Trading Signals: DRIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 8, 2018

Trading Signals: DRIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Oil gas Explore and production 3x bear etf)
DRIP latest price $71.2500 (12.13%) ($61.2500 - $71.4200) on Thu. Feb. 8, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.21% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $71.2500(12.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DRIP advances 7.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DRIP advances 23.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DRIP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(7%)    VIXM(5%)    XHB(4%)    SHY(2%)    BNDX(1%)
Factors Impacting DRIP price   DRIP will decline at least -2.605% in a week (0% probabilities).
XOP(-27%)    OIH(-27%)    XLE(-25%)    USO(-23%)    XME(-20%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.605% (StdDev 5.21%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 14.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $61.7(15.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $54.84(29.92%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.43(47.12%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   78.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. DRIP is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. DRIP price fluctuates within 18.29% (three month std-dev: 5.21%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 5.48%(40%) Average negative next day return: -5.58%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 3.78%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -13.77%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 9.24%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -14.2%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180308

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_8_2018	60.23	48.43	54.84	61.7	61.52	63.31	71.25(12.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	133	190	76	304	0.53	60%	-0.13	60.6	5.21%	0	2.6	81	-2.5
2	Feb_7_2018	60.31	46.98	51.89	57.26	58.14	60.55	63.54(9.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	95	340	45	243	0.5	57%	-0.36	55.8	5.02%	0	2.3	78	-1.8
3	Feb_6_2018	60.53	45.91	49.52	54.47	55.4	59.73	58.13(-3.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	110	600	73	221	0.49	51%	-0.46	50.7	4.89%	0	2.1	77	-2
4	Feb_5_2018	60.81	45.13	47.67	52.69	52.48	55.73	60.46(9.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	112	420	86	191	0.6	51%	-0.46	42.4	5.1%	0	2.9	77	-2.9
5	Feb_2_2018	61.09	44.24	45.56	49.51	49.84	51.07	55.13(12.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	74	190	54	135	0.69	47%	-0.57	28.8	4.98%	0	2.9	77	-2.2

6	Feb_1_2018	61.44	43.6	44.31	46.94	47.51	49.24	49.04(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	46	290	29	95	0.3	41%	-0.68	3.9	4.74%	0	1.9	67	-0.5
7	Jan_31_2018	61.86	43.33	43.67	45.65	45.82	48.61	49.58(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	66	440	60	82	0.42	40%	-0.8	-16.2	4.85%	0	2.5	58	-1.6
8	Jan_30_2018	62.36	43.09	42.82	43.77	43.74	45.77	49.25(10.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	56	320	59	45	0.69	40%	-0.91	-53.8	4.88%	0	2.8	59	-1.9
9	Jan_29_2018	62.93	43.03	42.07	41.88	41.76	43.02	44.54(5.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	22	200	29	-1	0.37	36%	-1.02	-105.9	4.68%	0	0.9	52	-2.1
10	Jan_26_2018	63.58	43.18	41.65	41.03	40.79	41.71	42.29(-0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	0	140	11	-33	0.23	32%	-0.92	-107	4.73%	0	-0.4	44	136.8

11	Jan_25_2018	64.17	43.49	41.57	41.29	40.7	40.49	42.58(6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-9	-80	1	-39	0.48	32%	-0.88	-113.4	4.73%	0	-0.4	48	137.4
12	Jan_24_2018	64.74	43.75	41.72	41.42	41.41	39.87	40.17(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-260	-18	-46	0.37	29%	-0.99	-119.8	4.67%	0	-1.3	38	-1.4
13	Jan_23_2018	65.39	44.29	42.09	41.7	42.07	40.9	39.83(-1.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-36	-170	-31	-51	0.36	32%	-0.4	-136.5	4.67%	0	-1.6	34	0.1
14	Jan_22_2018	65.65	44.9	42.5	42.25	42.61	42.95	40.29(-7.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-13	80	-2	-45	0.46	32%	-0.97	-155.1	4.78%	0	-1.7	29	0.9
15	Jan_19_2018	66.29	45.69	42.92	42.27	42.47	43.24	43.58(0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	3	140	19	-47	0.36	34%	-0.97	-149.7	4.7%	0	-0.7	38	1