Trading Signals: DLR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ DLR: Intraday Forecast Similar Waves Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jun. 29, 2006

Trading Signals: DLR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 29, 2004 - Wed. Feb. 24, 2021)

(Digital Realty Trust Inc.)
DLR latest price $24.7900 (0.04%) ($24.6700 - $25.0600) on Thu. Jun. 29, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Trend Pattern   Growing Uptrend
Trend Narrative   Uptrend Reversal
Average Daily Price Swing   $0.59 (2.43% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.45% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force   0.4% (StdDev 1.45%)
Daily Moving Force   0.4%
Correction Force   Weak (0%)
Trend   0.34%
Trend Strength   1.1%
RSI   59
Momentum   1.7
Latest Price   $24.7900(0.04%)
Forecasted Low Price   24.69(-0.4%)
Forecasted High Price   25.09(1.2%)
Direction of Next Movement   Higher(0.9%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction   0.3% (24.71)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal   1.7%
Hourly Trend 0.4% [$24.8(0.11), $24.71(0.1)]
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Complacency   8
Intraday Reversal Probability   N/A.
Daily Trend   DLR advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DLR advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DLR advance at 0.1% a week (56% probability)
IWM(58%)    SPY(57%)    XLY(57%)    QQQ(53%)    EEM(52%)
Factors Impacting DLR price   DLR will advance at least 0% in a week (17% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    SHY(-15%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(1%)    GLD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan   Buy the reversal

Valuation to SPY -2.3

Relative Volatility -0.8 (options are cheap)

Market Trend Strength   0.5% (StdDev 1.45%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

Next Hour Price   $24.79(0%)
Support Level   $24.27
5 Day Moving Average   $24.62(0.69%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.55(0.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.27(2.14%)
To recent high   -15.4%
To recent low   8.3%
Market Cap   $6.654b

Option Sentiment

Digital Realty Trust, Inc. operates as a real estate investment trust, which provides data center, colocation and interconnection solutions. The company was founded on March 9, 2004 and is headquartered in San Francisco, CA.

$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. DLR price fluctuates within 2.43% (three month std-dev: 1.45% one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. DLR price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060729

i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Strength	RSI	Momentum	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low
1	Jun_29_2006	(-0%)	24.55 (0.4%)	24.62 (0.2%)	24.71	24.8(0%)	24.79(0.04%)	24.67-25.06	0.6(0.9)	0	0.4%	0.4%	0%	0.34%	1.1%	59	1.7	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.8%)	8	0	0	Uptrend Reversal	24.98(0.78%)	24.82-25.09	0.16	-15.4%-8.3%
2	Jun_28_2006	24.27 (0%)	24.41 (0.4%)	24.56 (0.2%)	24.61	24.69(0%)	24.78(0.81%)	24.6-24.95	0.5(0.8)	0	0.3%	0.5%	0%	0.3%	0.6%	58	1.6	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.8%)	7	0	0	N/A	24.85(0.3%)	24.55-25.11	0.19	-15.4%-8.3%
3	Jun_27_2006	24.28 (0%)	24.23 (0.4%)	24.52 (0.4%)	24.54	24.62(0%)	24.58(-0.12%)	24.49-24.8	0.4(0.5)	0	0.3%	0.4%	0%	0.22%	-0.2%	55	1.6	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.8%)	6	0	0	N/A	24.69(0.46%)	24.49-24.86	0.26	-16.1%-7.4%
4	Jun_26_2006	24.3 (0%)	24.08 (0.2%)	24.42 (0%)	24.48	24.53(0%)	24.61(1.07%)	24.45-24.85	0.3(0.5)	0	0.3%	0.2%	0%	0.1%	-0.9%	44	1.7	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.5%)	5	0	0	N/A	24.6(-0.05%)	24.47-24.71	0.14	-16%-7.5%
5	Jun_23_2006	24.3 (0%)	24.01 (0%)	24.41 (-0.2%)	24.39	24.46(0%)	24.35(-0.61%)	24.3-24.67	0.2(0.1)	0	%	0.1%	0%	0.04%	-1.2%	45	1.7	N/A	Range(0.4%)	4	0	0	Range Bound	24.35(0.01%)	24.32-24.38	0.16	-16.9%-6.4%

