% (0)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  2.3%
Hourly Trend   0% [$0(0), $0(0)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Complacency  0
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  IWM advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  IWM advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (89% probability)
  SPY(90%)    XLY(87%)    PEJ(84%)    QQQ(84%)    XLK(82%)  
Factors Impacting IWM price  IWM will advance at least 0% in a week (33% probabilities).
  TLT(-42%)    SHY(-27%)    TIP(-18%)    REMX(-1%)    GLD(3%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Buy the rebound
 
Valuation to SPY   -0.5
 
Relative Volatility   -1.2 (options are cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  0.2% (StdDev 1.55%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.4%
  
 

  


Next Hour Price  $69.68(0%)
5 Day Moving Average  $69.11(0.82%)
10 Day Moving Average  $68.66(1.49%)
20 Day Moving Average  $69.28(0.58%)
To recent high  -10.2%
To recent low  4.5%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. IWM price fluctuates within 2.25% (three month std-dev: 1.55%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. IWM price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20060831

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Jul_31_200669.28 (-0%)68.66 (0%)69.11 (0.2%)  (0%)69.68(0.01%)69.06-69.83-0.1(0.3)0 %0.2%0%0.04%-0.9%431.5 N/A  Range(0.2%)000Rebound 69.6(-0.12%)69.76-69.5237.95   -10.2%-4.5% 
2Jul_28_200669.37 (-0%)68.43 (-0%)68.95 (0.9%)  (0%)69.67(2.1%)68.48-69.7-0.3(0.2)0 0.2%0.2%0%-0.04%-1.4%461.5 N/A  Range(0.4%)000Range Bound 69.67(0%)69.67-69.6761.81   -10.3%-4.5% 
3Jul_27_200669.44 (-0%)68.21 (-0.2%)68.36 (0.2%)  (0%)68.24(-0.96%)67.97-69.89-0.6(-0.7)0 %0%0%-0.16%-1.8%401.6 N/A  Range(0.5%)000The Bottom 68.42(0.27%)67.74-68.9959.02   -12.1%-2.4% 
4Jul_26_200669.47 (-0%)68.2 (-0.4%)68.26 (-0.2%)  (0%)68.9(-0.22%)68.12-69.6-0.7(-0.3)0 %-0%0%-0.24%-1.8%381.6 Growing Downtrend  Range(0.1%)000Downtrend 68.58(-0.47%)68.4-68.9859.84   -11.2%-3.4% 
5Jul_25_200669.45 (-0%)68.25 (-0.4%)68.38 (0.3%)  (0%)69.05(0.25%)68.39-69.78-0.7(-0.2)0 0.1%-0.2%0%-0.26%-1.7%391.6 Downtrend Consolidation  Range(-0.1%)000Downtrend 68.73(-0.47%)68.55-69.1387.44   -11.1%-3.6% 
 
6Jul_24_200669.48 (-0%)68.42 (-0.4%)68.15 (0.4%)  (0%)68.88(3.19%)67.25-68.91-0.9(-0.4)0 0.1%-0.1%0%-0.32%-1.5%341.6 Downtrend Consolidation  Range(0%)000After Bottom 68.69(-0.27%)68-69.2672.23   -11.3%-3.3% 
7Jul_21_200669.47 (-0%)68.55 (-0.6%)67.86 (-0.2%)  (0%)66.75(-1.43%)66.35-67.65-1.1(-1.6)0 %-0.4%0%-0.38%-1.3%301.7 Growing Downtrend  Range(0.3%)000Downtrend 66.32(-0.65%)65.94-67.2109.13   -14%-0.2
8Jul_20_200669.57 (-0%)68.93 (-0.6%)68.02 (-0.1%)  (0%)67.72(-2.56%)67.62-70.37-0.9(-1.2)0 %-0.4%0%-0.38%-0.9%351.6 Growing Downtrend  Higher(0.9%)000Growing Downtrend 67.31(-0.6%)66.94-68.0374.28   -12.8%-1.6% 
9Jul_19_200669.63 (-0%)69.3 (-0.4%)68.09 (-0%)  (0%)69.5(2.36%)67.78-70-0.9(-0.1)0 %-0.1%0%-0.32%-0.5%551.6 Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.1%)000Downtrend 69.06(-0.63%)68.88-69.597.85   -10.5%-4.3% 
10Jul_18_200669.63 (-0%)69.49 (-0.4%)68.12 (-0.9%)  (0%)67.9(0.68%)66.62-68.25-1(-1)0 -0.2%-0.5%0%-0.26%-0.1%521.7 Downtrend Pop  Range(-0.7%)000Downtrend 67.53(-0.55%)67.26-68.1474.55   -12.5%-1.9% 
 
