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     Tue. Sep. 5, 2006



Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Tue. Dec. 1, 2020)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)

XLY latest price $33.2900 (0.3%) ($33.1700 - $33.3100) on Tue. Sep. 5, 2006.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Uptrend
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  XLY advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XLY advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XLY advance at 0.4% a week (90% probability)
  SPY(91%)    IWM(87%)    QQQ(87%)    PEJ(85%)    XLK(85%)  
Factors Impacting XLY price  XLY will decline at least -0.4% in a week (28% probabilities).
  TLT(-40%)    SHY(-28%)    TIP(-18%)    ACES(-10%)    IDRV(-7%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   -1.3
 
Relative Volatility   2 (options are extremely expensive)
 
Hourly BBV   0
Hourly Trend   0% [$0(0), $0(0)]
Last Hour Trend   0% [$0, $0]


XLY Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  67%
Bullish Price Move  0.9%
Bearish Probability  33%
Bearish Price Move  -0.9%
Recommended Position Size  38%
Latest Price  $33.2900
Next Hour Price  $33.29(0%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $33.31(0.07%)
1 - 5 Day Possible Target  $33.42(0.39%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $33.15 - $33.38
Support Level  $32.59
5 Day Moving Average  $33(0.88%)
10 Day Moving Average  $32.73(1.71%)
20 Day Moving Average  $32.59(2.15%)
To recent high  -0.4%
To recent low  6.2%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 


  
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.38% (three month std-dev: 0.94%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. XLY price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20061005

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Sep_5_2006-0.4%-6.2% 0.6%,0.4(0.1)0.3%,0.2(0.1)0.4%,0.300%0.4%1.6001.5NAN%00.85   33.29(0.3%)33.17-33.31Uptrend 33.31(0.07%)33.15-33.3863
2Sep_1_2006-2.5%-5.9% 0.5%,0.4(0.1)0.2%,0.2(0)0.6%,0.500%0.4%1.6001.3NAN%01.15   33.19(0.82%)32.99-33.25Uptrend 33.21(0.06%)33.06-33.2769
3Aug_31_2006-3.3%-5% 0.3%,0.3(0)0.2%,0.2(-0.1)0.4%,0.400%0.5%1.1001.2NAN%00.45   32.92(0.3%)32.75-32.96Uptrend 32.94(0.05%)32.84-32.9868
4Aug_30_2006-3.6%-4.7% 0.3%,0.3(0)0.2%,0.2(-0.2)0.3%,0.200%0.6%0.9001.2NAN%00.78   32.82(0.06%)32.67-32.86Uptrend 32.84(0.06%)32.75-32.8867
5Aug_29_2006-3.6%-4.7% 0.3%,0.2(0.1)0.5%,0.4(-0.1)0.1%,0.100%0.7%0.9001.2NAN%01.19   32.8(0.74%)32.48-32.8Uptrend 32.82(0.06%)32.73-32.8672
 
6Aug_28_2006-4.3%-3.9% 0.2%,0.2(-0.1)0.6%,0.5(0)-0.1%,-0.100%0.7%0.4001.2NAN%02.51   32.56(0.99%)32.22-32.68Uptrend 32.59(0.09%)32.53-32.6259
7Aug_25_2006-5.3%-2.9% 0.3%,0.2(-0.2)0.6%,0.5(-0.2)-0.5%,-0.500%0.6%-0.4001.2NAN%00.64   32.24(0%)32.08-32.28Uptrend 32.29(0.15%)32.27-32.349
8Aug_24_2006-5.3%-2.9% 0.6%,0.5(-0.2)0.8%,0.7(-0.2)-0.6%,-0.500%0.6%-0.4001.2NAN%00.28   32.24(-0.52%)32.16-32.43Uptrend 32.31(0.23%)32.27-32.3347
9Aug_23_2006-4.8%-3.4% 0.8%,0.6(-0.1)1%,0.8(-0)-0.3%,-0.200%0.6%0.1001.2NAN%01.41   32.41(-0.89%)32.31-32.71Uptrend 32.5(0.29%)32.4-32.5550
10Aug_22_2006-3.9%-4.3% 0.8%,0.7(-0.1)1%,0.8(0)0.1%,000%0.5%0.9001.2NAN%00.42   32.7(-0.09%)32.59-32.81Uptrend 32.79(0.27%)32.63-32.8658
 
