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     Thu. Aug. 24, 2006

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jan. 15, 2021)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)

XLY latest price $32.2400 (-0.52%) ($32.1600 - $32.4300) on Thu. Aug. 24, 2006.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Uptrend Consolidation
Trend Narrative  Uptrend
Average Daily Price Swing  $0.38 (1.17% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.99% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  0% (StdDev 0.99%)
Daily Moving Force  -0.1%
Trend   0.14%
Latest Price  $32.2400(-0.52%)
Forecasted Low Price  32.18(-0.2%)
Forecasted High Price  32.37(0.4%)
Direction of Next Movement  Range(0.2%)
Hourly Trend   0% [$0(0), $0(0)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Complacency  0
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  XLY declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XLY advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (90% probability)
  SPY(91%)    IWM(87%)    QQQ(87%)    PEJ(85%)    XLK(85%)  
Factors Impacting XLY price  XLY will advance at least -0% in a week (28% probabilities).
  TLT(-40%)    SHY(-28%)    TIP(-18%)    IDRV(-12%)    ROBT(-7%)  
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   -1.4
 
Relative Volatility   -0.7 (options are cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  0% (StdDev 0.99%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   -0.3%
  
 

  


Next Hour Price  $32.24(0%)
5 Day Moving Average  $32.63(-1.2%)
10 Day Moving Average  $32.59(-1.07%)
20 Day Moving Average  $32.39(-0.46%)
To recent high  -5.3%
To recent low  2.9%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.17% (three month std-dev: 0.99%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. XLY price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20060924

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Aug_24_200632.39 (0.5%)32.59 (0.7%)32.63 (-0.6%)  (0%)32.24(-0.52%)32.16-32.43-0.4(-0.4)0 -0.1%0%0%0.14% Uptrend Consolidation  Range(0.2%)0471.200Uptrend 32.31(0.23%)32.27-32.330.28   -5.3%-2.9% 
2Aug_23_200632.38 (0.6%)32.58 (0.8%)32.81 (-0.3%)  (0%)32.41(-0.89%)32.31-32.71-0.1(0.1)0 -0.1%0.2%0%0.18% Uptrend Consolidation  Higher(0.5%)0501.200Uptrend 32.51(0.3%)32.42-32.551.41   -4.8%-3.4% 
3Aug_22_200632.36 (0.7%)32.51 (0.8%)32.9 (0.1%)  (0%)32.7(-0.09%)32.59-32.810.7(0.9)0 %0.2%0%0.2% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.2%)0581.200Uptrend 32.79(0.28%)32.64-32.860.42   -3.9%-4.3% 
4Aug_21_200632.33 (0.8%)32.45 (0.8%)32.88 (0.4%)  (0%)32.73(-1.09%)32.63-32.780.9(1)0 0.1%0.1%0%0.2% Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.7%)0621.200Growing Uptrend 32.86(0.39%)32.66-32.910.55   -3.8%-4.4% 
5Aug_18_200632.3 (0.7%)32.41 (0.6%)32.76 (0.7%)  (0%)33.09(-0.03%)32.86-33.211.7(1.8)0 0.1%0.2%0%0.18% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.3%)0611.300Growing Uptrend 33.2(0.34%)32.95-33.273.5   -2.8%-5.6% 
 
6Aug_17_200632.21 (0.6%)32.34 (0.4%)32.54 (0.7%)  (0%)33.1(0.61%)32.89-33.212.1(2.2)0 0.1%0.2%-0.2%0.12% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.1%)0611.300Breakout 33.14(0.11%)32.94-33.222.09   -2.8%-5.6% 
7Aug_16_200632.13 (0.5%)32.26 (0.3%)32.33 (0.8%)  (0%)32.9(1.01%)32.55-32.942.1(2.3)0 0.2%0.2%-0.2%0.08% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.2%)0651.100Breakout 32.92(0.06%)32.76-32.992.51   -3.3%-5% 
8Aug_15_200632.09 (0.3%)32.19 (-0%)32.07 (0.3%)  (0%)32.57(1.4%)32.31-32.611.3(1.5)0 0.1%0.2%0%0.02% N/A  Range(0.3%)060100Growing Uptrend 32.57(-0.01%)32.49-32.592.43   -4.7%-3.9% 
9Aug_14_200632.03 (-0%)32.13 (-0.3%)31.97 (-0.2%)  (0%)32.12(0.28%)32.08-32.430.3(0.3)0 %-0%0%-0.04% N/A  Range(0%)047100Downtrend 32.09(-0.09%)32.09-32.11.94   -6%-2.5% 
10Aug_11_200632.01 (-0.2%)32.14 (-0.1%)32.02 (-0.3%)  (0%)32.03(-0.03%)31.9-32.080.1(0.1)0 -0.1%-0%0%-0.02% N/A  Range(-0.1%)0511.100Range Bound 32(-0.08%)32.01-321.38   -7%-2.2% 
 