6	Jun_22_2006	24.29 (0%)	23.97 (0%)	24.46 (1%)	24.43	24.43(0%)	24.5(-0.16%)	24.25-24.62	0.3(0.3)	0	0.5%	0.2%	0%	0.02%	-1.3%	47	1.7	N/A	Higher(0.8%)	3	0	0	Rebound	24.43(-0.29%)	24.56-24.37	0.19	-16.4%-7%
7	Jun_21_2006	24.26 (-0.2%)	23.91 (-0.2%)	24.23 (1.4%)	24.32	24.32(0%)	24.54(1.83%)	24.12-24.8	0(0.4)	0	0.4%	0.2%	0%	-0.14%	-1.5%	44	1.7	Uptrend Reversal	Range(0.6%)	3	0	0	N/A	24.44(-0.39%)	24.44-24.44	0.17	-16.2%-7.2%
8	Jun_20_2006	24.25 (-0.2%)	23.86 (-0.4%)	23.9 (0.9%)	24.01	24.43(0%)	24.1(-1.91%)	23.88-24.51	-0.5(-0.2)	0	0.8%	-0.2%	0%	-0.34%	-1.6%	39	1.7	Downtrend Consolidation Downtrend Pop	Higher(1.6%)	3	0	0	Downtrend	23.93(-0.69%)	23.85-24.13	0.26	-17.7%-5.3%
9	Jun_19_2006	24.25 (-0.4%)	23.93 (-0.4%)	23.68 (0.5%)	23.68	24.31(0%)	24.57(0%)	24.43-24.86	-0.8(0.5)	0	1.9%	-0%	0%	-0.46%	-1.4%	44	1.7	Uptrend Reversal	Higher(1.9%)	2	0	0	Downtrend	24.3(-1.08%)	24.22-24.51	0.13	-16.1%-7.3%
10	Jun_16_2006	24.27 (-0.4%)	23.93 (-0.6%)	23.56 (0.6%)	23.39	23.59(0%)	24.57(5.22%)	23.43-24.64	-1.3(0.5)	0	1.3%	-0%	0%	-0.5%	-1.4%	50	1.7	Uptrend Reversal	Higher(1.3%)	1	0	0	After Bottom	24.21(-1.48%)	24-24.38	0.59	-16.1%-7.3%

11	Jun_15_2006	24.28 (-0.6%)	23.94 (-0.6%)	23.43 (-0.6%)	23.37	23.05(0%)	23.35(2.01%)	22.89-23.54	-1.8(-1.5)	0	-0.7%	-0.6%	0%	-0.56%	-1.4%	40	1.9	Downtrend Pop	Lower(-1.3%)	0	0	0	Bottom	23.41(0.26%)	23.09-23.63	0.21	-20.3%-2%
12	Jun_14_2006	24.39 (-0.6%)	24.11 (-0.4%)	23.56 (-1%)	23.58	23.19(0%)	22.89(-0.65%)	22.66-23.11	-1.8(-2.3)	0	-1.6%	-0.8%	0%	-0.48%	-1.2%	40	2	Oversold	Lower(-2.1%)	1	0	0	Growing Downtrend	22.64(-1.08%)	22.4-23.12	0.27	-21.9%-0%
13	Jun_13_2006	24.54 (-0.6%)	24.33 (-0.4%)	23.8 (-1.7%)	23.85	23.69(0%)	23.04(-3.76%)	23-24.01	-1.5(-2.3)	0	-1.3%	-0.8%	0%	-0.38%	-0.8%	37	1.9	Oversold	Range(-0.2%)	2	0	0	Growing Downtrend	22.83(-0.9%)	22.62-23.27	0.35	-21.4%-0%
14	Jun_12_2006	24.7 (-0.4%)	24.54 (-0%)	24.2 (-0.7%)	24.14	23.97(0%)	23.94(0.04%)	23.69-24.1	-1.1(-1.2)	0	-0.5%	-0.3%	0%	-0.2%	-0.6%	46	2	Growing Downtrend	Lower(-0.8%)	3	0	0	Growing Downtrend	23.82(-0.51%)	23.7-24.06	0.16	-18.3%-0%
15	Jun_9_2006	24.8 (-0.6%)	24.61 (-0%)	24.38 (-0.7%)	24.38	24.01(0%)	23.93(-0.33%)	23.81-24.32	-1(-1.3)	0	-1%	-0.3%	0%	-0.16%	-0.8%	41	2.1	Growing Downtrend	Lower(-1.1%)	4	0	0	N/A	24.02(0.36%)	23.6-24.36	0.13	-18.3%-0%

