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     Wed. Apr. 29, 2009

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)

XLY latest price $22.9000 (1.82%) ($22.6800 - $23.3800) on Wed. Apr. 29, 2009.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  2.7% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $22.9000(1.82%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  XLY advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XLY advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  SPY(87%)    XLK(86%)    QQQ(84%)    IWM(81%)    PEJ(78%)  
Factors Impacting XLY price  XLY will decline at least -1.35% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-28%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-4%)    IGOV(3%)    GLD(3%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -1.35% (StdDev 2.7%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.7%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $22.58(1.42%)
10 Day Moving Average  $22.37(2.37%)
20 Day Moving Average  $21.82(4.95%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  42.1%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. XLY price fluctuates within 3.44% (three month std-dev: 2.7%) daily (68% of days).

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