Trading Signals: DWT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ DWT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Feb. 26, 2020

Trading Signals: DWT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 9, 2016 - Thu. Apr. 2, 2020)

(Crude oil bear 3x)
DWT latest price $6.5300 (6.53%) ($5.8920 - $6.6800) on Wed. Feb. 26, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.92% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $6.5300(6.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DWT advances 5.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DWT declines -2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DWT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
BNDX(68%)    PCY(51%)    BND(50%)    EMHY(47%)    BWX(39%)
Factors Impacting DWT price   DWT will decline at least -2.46% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-40%)    GLD(-23%)    SLV(-18%)    VXX(-12%)    DRIV(-12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility

Market Trend Strength   -2.46% (StdDev 4.92%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5.3%

Inflection Point   Yes
5 Day Moving Average   $5.65(15.58%)
10 Day Moving Average   $5.53(18.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $5.67(15.17%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   29.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. DWT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. DWT price fluctuates within 8.11% (three month std-dev: 4.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 5.12%(36%) Average negative next day return: -3.68%(64%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 7.01%(55%) Average negative next three day return: -5.22%(45%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 10.79%(64%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.27%(36%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200326

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_26_2020	5.59	5.67	5.53	5.65	5.77	6.15	6.53(6.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	16	520	27	-17	29.06	71%	0.18	44.8	4.92%	0	1.9	59	-2.4
2	Feb_25_2020	5.58	5.59	5.53	5.36	5.41	5.83	6.13(8.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.8	-1	570	18	-59	20.36	68%	0	39.7	4.88%	0	1.3	47	-3.2
3	Feb_24_2020	5.58	5.55	5.47	5.21	5.18	5.39	5.65(11.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-13	270	10	-80	26.13	64%	0	46.1	4.78%	0	0.2	43	-3.1
4	Feb_21_2020	5.58	5.51	5.49	5.15	5.12	4.98	5.06(3.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-29	-210	-8	-92	15.11	56%	-0.89	49.6	4.56%	0	-1	45	-0.8
5	Feb_19_2020	5.63	5.47	5.66	5.38	5.38	5.26	5.04(-6.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-26	-160	-19	-48	15.29	56%	-0.35	63.7	4.78%	0	-0.8	53	1

6	Feb_18_2020	5.65	5.43	5.78	5.59	5.52	5.45	5.39(0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-10	-130	-14	3	12.46	64%	0.18	66.9	4.8%	0	-0.1	60	0.8
7	Feb_14_2020	5.64	5.36	5.86	5.77	5.67	5.5	5.36(-3.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	3	-260	-11	45	12.66	64%	0	67.8	4.84%	0	0	56	0.9
8	Feb_13_2020	5.64	5.3	5.89	5.89	5.87	5.59	5.53(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	16	-340	-6	80	11.15	64%	-0.18	70.1	4.82%	0	0.3	64	0.6
9	Feb_12_2020	5.65	5.22	5.87	5.93	5.96	5.84	5.56(-8.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	22	-130	-6	104	17.99	64%	0	72.3	4.83%	0	0.4	68	1
10	Feb_11_2020	5.65	5.15	5.84	5.97	6.01	6.14	6.1(-2.87%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	34	170	-1	139	13.01	79%	0.36	76.1	4.68%	0	1.1	79	0.1

11	Feb_10_2020	5.63	5.04	5.74	6	5.9	6.07	6.28(5.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	48	150	4	180	11.76	79%	0.18	83.7	4.67%	0	1.5	84	0.2
12	Feb_7_2020	5.62	4.92	5.64	5.98	5.87	5.87	5.97(4.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	61	-60	7	223	12.19	76%	0.36	90.5	4.65%	0	1.3	84	-0.1
13	Feb_6_2020	5.6	4.81	5.52	5.9	5.89	5.73	5.74(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	67	-200	6	248	13.29	76%	0	90	4.64%	0	1.1	82	0.2
14	Feb_5_2020	5.6	4.7	5.41	5.8	5.84	5.87	5.76(-7.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	71	60	8	258	19.92	76%	0.18	87.5	4.65%	0	1.3	78	0.1
15	Feb_4_2020	5.59	4.57	5.27	5.68	5.78	6.04	6.26(1.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	86	370	23	273	15.83	100%	0.36	81.1	4.54%	0	2	87	-0.7

16	Feb_3_2020	5.57	4.42	5.04	5.44	5.54	5.82	6.15(9.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	76	410	21	241	18.09	100%	-0.18	75	4.56%	0	2.2	84	-1.4
17	Jan_31_2020	5.58	4.27	4.81	5.25	5.31	5.52	5.6(6.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	67	310	16	219	23.34	100%	-0.53	72.6	4.61%	0	1.8	83	-2.4
18	Jan_30_2020	5.61	4.16	4.64	5.1	5.2	5.26	5.25(1.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	64	140	15	209	26.9	100%	-0.53	71.8	4.57%	0	1.7	82	-0.4
19	Jan_29_2020	5.64	4.07	4.52	4.96	5.07	5.09	5.15(2.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	64	90	16	206	15.99	100%	-0.35	69.1	4.58%	0	1.7	83	-0.7
20	Jan_28_2020	5.66	3.98	4.39	4.79	4.93	5.14	5.04(-3.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	68	390	22	206	11.69	100%	-0.35	63.9	4.58%	0	1.9	86	-0.7

21	Jan_27_2020	5.68	3.9	4.29	4.58	4.73	5.04	5.23(8.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	76	560	34	200	24.89	100%	-12.48	56.1	4.6%	0	2.6	90	-1.9