16	Jun_8_2006	24.93 (-0.6%)	24.66 (0%)	24.54 (-0.8%)	24.57	24.3(0%)	24.01(-0.37%)	23.69-24.22	-0.8(-1.2)	0	-1.4%	-0.2%	0%	-0.14%	-1.1%	41	2.3	Growing Downtrend	Lower(-1.4%)	4	0	0	N/A	24.11(0.4%)	23.64-24.49	0.29	-18.1%-0.2%
17	Jun_7_2006	25.07 (-0.4%)	24.67 (-0%)	24.74 (-0.8%)	24.8	24.76(0%)	24.1(-3.75%)	23.86-25.2	-0.6(-1.2)	0	-0.5%	-0.3%	0%	-0.16%	-1.6%	33	2.5	Growing Downtrend	Higher(1.1%)	4	0	0	N/A	24.17(0.31%)	23.69-24.57	0.42	-17.7%-0.5%
18	Jun_6_2006	25.21 (-0.4%)	24.71 (-0%)	24.94 (0%)	24.93	24.76(0%)	25.04(0.93%)	24.39-25.5	-0.5(-0.2)	0	-0.1%	0.1%	0%	-0.16%	-2%	36	2.8	N/A	Range(0%)	4	0	0	Rebound	25.08(0.17%)	24.78-25.21	0.56	-14.5%-4.5%
19	Jun_5_2006	25.31 (-0.6%)	24.64 (-0.2%)	24.93 (0.2%)	24.98	24.84(0%)	24.81(0.28%)	24.4-25.17	-0.6(-0.5)	0	-0.4%	-0.1%	0%	-0.26%	-2.6%	31	3.1	Growing Downtrend	Range(-0.5%)	4	0	0	Rebound	24.95(0.55%)	24.39-25.19	0.37	-15.3%-3.5%
20	Jun_2_2006	25.44 (-0.6%)	24.64 (-0.2%)	24.88 (0.3%)	25.02	25.01(0%)	24.74(-1.04%)	24.48-25.34	-0.6(-0.7)	0	%	-0.2%	0%	-0.36%	-3.2%	33	3.4	Growing Downtrend	Range(0.3%)	4	0	0	Rebound	24.92(0.71%)	24.12-25.26	0.31	-15.6%-3.2%

21	Jun_1_2006	25.58 (-0.6%)	24.63 (-0.4%)	24.8 (0.9%)	24.92	25.12(0%)	25(-0.4%)	24.83-25.44	-0.7(-0.5)	0	0.6%	-0.3%	0%	-0.5%	-3.7%	29	3.7	Downtrend Consolidation	Range(0.5%)	4	0	0	Rebound	25.06(0.25%)	24.15-25.45	0.29	-14.7%-4.3%
22	May_31_2006	25.71 (-0.6%)	24.68 (-0.6%)	24.59 (0.6%)	24.71	25.02(0%)	25.1(0.32%)	25-25.41	-1(-0.5)	0	1%	-0.3%	0%	-0.64%	-4%	28	3.9	Confirmed Rebound	Higher(0.7%)	3	0	0	Downtrend	24.29(-3.21%)	23.9-25.22	0.56	-14.3%-4.7%
23	May_30_2006	25.82 (-0.6%)	24.74 (-0.8%)	24.45 (0.5%)	24.47	24.71(0%)	25.02(1.91%)	24.63-25.2	-1.2(-0.6)	0	0.8%	-0.4%	0%	-0.76%	-4.2%	26	4	Confirmed Rebound	Range(0.4%)	2	0	0	After Bottom	24.22(-3.2%)	22.79-25.39	0.4	-14.6%-4.4%
24	May_26_2006	25.96 (-0.8%)	24.84 (-1%)	24.32 (-0.1%)	24.47	24.41(0%)	24.55(0.99%)	24.33-24.91	-1.5(-1)	0	0.3%	-0.6%	0%	-0.88%	-4.3%	18	4.4	Rebound	Range(-0.3%)	1	0	0	After Bottom	23.66(-3.64%)	21.73-25.23	0.26	-16.2%-2.4%
25	May_25_2006	26.14 (-0.8%)	24.98 (-1%)	24.35 (-0.4%)	24.38	24.23(0%)	24.31(1.42%)	24.05-24.53	-1.7(-1.3)	0	-0.5%	-0.9%	0%	-0.96%	-4.4%	12	4.4	Downtrend Pop	Lower(-1.4%)	0	0	0	After Bottom	23.4(-3.74%)	21.23-25.18	0.64	-17%-1.4%
i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Strength	RSI	Momentum	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low

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