Trading Signals: BMY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 2, 2017

Trading Signals: BMY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Bristol-Myers Squibb Company)
BMY latest price $47.8162 (2.45%) ($46.6523 - $48.1855) on Thu. Feb. 2, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.2% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $47.8162(2.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BMY advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BMY declines -6.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BMY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLV(56%)    VYM(46%)    SPLV(45%)    IVE(44%)    IWD(44%)
Factors Impacting BMY price   BMY will decline at least -1.1% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    TLT(-12%)    UUP(-9%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.1% (StdDev 2.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.3%

Resistance Level   $50.27
5 Day Moving Average   $46.47(2.9%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.4(3.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50.27(-4.88%)
To recent high   -16%
To recent low   7.9%
Market Cap   $107.775b

Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. engages in the discovery, development, licensing, manufacture, marketing, distribution, and sale of biopharmaceutical products. It includes chemically-synthesized drugs or small molecules and products produced from biological processes called biologics. The company was founded in August 1933 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. BMY price fluctuates within 8.67% (three month std-dev: 2.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 1.35%(43%) Average negative next day return: -4.53%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 2.84%(29%) Average negative next three day return: -7.24%(71%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 7.13%(29%) Average negative next weekly return: -16.86%(71%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_2_2017	51.37	50.27	46.4	46.47	46.47	46.88	47.82(2.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-14	60	34	-158	18.61	44%	-0.08	-50.3	2.2%	0	-0.6	31	INF
2	Feb_1_2017	51.41	50.67	46.79	45.77	45.92	46.31	46.67(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-43	70	9	-198	16.02	40%	-0.1	-53.3	2.18%	0	-0.9	26	INF
3	Jan_31_2017	51.46	51.13	47.37	45.82	45.62	46.06	46.55(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-45	50	11	-214	15.09	40%	-0.12	-53.5	2.18%	0	-1	21	INF
4	Jan_30_2017	51.52	51.56	48	45.78	45.74	45.53	46.1(1.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-59	-30	0	-237	15.74	40%	-0.14	-54.9	2.17%	0	-1.2	20	INF
5	Jan_27_2017	51.59	52.04	48.69	46.03	45.98	45.17	45.2(1.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-87	-130	-30	-259	22.92	48%	-0.15	-55.7	2.17%	0	-1.6	15	INF

6	Jan_26_2017	51.67	52.56	49.52	46.31	46.47	45.94	44.33(-5.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-108	-70	-55	-267	44.8	48%	-0.15	-58.6	2.26%	0	-2	10	INF
7	Jan_25_2017	51.75	53.17	50.49	47.95	46.94	46.79	46.92(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-99	-90	-50	-244	15.98	55%	-0.14	-55.6	2.15%	0	-1.8	19	INF
8	Jan_24_2017	51.82	53.65	51.47	49.19	48.48	47	46.36(-2.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-90	-260	-50	-209	17.17	55%	-0.12	-49.9	2.15%	0	-2.2	16	INF
9	Jan_23_2017	51.88	54.13	52.5	50.58	50.07	47.09	47.34(1.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-130	-450	-109	-191	23.89	55%	-0.1	-44.9	2.14%	0	-2.4	24	INF
10	Jan_20_2017	51.93	54.56	53.47	51.75	51.55	49.96	46.61(-11.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.2	-129	-230	-119	-158	77.02	55%	-0.13	-41.1	2.13%	0	-3.3	19	INF

11	Jan_19_2017	52	55.05	54.55	53.14	53.13	53.05	52.54(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-32	-10	-12	-92	7.12	79%	-0.02	-37.9	1.58%	0	-1.8	36	INF
12	Jan_18_2017	52.01	55.23	54.91	53.39	53.28	53.14	53.09(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-41	-20	-25	-89	6.64	79%	0	-27.8	1.57%	0	-1.7	34	INF
13	Jan_17_2017	52.01	55.34	55.21	54.13	53.6	53.2	53.29(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-47	-80	-40	-68	10.42	79%	-0.1	-7.1	1.58%	0	-1.8	34	INF
14	Jan_13_2017	52.06	55.45	55.4	54.78	54.54	53.43	53.23(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-49	-160	-49	-50	7.66	79%	-0.04	23.7	1.58%	0	-2.2	41	INF
15	Jan_12_2017	52.08	55.55	55.65	55.49	55.34	53.99	53.54(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-72	-180	-84	-37	9.98	79%	-0.02	66.3	1.57%	0	-2.3	43	INF

16	Jan_11_2017	52.09	55.59	55.84	56.17	56.13	55.66	53.78(-5.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3.1	-40	-60	-53	-1	20.5	79%	-0.04	110.2	1.57%	0	-2.4	41	INF
17	Jan_10_2017	52.11	55.58	56.06	56.61	56.66	56.69	56.79(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	10	11	46	6.1	66%	0.02	133.6	1.41%	0	1.6	57	INF
18	Jan_9_2017	52.1	55.42	55.98	56.43	56.51	56.6	56.56(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	20	9	34	5.26	66%	0.04	114.9	1.92%	0	1.3	61	INF
19	Jan_6_2017	52.08	55.21	55.85	56.12	56.26	56.62	56.76(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	19	50	16	28	10.1	66%	0.04	98.2	1.92%	0	1.6	63	INF
20	Jan_5_2017	52.06	54.97	55.69	55.85	55.89	56.41	56.93(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	25	70	25	24	8.42	66%	0.04	70.5	1.92%	0	1.7	65	INF

21	Jan_4_2017	52.04	54.76	55.54	55.48	55.58	55.9	56(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	50	17	19	6.7	66%	0.02	55.7	1.91%	0	1	69	INF
22	Jan_3_2017	52.03	54.58	55.52	55.45	55.4	55.38	55.92(1.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	7	-10	1	26	10.06	66%	-0.1	50.4	1.92%	0	1	72	INF
23	Dec_30_2016	52.08	54.42	55.45	55.48	55.49	55.26	54.97(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-30	-8	32	7.01	66%	-0.04	44.9	1.91%	0	0.4	63	INF
24	Dec_29_2016	52.1	54.3	55.47	55.54	55.65	55.43	55.4(0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	9	-20	-6	52	3.64	66%	-0.02	42.2	1.91%	0	0.8	75	INF
25	Dec_28_2016	52.11	54.18	55.44	55.5	55.62	55.72	55.13(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	20	-6	68	4.25	66%		42	1.93%	0	0.7	74	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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