Trading Signals: FE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 24, 2009

Trading Signals: FE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(FirstEnergy Corp.)
FE latest price $48.0200 (5.7%) ($45.9500 - $48.3000) on Tue. Feb. 24, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.68% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $48.0200(5.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Weekly Trend   FE declines -4.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(68%)    XLP(50%)    SPY(48%)    IWM(41%)    JNK(41%)
Factors Impacting FE price   FE will decline at least -1.34% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-10%)    SHY(-0%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(6%)    IGOV(7%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.34% (StdDev 2.68%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $40(-16.7%)
Resistance Level   $50.3
5 Day Moving Average   $47.26(1.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.95(-1.9%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50.3(-4.53%)
To recent high   -18%
To recent low   5.7%
Market Cap   $26.032b

FirstEnergy Corp. engages in the generation, transmission and distribution of electricity as well as energy management and other energy-related services through its subsidiaries. It operates through the following business segments: Regulated Distribution, Regulated Transmission and Corporate. The Regulated Distribution segment distributes electricity through FirstEnergy's utility operating companies, serving various customers. The Regulated Transmission segment transmits electricity through transmission facilities owned and operated by FirstEnergy's utilities and the regulatory assets. The Corporate segment reflects corporate support not charged to FE's subsidiaries, interest expense on FE's holding company debt and other businesses that do not constitute an operating segment. FirstEnergy was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Akron, OH.

$. FE price fluctuates within 4.25% (three month std-dev: 2.68%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.74%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.12%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -3.3%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.6%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_24_2009	51.59	50.3	48.95	47.26	47.39	46.89	48.02(5.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-33	-70	-7	-111	3.43	20%	-0.17	-38.6	2.68%	0	-1.1	39	NAN
2	Feb_23_2009	51.68	50.49	49.41	47.25	47.51	47.19	45.43(-4.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-62	-30	-41	-123	3.85	10%	-0.31	-36.9	2.57%	0	-2.4	32	NAN
3	Feb_20_2009	51.84	50.73	50.17	48.44	48.19	47.9	47.39(-1.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-33	-60	-21	-67	2.8	30%	-0.29	-24.5	2.89%	0	-1.9	42	NAN
4	Feb_19_2009	51.99	50.91	50.65	49.31	49.16	47.84	48.22(2.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-35	-200	-28	-54	2.82	30%	-0.35	-5.2	2.91%	0	-1.7	36	NAN
5	Feb_18_2009	52.17	51.02	50.95	49.98	49.91	48.49	47.23(-1.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-57	-200	-57	-55	2.7	30%	-0.38	14.1	2.9%	0	-2.6	34	NAN

6	Feb_17_2009	52.37	51.14	51.43	50.88	50.89	50.49	48(-6.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-32	-50	-34	-27	3.09	30%	-0.7	38.5	2.9%	0	-2.5	39	NAN
7	Feb_13_2009	52.74	51.27	51.76	51.84	51.56	51.33	51.36(-0.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-4	-50	-6	3	1.58	39%	-0.34	76.3	2.84%	0	0.1	50	NAN
8	Feb_12_2009	52.92	51.16	51.64	52.16	51.82	51.29	51.75(0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-8	-90	-13	9	3.28	39%	-0.28	83.7	2.97%	0	0.5	61	NAN
9	Feb_11_2009	53.07	50.99	51.71	52.2	52.2	51.8	51.56(-0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-1	-50	-8	19	2.34	39%	-0.28	73.2	2.98%	0	0.4	56	NAN
10	Feb_10_2009	53.22	50.82	51.77	52.09	52.18	52.36	51.74(-2.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	5	30	-2	27	3.34	39%	-0.28	54	2.98%	0	0.6	59	NAN

11	Feb_9_2009	53.37	50.67	51.75	52.05	51.99	52.6	52.81(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	80	19	45	2.36	39%	-0.3	42.7	2.99%	0	1.4	66	NAN
12	Feb_6_2009	53.53	50.47	51.62	51.65	51.61	52	52.96(1.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	29	50	24	44	2.8	39%	-0.26	34.7	3.01%	0	1.7	61	NAN
13	Feb_5_2009	53.67	50.21	51.29	51.06	51.03	51.39	51.95(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	8	50	2	25	2.94	35%	-0.22	21	3%	0	1.2	62	NAN
14	Feb_4_2009	53.79	50.03	51.14	51.18	50.97	51.22	50.97(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	20	3	37	2.25	42%	-0.32	27.3	3.11%	0	0.7	63	NAN
15	Feb_3_2009	53.96	50.04	51.06	51.18	51.22	50.68	51.58(1.52%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	9	-80	-3	45	2.03	42%	-0.3	46.5	3.24%	0	1.1	67	NAN

16	Feb_2_2009	54.12	50.03	50.82	51.41	51.43	50.72	50.81(1.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-7	-100	-22	40	2.57	42%	-0.35	65.1	3.25%	0	0.5	60	NAN
17	Jan_30_2009	54.31	49.97	50.75	51.58	51.83	51.76	49.99(-4.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	12	10	-3	56	2.84	44%	-0.35	81.7	3.3%	0	0	56	NAN
18	Jan_29_2009	54.5	49.9	50.67	51.5	51.67	52.15	52.57(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	28	70	15	67	2.82	47%	-0.26	87.2	3.33%	0	1.8	72	NAN
19	Jan_28_2009	54.64	49.65	50.23	51.08	50.97	51.89	52.11(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	30	120	20	60	2.19	55%	-0.29	81.2	3.33%	0	1.8	65	NAN
20	Jan_27_2009	54.8	49.37	49.8	50.65	50.48	51.19	51.59(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	90	25	39	2.44	51%	-0.35	63.6	3.74%	0	1.7	49	NAN

21	Jan_26_2009	54.99	49.1	49.5	50.15	49.94	50.05	51.64(4.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	11	0	9	15	2.68	51%	-0.33	29.9	3.82%	0	1.8	47	NAN
22	Jan_23_2009	55.17	48.81	49.2	49.83	49.7	49.76	49.57(-1.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	1	0	-0	3	2.47	49%	-0.36	2	3.83%	0	0.5	50	NAN
23	Jan_22_2009	55.37	48.64	49.03	49.71	49.78	49.83	50.5(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	9	10	11	3	3.47	46%	-0.34	-24.8	3.86%	0	1.3	57	NAN
24	Jan_21_2009	55.56	48.56	48.82	49.23	49.36	49.64	49.95(1.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	4	50	7	-4	3.51	46%	-0.39	-43.3	3.97%	0	0.9	60	NAN
25	Jan_20_2009	55.78	48.54	48.91	48.81	48.8	49.73	49.09(-1.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	130	12	4	2.14	50%		-59.8	3.98%	0	0.3	61	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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