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     Fri. Oct. 21, 2011

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)

XLY latest price $39.3200 (2.77%) ($38.7400 - $39.3400) on Fri. Oct. 21, 2011.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  2.3% (three month average)
RSI   85
Latest Price   $39.3200(2.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  XLY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XLY advances 3.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  SPY(86%)    XLK(85%)    QQQ(83%)    IWM(79%)    PEJ(75%)  
Factors Impacting XLY price  XLY will decline at least -1.15% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-22%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-2%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(4%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -1.15% (StdDev 2.3%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   1.3%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $38.44(2.29%)
10 Day Moving Average  $38.25(2.8%)
20 Day Moving Average  $37.05(6.13%)
To recent high  -4.3%
To recent low  16.2%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. XLY price fluctuates within 3.86% (three month std-dev: 2.3%) daily (68% of days).

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