11Jul_17_200669.54 (0%)69.95 (-0.2%)68.76 (-0.9%)  (0%)67.44(-0.13%)67.03-68.2-0.7(-1.3)0 -0.2%-0.5%0%-0.14%0.6%441.6 Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.6%)000Correction 66.22(-1.81%)65.99-67.1267.43   -13.1%-1.2
12Jul_14_200669.62 (0%)70.4 (-0%)69.37 (-0.9%)  (0%)67.53(-0.79%)66.95-68.21-0.3(-1.3)0 -0.2%-0.5%0%0%1.1%491.6 N/A  Range(-0.3%)000Range Bound 67.77(0.35%)68.15-67.4579.08   -13%-1.3
13Jul_13_200669.75 (0.2%)70.8 (0.2%)69.97 (-1%)  (0%)68.07(-2.27%)68.02-69.690.1(-1.1)0 -0.2%-0.1%0%0.14%1.5%531.5 N/A  Higher(0.8%)000Uptrend Consolidation 68.54(0.69%)68.66-68.1780.48   -12.3%-2.1% 
14Jul_12_200669.74 (0.2%)70.9 (0.2%)70.66 (-0.6%)  (0%)69.65(-2.07%)69.59-71.080.6(-0.1)0 -0.1%0.2%0%0.22%1.7%571.6 Uptrend Consolidation  Higher(1.1%)000Uptrend Consolidation 69.71(0.09%)69.65-69.9150.66   -10.3%-4.5% 
15Jul_11_200669.6 (0.2%)70.81 (0.4%)71.05 (-0.4%)  (0%)71.12(0.88%)69.6-71.120.9(0.9)0 -0.1%0.2%0%0.28%1.7%681.7 Uptrend Consolidation  Range(0.1%)000Uptrend Consolidation 70.76(-0.5%)70.52-71.5263.45   -8.4%-6.7% 
 
16Jul_10_200669.44 (0%)70.66 (0.4%)71.35 (-0.3%)  (0%)70.5(0.01%)70.18-71.241.1(0.6)0 -0.1%0.2%0%0.36%1.7%661.7 Uptrend Consolidation  Range(0.1%)000Uptrend 70.99(0.69%)70.33-71.2740.17   -9.2%-5.8% 
17Jul_7_200669.39 (0%)70.49 (0.6%)71.59 (-0.2%)  (0%)70.49(-1.48%)70.35-71.641.4(0.7)0 %0.2%0%0.38%1.6%571.7 Uptrend Consolidation  Higher(0.9%)000Uptrend 70.96(0.67%)70.28-71.2545.33   -9.2%-5.8% 
18Jul_6_200669.36 (0%)70.29 (0.6%)71.75 (0.8%)  (0%)71.55(-0.03%)71.16-72.21.6(1.3)0 0.2%0.3%0%0.38%1.3%561.7 Growing Uptrend Correction Range(0.5%)000N/A 71.81(0.36%)70.39-72.9633.83   -7.8%-7.4% 
19Jul_5_200669.27 (-0%)69.99 (0.4%)71.16 (0.9%)  (0%)71.57(-1.46%)70.99-72.591.3(1.4)0 0.2%0.4%0%0.32%1%651.6 Uptrend Dip  Higher(1.3%)000Uptrend Reversal 72.09(0.73%)71.65-72.3938.62   -7.8%-7.4% 
20Jul_3_200669.21 (-0%)69.58 (0.4%)70.5 (0.9%)  (0%)72.63(1.25%)71.76-72.631(2.2)0 0.2%0.6%0%0.24%0.5%711.6 Overbought  Higher(0.8%)000Breakout 72.85(0.3%)72.02-73.222.97   -6.4%-9% 
 
21Jun_30_200669.1 (-0.2%)69.05 (0.2%)69.88 (0.9%)  (0%)71.73(0.67%)70.55-71.90.5(1.6)0 0.2%0.3%0%0.14%-0.1%621.7 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.5%)000Uptrend Reversal 72.27(0.75%)71.81-72.5761   -7.6%-7.6% 
22Jun_29_200669.14 (-0.2%)68.73 (0.2%)69.26 (0.9%)  (0%)71.25(3.86%)68.81-71.250(1.2)0 0.2%0.2%0%0.06%-0.6%541.8 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.4%)000Uptrend Reversal 71.83(0.81%)71.34-72.1696.61   -8.2%-6.9% 
23Jun_28_200669.21 (-0.2%)68.54 (0%)69.26 (0%)  (0%)68.6(0.44%)67.5-68.6-0.4(-0.3)0 %0%0%-0.02%-1%442 N/A  Range(0%)000Rebound 68.82(0.32%)68.51-68.9546.42   -11.6%-2.9% 
24Jun_27_200669.36 (-0.2%)68.44 (-0%)68.66 (0.3%)  (0%)68.3(-1.73%)68.02-69.83-0.5(-0.6)0 0.1%0.1%0%-0.06%-1.3%432 N/A  Higher(1.1%)000Rebound 68.87(0.83%)68.12-69.1961.55   -12%-2.5% 
25Jun_26_200669.48 (-0.2%)68.29 (-0.2%)68.48 (0.6%)  (0%)69.5(1.24%)68.95-69.5-0.6(0)0 0.1%0.1%0%-0.16%-1.7%442 N/A  Range(0.2%)000Rebound 69.39(-0.16%)69.14-69.539.94   -10.5%-4.3% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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