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     Thu. Jun. 25, 2009

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)

XLY latest price $23.1200 (3.49%) ($22.2300 - $23.1700) on Thu. Jun. 25, 2009.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  2.2% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $23.1200(3.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  XLY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XLY declines -3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  SPY(87%)    XLK(86%)    QQQ(84%)    IWM(81%)    PEJ(78%)  
Factors Impacting XLY price  XLY will decline at least -1.1% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-28%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-4%)    IGOV(3%)    GLD(3%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -1.1% (StdDev 2.2%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   4%
  
 

  


Resistance Level  $23.46
5 Day Moving Average  $22.65(2.08%)
10 Day Moving Average  $22.92(0.87%)
20 Day Moving Average  $23.46(-1.45%)
To recent high  -5.4%
To recent low  18.6%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. XLY price fluctuates within 2.98% (three month std-dev: 2.2%) daily (68% of days).

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