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     Wed. Sep. 13, 2006



Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Mon. Nov. 30, 2020)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)

XLY latest price $34.4700 (0.41%) ($34.2600 - $34.5300) on Wed. Sep. 13, 2006.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Breakout
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  XLY advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XLY advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XLY advance at 0.8% a week (90% probability)
  SPY(91%)    IWM(87%)    QQQ(87%)    PEJ(85%)    XLK(85%)  
Factors Impacting XLY price  XLY will advance at least 0.3% in a week (29% probabilities).
  TLT(-40%)    SHY(-28%)    TIP(-18%)    VUG(-5%)    MCHI(-5%)  
Explanation   The rally is sustainable and supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Buy the breakout
 
Valuation to SPY   -1.2
 
Relative Volatility   3.3 (options are extremely expensive)
 
Hourly BBV   0
Hourly Trend   0% [$0(0), $0(0)]
Last Hour Trend   0% [$0, $0]


XLY Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  67%
Bullish Price Move  1%
Bearish Probability  33%
Bearish Price Move  -1%
Recommended Position Size  34%
Latest Price  $34.4700
Next Hour Price  $34.47(0%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $34.72(0.72%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $34.19 - $34.95
Support Level  $33.05
5 Day Moving Average  $33.73(2.19%)
10 Day Moving Average  $33.4(3.2%)
20 Day Moving Average  $33.05(4.3%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  10%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 


  
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.72% (three month std-dev: 0.98%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. XLY price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20061013

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Sep_13_20060%-10% 1.3%,0.7(0.1)2%,1.2(0.3)1%,0.600%1.1%2.5001.8NAN%02.22   34.47(0.41%)34.26-34.53Breakout 34.72(0.72%)34.19-34.9581
2Sep_12_20060%-9.5% 1.1%,0.8(0.1)1.5%,1.1(0.3)0.6%,0.400%0.8%2.9001.5NAN%02.27   34.33(2.32%)33.55-34.38Breakout 34.45(0.35%)34.05-34.6272
3Sep_11_20060%-7.1% 0.9%,0.8(0.1)1.1%,1(0.3)0.2%,0.200%0.6%1.9001.2NAN%00.83   33.55(0.78%)33.16-33.63Growing Uptrend 33.66(0.32%)33.41-33.7264
4Sep_8_2006-0.4%-6.2% 0.8%,0.7(0.1)0.8%,0.7(0.3)0.2%,0.200%0.5%1.4001.2NAN%00.35   33.29(0.91%)32.9-33.29Growing Uptrend 33.37(0.25%)33.19-33.4251
5Sep_7_2006-1.3%-5.3% 0.7%,0.6(0.1)0.5%,0.4(0.2)0.1%,0.100%0.3%0.8001.2NAN%01.15   32.99(0.33%)32.72-33.17Growing Uptrend 33.06(0.2%)32.93-33.0946
 
6Sep_6_2006-1.7%-4.9% 0.6%,0.4(0)0.3%,0.2(-0)0.1%,000%0.4%0.6001.4NAN%01.29   32.88(-1.23%)32.88-33.18Uptrend 32.91(0.09%)32.82-32.9549
7Sep_5_2006-0.4%-6.2% 0.6%,0.4(0.1)0.3%,0.2(0.1)0.4%,0.300%0.4%1.6001.5NAN%00.85   33.29(0.3%)33.17-33.31Uptrend 33.31(0.07%)33.15-33.3863
8Sep_1_2006-2.5%-5.9% 0.5%,0.4(0.1)0.2%,0.2(0)0.6%,0.500%0.4%1.6001.3NAN%01.15   33.19(0.82%)32.99-33.25Uptrend 33.21(0.06%)33.06-33.2769
9Aug_31_2006-3.3%-5% 0.3%,0.3(0)0.2%,0.2(-0.1)0.4%,0.400%0.5%1.1001.2NAN%00.45   32.92(0.3%)32.75-32.96Uptrend 32.94(0.05%)32.84-32.9868
10Aug_30_2006-3.6%-4.7% 0.3%,0.3(0)0.2%,0.2(-0.2)0.3%,0.200%0.6%0.9001.2NAN%00.78   32.82(0.06%)32.67-32.86Uptrend 32.84(0.06%)32.75-32.8867
 