11Aug_21_2006-3.8%-4.4% 1%,0.8(0)1%,0.8(0.1)0.4%,0.300%0.4%1001.2NAN%00.55   32.73(-1.09%)32.63-32.78Growing Uptrend 32.86(0.39%)32.65-32.9162
12Aug_18_2006-2.8%-5.6% 0.9%,0.7(0.1)0.8%,0.6(0.2)0.7%,0.500%0.3%1.8001.3NAN%03.5   33.09(-0.03%)32.86-33.21Growing Uptrend 33.2(0.33%)32.94-33.2761
13Aug_17_2006-2.8%-5.6% 0.7%,0.6(0.2)0.5%,0.4(0.2)0.7%,0.500%0.4%2.2001.3NAN%02.09   33.1(0.61%)32.89-33.21Breakout 33.13(0.1%)32.93-33.2261
14Aug_16_2006-3.3%-5% 0.5%,0.5(0.3)0.3%,0.3(0.3)0.8%,0.800%0.4%2.3001.1NAN%02.51   32.9(1.01%)32.55-32.94Breakout 32.91(0.04%)32.74-32.9965
15Aug_15_2006-4.7%-3.9% 0.3%,0.3(0.3)-0%,-0(0.3)0.3%,0.300%0.3%1.5001NAN%02.43   32.57(1.4%)32.31-32.61Growing Uptrend 32.56(-0.02%)32.47-32.5960
 
16Aug_14_2006-6%-2.5% -0%,-0(0.1)-0.3%,-0.3(-0.2)-0.2%,-0.200%0.3%0.3001NAN%01.94   32.12(0.28%)32.08-32.43Downtrend 32.09(-0.09%)32.09-32.147
17Aug_11_2006-7%-2.2% -0.2%,-0.2(0.1)-0.1%,-0.1(-0.4)-0.3%,-0.300%0.4%0.1001.1NAN%01.38   32.03(-0.03%)31.9-32.08Range Bound 32(-0.08%)32.01-3251
18Aug_10_2006-7.9%-2.2% -0.3%,-0.3(0.1)0.3%,0.3(-0.2)-0.3%,-0.200%0.6%0.2001.1NAN%02.58   32.04(1.36%)31.56-32.07N/A 32.02(-0.07%)31.99-32.0461
19Aug_9_2006-9.1%-0.9-0.4%,-0.4(0)0.5%,0.4(-0.2)-0.4%,-0.300%0.6%-1001.1NAN%02.49   31.61(-1.37%)31.58-32.2N/A 31.72(0.36%)31.61-31.8252
20Aug_8_2006-7.8%-2.3% -0.4%,-0.4(0.1)0.7%,0.6(-0.2)0%,000%0.6%0.1001.3NAN%01.53   32.05(-1.02%)31.97-32.49N/A 32.07(0.06%)32.02-32.1150
 
21Aug_7_2006-6.9%-3.3% -0.5%,-0.4(0.1)0.9%,0.7(-0.1)0.1%,000%0.6%0.8001.4NAN%00.77   32.38(-0.22%)32.23-32.49N/A 32.34(-0.11%)32.18-32.4862
22Aug_4_2006-6.7%-3.5% -0.6%,-0.4(0.1)1%,0.7(0)0.1%,0.100%0.4%0.8001.5NAN%02.31   32.45(0.03%)32.31-33N/A 32.43(-0.05%)32.24-32.5960
23Aug_3_2006-6.7%-3.5% -0.7%,-0.4(0)1%,0.6(0.1)0.3%,0.200%0%0.7001.7NAN%00.52   32.44(0.62%)31.91-32.54Uptrend Reversal 32.61(0.52%)32.47-32.762
24Aug_2_2006-7.3%-2.9% -0.8%,-0.4(-0)0.8%,0.4(0.1)0.2%,0.100%-0.3%0.2001.8NAN%00.62   32.24(0.81%)32.04-32.3Uptrend Reversal 32.42(0.55%)32.27-32.5254
25Aug_1_2006-8.1%-2% -0.8%,-0.4(-0.1)0.6%,0.3(0.2)-0.2%,-0.100%-0.5%-0.3001.8NAN%01.26   31.98(-0.93%)31.82-32.26Uptrend Reversal 32.16(0.57%)32.01-32.2645
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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