Trading Signals: XOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 5, 2020

Trading Signals: XOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ExxonMobil)
XOM latest price $50.1100 (-4.41%) ($49.0400 - $50.7000) on Thu. Mar. 5, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.11% (three month average)
RSI   26
Latest Price   $50.1100(-4.41%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   XOM advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOM declines -7.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(93%)    XOP(82%)    OIH(78%)    VYM(69%)    XLF(65%)
Factors Impacting XOM price   XOM will decline at least -1.055% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-44%)    TLT(-27%)    VXX(-22%)    UUP(-10%)    SHY(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.055% (StdDev 2.11%)
Hourly BBV -1.3 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $38.23(-23.71%)
Inflection Point   Yes
Resistance Level   $56.59
5 Day Moving Average   $51.51(-2.72%)
10 Day Moving Average   $52.87(-5.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $56.59(-11.45%)
To recent high   -29.3%
To recent low   0.6%
Market Cap   $211.865b

Exxon Mobil Corp. engages in the exploration, development, and distribution of oil, gas, and petroleum products. It operates through the following segments: Upstream, Downstream and Chemical. The Upstream segment produces crude oil and natural gas. The Downstream segment manufactures and trades petroleum products. The Chemical segment offers petrochemicals. The company was founded by John D. Rockefeller in 1882 and is headquartered in Irving, TX.

$. XOM price fluctuates within 7.72% (three month std-dev: 2.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 3.11%(62%) Average negative next day return: -1.76%(38%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 3.73%(48%) Average negative next three day return: -4.59%(52%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 6.61%(46%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.4%(54%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200405

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_5_2020	66.15	56.59	52.87	51.51	51.82	51.02	50.11(-4.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-75	-90	-25	-225	40.76	31%	-0.29	-59.3	2.11%	-1.3	-1.5	26	-2.1
2	Mar_4_2020	66.34	57.23	53.81	51.45	51.68	52.22	52.42(2.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-64	90	-8	-233	22.93	34%	-0.27	-63.2	2.05%	-0.1	-1.1	28	-1.6
3	Mar_3_2020	66.52	57.62	54.56	51.57	51.42	52.62	51.3(-4.79%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-40	150	21	-223	50.56	31%	-0.28	-69.6	2.03%	-0	-1.5	28	-2.3
4	Mar_2_2020	66.71	58.12	55.41	52.15	51.75	51.14	53.88(8.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-54	-110	4	-226	38.1	34%	-0.22	-75.3	1.95%	1.5	-1.1	34	-1.9
5	Feb_28_2020	66.86	58.53	56.06	52.64	52.4	50.21	49.82(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-191	-310	-146	-326	62.32	22%	-0.3	-78.3	1.6%	-0.4	-2.3	13	-2.8

6	Feb_27_2020	67.06	59.3	57.2	54.5	54.29	52.37	49.82(-6.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-181	-260	-151	-271	48.07	22%	-0.27	-76.3	1.62%	-1.8	-2.7	12	-3.1
7	Feb_26_2020	67.24	60.05	58.4	56.51	56.36	54.59	53.01(-2.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-148	-230	-123	-221	29.78	25%	-0.21	-81.5	1.45%	-1.6	-2.5	14	-2.4
8	Feb_25_2020	67.38	60.65	59.2	57.98	57.93	56.21	54.2(-3.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-131	-210	-119	-165	35.95	27%	-0.22	-84.3	1.43%	-1.6	-2.7	34	-3.2
9	Feb_24_2020	67.53	61.19	59.83	59.11	59.14	58.12	56.36(-4.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-100	-120	-93	-122	32.07	30%	-0.19	-93.5	1.36%	-1.5	-2.3	36	-3.1
10	Feb_21_2020	67.66	61.69	60.37	59.97	59.87	59.65	59.13(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-49	-30	-40	-77	20.15	40%	-0.13	-91.1	1.24%	-1.2	-1.3	39	-0.8

11	Feb_20_2020	67.75	62.06	60.65	60.33	60.27	60.15	59.86(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-20	-10	-69	14.78	40%	-0.12	-84.7	1.28%	-0.4	-1	33	0.4
12	Feb_19_2020	67.83	62.42	60.92	60.61	60.49	60.09	60.34(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-31	-50	-18	-70	12.7	40%	-0.13	-79.7	1.28%	0.6	-0.9	37	1
13	Feb_18_2020	67.92	62.77	60.9	60.65	60.73	60.38	59.88(-1.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-44	-40	-24	-104	18.95	40%	-0.21	-78.3	1.28%	-1.1	-1.1	34	0.8
14	Feb_14_2020	68.06	63.19	61	60.67	60.88	60.89	60.65(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-38	10	-8	-127	10.85	40%	-0.16	-74.5	1.27%	-1.1	-0.9	35	0.9
15	Feb_13_2020	68.17	63.58	61.14	60.83	60.71	61.08	60.93(-0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-35	40	2	-146	16.89	40%	-0.16	-70.8	1.27%	0.1	-0.9	32	0.6

16	Feb_12_2020	68.28	63.98	61.5	61.02	60.8	60.86	61.27(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-33	-0	6	-151	17.85	40%	-0.15	-66.7	1.28%	1.4	-0.9	31	1
17	Feb_11_2020	68.38	64.37	61.76	61.31	61.1	60.33	60.53(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-59	-100	-21	-174	14.9	40%	-0.18	-64.2	1.27%	-0.2	-1.2	27	0.1
18	Feb_10_2020	68.5	64.83	62.16	61.2	61.41	60.75	59.96(-2.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-93	-60	-53	-214	21.01	40%	-0.17	-66.1	1.26%	-1.3	-1.5	24	0.2
19	Feb_7_2020	68.62	65.29	62.64	61.36	61.59	61.88	61.47(-0.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0	-59	40	-8	-213	14.94	43%	-0.16	-69.3	1.28%	-0.9	-1.2	24	-0.1
20	Feb_6_2020	68.73	65.71	63.1	61.49	61.48	62.07	61.88(-1.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-42	70	14	-210	15.71	40%	-0.17	-70.8	1.32%	0.3	-1.2	24	0.2

21	Feb_5_2020	68.85	66.08	63.57	62.07	61.52	61.3	62.73(4.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-57	-50	-5	-212	31.51	45%	-0.16	-68.7	1.33%	1.7	-1.1	25	0.1
22	Feb_4_2020	68.96	66.46	64	62.34	62.14	60.9	59.97(-1.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-130	-150	-83	-269	31.93	43%	-0.2	-65.6	1.21%	-1.4	-2.1	6	-0.7
23	Feb_3_2020	69.1	67.02	64.78	63.28	63.07	61.75	60.73(-2.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-142	-160	-107	-246	27.12	44%	-0.17	-62.7	1.28%	-1.3	-2.3	6	-1.4
24	Jan_31_2020	69.22	67.52	65.57	64.08	64.05	63.39	62.12(-4.12%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-106	-70	-73	-204	34.27	52%	-0.14	-63.6	1.31%	-1.5	-2.2	14	-2.4
25	Jan_30_2020	69.32	67.98	66.25	64.92	64.71	64.39	64.79(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-73	-40	-37	-179	18.51	59%		-59.8	1.21%	0.2	-1.5	18	-0.4
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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