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     Fri. Dec. 26, 2003

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 14, 2024)

(iShares Russell 2000)

IWM latest price $55.2400 (0.36%) ($55.1000 - $55.3800) on Fri. Dec. 26, 2003.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.24% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $55.2400(0.36%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  IWM advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  IWM advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  SPY(89%)    XLY(83%)    QQQ(82%)    XLK(79%)    EEM(76%)  
Factors Impacting IWM price  IWM will decline at least -0.62% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-32%)    SHY(-19%)    TIP(-11%)    REMX(0%)    LQD(13%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.62% (StdDev 1.24%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.1%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $54.88(0.66%)
10 Day Moving Average  $54.39(1.56%)
20 Day Moving Average  $54.32(1.69%)
To recent high  -0.3%
To recent low  14.4%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Average Volume   million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  1.3
One Month Target Price  > $55.24
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $51.82
 
 

$. The price is -0.3% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -2% away from the target price of 55.24.
$. IWM price fluctuates within 1.34% (three month std-dev: 1.24%) daily (68% of days).

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