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     Mon. Nov. 9, 2009

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)

XLY latest price $28.7100 (2.17%) ($28.2000 - $28.7200) on Mon. Nov. 9, 2009.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.3% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $28.7100(2.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  XLY advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XLY declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  SPY(87%)    XLK(86%)    QQQ(84%)    IWM(81%)    PEJ(78%)  
Factors Impacting XLY price  XLY will decline at least -0.65% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-28%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(-4%)    GLD(2%)    IGOV(3%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.65% (StdDev 1.3%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   1.4%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $27.77(3.38%)
10 Day Moving Average  $27.5(4.4%)
20 Day Moving Average  $27.86(3.05%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  14.6%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. XLY price fluctuates within 2.05% (three month std-dev: 1.3%) daily (68% of days).

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