| DLR latest price $27.3300 (0.48%) ($26.7100 - $27.3800) on Mon. Jul. 31, 2006. |
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| Trend Analysis and Forecast |
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Trend Pattern | Growing Uptrend |
Trend Narrative | Breakout |
Average Daily Price Swing | $0.63 (2.42% one month average) |
Average Daily Percentage Swing | 1.65% (three month average) |
Weekly Trend Force | 0.7% (StdDev 1.65%) |
Daily Moving Force | 1.1% |
Correction Force | Weak (0%) |
Trend | 0.46% |
Latest Price | $27.3300(0.48%) |
Forecasted Low Price | 27.22(-0.4%) |
Forecasted High Price | 27.93(2.2%) |
Direction of Next Movement | Higher(1.9%) |
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction | 2.4% (26.68) |
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal | 4% |
Hourly Trend | 1.2% [$26.96(0.33), $26.68(0.26)] |
Stocks Behave Similarly | Similar Stock List |
Complacency | 8 |
Intraday Reversal Probability | N/A. |
Daily Trend | DLR advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days. |
Weekly Trend | DLR advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks. |
Market Behavior | Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap. |
Correlated ETFs | Broad market will support DLR advance at 0.1% a week (56% probability) IWM(58%) SPY(57%) XLY(57%) QQQ(53%) EEM(52%) |
Factors Impacting DLR price | DLR will advance at least -0% in a week (14% probabilities). TLT(-19%) SHY(-15%) TIP(-11%) ROBT(-5%) FIVG(-5%) |
Explanation | The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market. |
Trading Plan | Buy the breakout |
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Valuation to SPY | -2.1 |
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Relative Volatility | -0.1 (options are faily valued) |
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Market Trend Strength | 0.8% (StdDev 1.65%) |
Hourly BBV | 0 () |
Intraday Trend | 0.6% |
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