11Aug_29_2006-3.6%-4.7% 0.3%,0.2(0.1)0.5%,0.4(-0.1)0.1%,0.100%0.7%0.9001.2NAN%01.19   32.8(0.74%)32.48-32.8Uptrend 32.82(0.06%)32.73-32.8672
12Aug_28_2006-4.3%-3.9% 0.2%,0.2(-0.1)0.6%,0.5(0)-0.1%,-0.100%0.7%0.4001.2NAN%02.51   32.56(0.99%)32.22-32.68Uptrend 32.59(0.09%)32.53-32.6259
13Aug_25_2006-5.3%-2.9% 0.3%,0.2(-0.2)0.6%,0.5(-0.2)-0.5%,-0.500%0.6%-0.4001.2NAN%00.64   32.24(0%)32.08-32.28Uptrend 32.29(0.15%)32.27-32.349
14Aug_24_2006-5.3%-2.9% 0.6%,0.5(-0.2)0.8%,0.7(-0.2)-0.6%,-0.500%0.6%-0.4001.2NAN%00.28   32.24(-0.52%)32.16-32.43Uptrend 32.31(0.23%)32.27-32.3347
15Aug_23_2006-4.8%-3.4% 0.8%,0.6(-0.1)1%,0.8(-0)-0.3%,-0.200%0.6%0.1001.2NAN%01.41   32.41(-0.89%)32.31-32.71Uptrend 32.5(0.29%)32.4-32.5550
 
16Aug_22_2006-3.9%-4.3% 0.8%,0.7(-0.1)1%,0.8(0)0.1%,000%0.5%0.9001.2NAN%00.42   32.7(-0.09%)32.59-32.81Uptrend 32.79(0.27%)32.63-32.8658
17Aug_21_2006-3.8%-4.4% 1%,0.8(0)1%,0.8(0.1)0.4%,0.300%0.4%1001.2NAN%00.55   32.73(-1.09%)32.63-32.78Growing Uptrend 32.86(0.39%)32.65-32.9162
18Aug_18_2006-2.8%-5.6% 0.9%,0.7(0.1)0.8%,0.6(0.2)0.7%,0.500%0.3%1.8001.3NAN%03.5   33.09(-0.03%)32.86-33.21Growing Uptrend 33.2(0.33%)32.94-33.2761
19Aug_17_2006-2.8%-5.6% 0.7%,0.6(0.2)0.5%,0.4(0.2)0.7%,0.500%0.4%2.2001.3NAN%02.09   33.1(0.61%)32.89-33.21Breakout 33.13(0.1%)32.93-33.2261
20Aug_16_2006-3.3%-5% 0.5%,0.5(0.3)0.3%,0.3(0.3)0.8%,0.800%0.4%2.3001.1NAN%02.51   32.9(1.01%)32.55-32.94Breakout 32.91(0.04%)32.74-32.9965
 
21Aug_15_2006-4.7%-3.9% 0.3%,0.3(0.3)-0%,-0(0.3)0.3%,0.300%0.3%1.5001NAN%02.43   32.57(1.4%)32.31-32.61Growing Uptrend 32.56(-0.02%)32.47-32.5960
22Aug_14_2006-6%-2.5% -0%,-0(0.1)-0.3%,-0.3(-0.2)-0.2%,-0.200%0.3%0.3001NAN%01.94   32.12(0.28%)32.08-32.43Downtrend 32.09(-0.09%)32.09-32.147
23Aug_11_2006-7%-2.2% -0.2%,-0.2(0.1)-0.1%,-0.1(-0.4)-0.3%,-0.300%0.4%0.1001.1NAN%01.38   32.03(-0.03%)31.9-32.08Range Bound 32(-0.08%)32.01-3251
24Aug_10_2006-7.9%-2.2% -0.3%,-0.3(0.1)0.3%,0.3(-0.2)-0.3%,-0.200%0.6%0.2001.1NAN%02.58   32.04(1.36%)31.56-32.07N/A 32.02(-0.07%)31.99-32.0461
25Aug_9_2006-9.1%-0.9-0.4%,-0.4(0)0.5%,0.4(-0.2)-0.4%,-0.300%0.6%-1001.1NAN%02.49   31.61(-1.37%)31.58-32.2N/A 31.72(0.36%)31.61-31.8252
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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