Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ERY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Apr. 9, 2015

Trading Signals: ERY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Direxion Daily Energy Bear 3X ETF)
ERY latest price $90.7477 (-4.66%) ($90.0079 - $94.4959) on Thu. Apr. 9, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.11% (three month average)
RSI   29
Latest Price   $90.7477(-4.66%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ERY declines -1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ERY declines -4.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ERY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(35%)    TLT(32%)    UUP(16%)    SHY(8%)    IGOV(7%)
Factors Impacting ERY price   ERY will decline at least -2.055% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-98%)    XOP(-90%)    OIH(-89%)    IVE(-78%)    VYM(-76%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.055% (StdDev 4.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $84.78(-6.58%)
Resistance Level   $101.81
5 Day Moving Average   $94.08(-3.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $96.99(-6.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $101.81(-10.87%)
To recent high   -30.3%
To recent low   4.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. ERY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. ERY price fluctuates within 6.61% (three month std-dev: 4.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 2.09%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 3.15%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -1.17%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 3.46%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.2%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150509

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_9_2015	104.68	101.81	96.99	94.08	93.37	92.88	90.75(-4.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-37	-60	-23	-79	0.33	31%	0.03	-52.3	4.11%	0	-1.6	29	INF
2	Apr_8_2015	104.65	102.88	98.07	95.75	95.05	93.07	95.19(2.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-35	-170	-23	-69	0.29	30%	0.06	-39.6	4.09%	0	-1.2	43	INF
3	Apr_7_2015	104.59	103.77	99.05	96.68	96.29	93.86	92.82(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-62	-190	-55	-82	0.24	30%	0.03	-26.3	4.16%	0	-1.7	30	INF
4	Apr_6_2015	104.56	104.59	100.13	97.61	97.95	97.02	93.26(-5.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-48	-60	-38	-78	0.43	30%	0.19	-18.1	4.16%	0	-1.9	33	INF
5	Apr_2_2015	104.36	105.28	101.08	99.71	98.98	98.72	98.39(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-40	-12	-64	0.37	40%	0.11	-2.9	4.42%	0	-1.3	32	INF

6	Apr_1_2015	104.25	105.46	101.9	100.35	100	98.89	99.08(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-23	-90	-8	-67	0.35	40%	0.13	3.9	4.42%	0	-1.2	35	INF
7	Mar_31_2015	104.11	105.52	102.22	100.76	100.31	99.24	99.82(2.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-43	-90	-29	-84	0.28	40%	0.14	12.4	4.46%	0	-1	38	INF
8	Mar_30_2015	103.96	105.53	103.37	101.85	100.86	101.1	97.5(-6.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-31	-10	-16	-74	0.6	40%	0.13	23.3	4.45%	0	-1.5	34	INF
9	Mar_27_2015	103.82	105.7	104.67	103	102.06	101.39	103.77(2.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-4	-70	13	-54	0.25	42%	0.17	34.9	4.36%	0	-0.4	47	INF
10	Mar_26_2015	103.64	105.44	105.72	102.66	101.69	100.62	101.55(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-42	-100	-34	-65	0.33	42%	0.11	35.9	4.39%	0	-0.7	48	INF

11	Mar_25_2015	103.53	105.25	106.94	103.71	102.45	102.73	101.15(-3.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-15	-20	-9	-34	0.47	42%	0.06	41.3	4.39%	0	-0.6	54	INF
12	Mar_24_2015	103.47	104.85	108.04	103.88	103.57	102.77	105.3(2.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-9	-60	-6	-18	0.31	42%	0.16	40.9	4.39%	0	0.1	60	INF
13	Mar_23_2015	103.3	104.27	108.8	105.2	104.56	102.17	103.23(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-39	-180	-49	-9	0.29	42%	0.17	48.6	4.39%	0	-0.1	59	INF
14	Mar_20_2015	103.12	103.84	109.38	106.65	107.21	104.37	102.09(-4.39%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-43	-170	-60	7	0.54	42%	0.17	56.1	4.39%	0	-0.2	57	INF
15	Mar_19_2015	102.95	103.41	109.89	109.27	110.07	106.95	106.78(4.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-35	-180	-59	38	0.4	40%	0.18	62.9	4.39%	0	0.4	65	INF

16	Mar_18_2015	102.77	102.65	109.4	110.7	112.63	110.05	101.99(-8.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-23	-110	-50	58	1.02	35%	0.11	62.3	4.52%	0	-0.1	63	INF
17	Mar_17_2015	102.66	102.1	109.28	112.68	113.74	113.19	111.91(1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	7	-10	-23	97	0.63	34%	0.15	62.8	4.44%	0	1.1	83	INF
18	Mar_16_2015	102.51	100.86	108	112.91	113.71	115.21	110.48(-4.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	41	110	15	119	0.7	34%	0.19	60.6	4.73%	0	1.1	78	INF
19	Mar_13_2015	102.32	99.72	106.95	112.47	113.09	114.29	115.21(1.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	69	90	45	140	0.55	34%	0.24	54.5	4.69%	0	1.7	85	INF
20	Mar_12_2015	102.07	98.57	105.16	110.61	110.62	112.22	113.93(1.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	53	100	27	129	0.34	37%	0.18	51.9	4.73%	0	1.9	85	INF

21	Mar_11_2015	101.89	97.65	103.37	107.94	108.61	111.89	111.91(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	78	230	60	131	0.71	37%	0.22	45.8	4.78%	0	1.9	85	INF
22	Mar_10_2015	101.67	96.74	101.31	105.33	105.56	109.02	113.04(4.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	82	240	69	120	0.48	42%	0.13	40.4	4.78%	0	2.5	88	INF
23	Mar_9_2015	101.54	95.76	99.2	102.41	102.54	105.33	108.26(2.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	64	190	52	100	0.37	42%	0.05	26.6	4.89%	0	2.3	89	INF
24	Mar_6_2015	101.49	95.05	97.65	100.65	100.6	102.1	105.94(5.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	50	100	37	88	0.53	47%	0	2.3	5.09%	0	2.4	85	INF
25	Mar_5_2015	101.49	94.47	96.23	98.96	99.4	99.75	100.56(1.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	40	15	67	0.31	44%		-35.2	5.09%	0	1.6	61	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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