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     Wed. Sep. 16, 2009

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)

XLY latest price $27.8200 (1.9%) ($27.3100 - $27.8600) on Wed. Sep. 16, 2009.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.43% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $27.8200(1.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  XLY advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XLY advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  SPY(87%)    XLK(86%)    QQQ(84%)    IWM(81%)    PEJ(78%)  
Factors Impacting XLY price  XLY will decline at least -0.715% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-28%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-4%)    IGOV(3%)    GLD(3%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.715% (StdDev 1.43%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   1.7%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $27.31(1.87%)
10 Day Moving Average  $26.8(3.81%)
20 Day Moving Average  $26.5(4.98%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  27.6%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. XLY price fluctuates within 2.3% (three month std-dev: 1.43%) daily (68% of days).

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