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     Wed. Apr. 8, 2009

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)

XLY latest price $21.0500 (2.83%) ($20.6700 - $21.1300) on Wed. Apr. 8, 2009.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  2.87% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $21.0500(2.83%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  XLY advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XLY advances 4.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  SPY(87%)    XLK(86%)    QQQ(84%)    IWM(81%)    PEJ(79%)  
Factors Impacting XLY price  XLY will decline at least -1.435% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-28%)    SHY(-12%)    TIP(-5%)    IGOV(3%)    GLD(3%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -1.435% (StdDev 2.87%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   1.3%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $21.02(0.14%)
10 Day Moving Average  $20.52(2.58%)
20 Day Moving Average  $19.75(6.58%)
To recent high  -5%
To recent low  30.7%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. XLY price fluctuates within 5.77% (three month std-dev: 2.87%) daily (68% of days).

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