11Aug_10_200631.98 (-0.3%)32.17 (0.3%)32.11 (-0.3%)  (0%)32.04(1.36%)31.56-32.070.2(0.2)0 %0%0%0.02% N/A  Range(0%)0611.100N/A 32.02(-0.07%)31.99-32.042.58   -7.9%-2.2% 
12Aug_9_200631.97 (-0.4%)32.15 (0.4%)32.19 (-0.4%)  (0%)31.61(-1.37%)31.58-32.2-0.9(-1)0 -0.1%-0.1%0%0.04% N/A  Higher(0.5%)0521.100N/A 31.71(0.32%)31.61-31.792.49   -9.1%-0.9
13Aug_8_200632.01 (-0.4%)32.2 (0.6%)32.31 (0%)  (0%)32.05(-1.02%)31.97-32.490.2(0.1)0 %-0.1%0%0.08% N/A  Range(0.4%)0501.300N/A 32.06(0.02%)31.99-32.111.53   -7.8%-2.3% 
14Aug_7_200632.04 (-0.4%)32.22 (0.7%)32.3 (0.1%)  (0%)32.38(-0.22%)32.23-32.490.7(0.8)0 %0.1%0%0.1% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.2%)0621.400N/A 32.34(-0.11%)32.18-32.480.77   -6.9%-3.3% 
15Aug_4_200632.06 (-0.4%)32.19 (0.7%)32.28 (0.1%)  (0%)32.45(0.03%)32.31-330.7(0.8)0 %0.2%0%0.1% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.2%)0601.500N/A 32.45(-0.01%)32.27-32.592.31   -6.7%-3.5% 
 
16Aug_3_200632.08 (-0.4%)32.08 (0.6%)32.24 (0.3%)  (0%)32.44(0.62%)31.91-32.540.6(0.7)0 0.1%0.2%0%0.1% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.3%)0621.700Uptrend Reversal 32.61(0.52%)32.47-32.70.52   -6.7%-3.5% 
17Aug_2_200632.11 (-0.4%)32 (0.4%)32.13 (0.2%)  (0%)32.24(0.81%)32.04-32.30.2(0.2)0 %0%0%0.06% Growing Uptrend  Range(0%)0541.800Uptrend Reversal 32.42(0.55%)32.27-32.520.62   -7.3%-2.9% 
18Aug_1_200632.15 (-0.4%)31.98 (0.3%)32.07 (-0.2%)  (0%)31.98(-0.93%)31.82-32.26-0.3(-0.3)0 %0%0%0.04% Uptrend Consolidation  Higher(0.5%)0451.800Uptrend Reversal 32.16(0.57%)32.01-32.261.26   -8.1%-2% 
19Jul_31_200632.21 (-0.3%)31.93 (0.1%)32.13 (0.2%)  (0%)32.28(0.06%)32.12-32.340.1(0.1)0 %0.1%0%-0% N/A  Range(0.1%)042200Rebound 32.23(-0.14%)32.28-32.220.42   -7.2%-3% 
20Jul_28_200632.26 (-0.3%)31.86 (-0.1%)32.08 (0.6%)  (0%)32.26(1.22%)32-32.31-0(0)0 0.1%0.1%0%-0.06% N/A  Range(0.2%)0422.200Rebound 32.29(0.08%)32.19-32.332.66   -7.2%-2.9% 
 
21Jul_27_200632.31 (-0.3%)31.77 (-0.4%)31.9 (0.2%)  (0%)31.87(-0.22%)31.81-32.29-0.6(-0.6)0 %-0%0%-0.18% Downtrend Consolidation  Range(0.1%)0382.300The Bottom 31.85(-0.07%)31.5-32.140.76   -8.4%-1.7% 
22Jul_26_200632.35 (-0.4%)31.76 (-0.7%)31.85 (-0.1%)  (0%)31.94(-1.15%)31.92-32.2-0.5(-0.6)0 %-0.1%0%-0.26% Growing Downtrend  Higher(0.5%)0362.300Downtrend 31.72(-0.7%)31.59-32.012.2   -8.2%-1.9% 
23Jul_25_200632.39 (-0.4%)31.8 (-0.7%)31.87 (0.6%)  (0%)32.31(0.91%)31.9-32.39-0.1(-0.1)0 0.1%-0.1%0%-0.28% Downtrend Consolidation  Range(0%)0392.300Downtrend Consolidation 32.14(-0.52%)32.35-32.071.59   -7.1%-3.1% 
24Jul_24_200632.42 (-0.5%)31.84 (-1%)31.69 (0.3%)  (0%)32.02(2.17%)31.49-32.07-0.5(-0.6)0 0.1%-0.2%0%-0.36% Downtrend Consolidation  Range(-0.1%)0332.400After Bottom 31.8(-0.68%)31.27-32.231.37   -7.9%-2.2% 
25Jul_21_200632.47 (-0.5%)31.92 (-1.1%)31.61 (-0%)  (0%)31.34(-0.92%)31.28-31.6-1.4(-1.6)0 %-0.4%0%-0.4% Growing Downtrend  Range(0.1%)0242.500The Bottom 31.26(-0.27%)30.45-31.911.72   -9.9%-0
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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