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     Mon. Jul. 31, 2006

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Feb. 24, 2021)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)

XLY latest price $32.2800 (0.06%) ($32.1200 - $32.3400) on Mon. Jul. 31, 2006.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  N/A
Trend Narrative  Rebound
Average Daily Price Swing  $0.63 (1.96% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.96% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  0.1% (StdDev 0.96%)
Daily Moving Force  %
Correction Force  Weak (0%)
Trend   -0%
Trend Strength  -0.9%
RSI   42
Momentum  2
Latest Price  $32.2800(0.06%)
Forecasted Low Price  32.22(-0.2%)
Forecasted High Price  32.38(0.3%)
Direction of Next Movement  Range(0.1%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction  -100% (0)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  1.6%
Hourly Trend   0% [$0(0), $0(0)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Complacency  0
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  XLY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XLY advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (90% probability)
  SPY(91%)    IWM(87%)    QQQ(87%)    PEJ(85%)    XLK(85%)  
Factors Impacting XLY price  XLY will advance at least -0% in a week (31% probabilities).
  TLT(-40%)    SHY(-28%)    TIP(-18%)    GLD(-2%)    REMX(-0%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Buy the rebound
 
Valuation to SPY   -1.3
 
Relative Volatility   0.6 (options are expensive)
 
Market Trend Strength  0.1% (StdDev 0.96%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.5%
  
 

  


Next Hour Price  $32.28(0%)
5 Day Moving Average  $32.13(0.47%)
10 Day Moving Average  $31.93(1.1%)
20 Day Moving Average  $32.21(0.22%)
To recent high  -7.2%
To recent low  3%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.96% (three month std-dev: 0.96%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. XLY price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20060831

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Jul_31_200632.21 (-0.2%)31.93 (0%)32.13 (0.2%)  (0%)32.28(0.06%)32.12-32.34-0.2(0.1)0 %0.1%0%-0%-0.9%422 N/A  Range(0.1%)000Rebound 32.23(-0.14%)32.28-32.220.42   -7.2%-3% 
2Jul_28_200632.26 (-0.2%)31.86 (-0%)32.08 (0.6%)  (0%)32.26(1.22%)32-32.31-0.4(0)0 0.1%0.1%0%-0.06%-1.3%422.2 N/A  Range(0.2%)000Rebound 32.29(0.08%)32.19-32.332.66   -7.2%-2.9% 
3Jul_27_200632.31 (-0.2%)31.77 (-0.2%)31.9 (0.2%)  (0%)31.87(-0.22%)31.81-32.29-0.6(-0.6)0 %-0%0%-0.18%-1.7%382.3 Downtrend Consolidation  Range(0.1%)000The Bottom 31.85(-0.07%)31.5-32.140.76   -8.4%-1.7% 
4Jul_26_200632.35 (-0.2%)31.76 (-0.2%)31.85 (-0.1%)  (0%)31.94(-1.15%)31.92-32.2-0.8(-0.6)0 %-0.1%0%-0.26%-1.8%362.3 Growing Downtrend  Higher(0.5%)000Downtrend 31.72(-0.7%)31.59-32.012.2   -8.2%-1.9% 
5Jul_25_200632.39 (-0.2%)31.8 (-0.4%)31.87 (0.6%)  (0%)32.31(0.91%)31.9-32.39-0.8(-0.1)0 0.1%-0.1%0%-0.28%-1.8%392.3 Downtrend Consolidation  Range(0%)000Downtrend Consolidation 32.14(-0.52%)32.35-32.071.59   -7.1%-3.1% 
 
6Jul_24_200632.42 (-0.2%)31.84 (-0.4%)31.69 (0.3%)  (0%)32.02(2.17%)31.49-32.07-1.2(-0.6)0 0.1%-0.2%0%-0.36%-1.8%332.4 Downtrend Consolidation  Range(-0.1%)000After Bottom 31.8(-0.68%)31.27-32.231.37   -7.9%-2.2% 
7Jul_21_200632.47 (-0.2%)31.92 (-0.4%)31.61 (-0%)  (0%)31.34(-0.92%)31.28-31.6-1.5(-1.6)0 %-0.4%0%-0.4%-1.7%242.5 Growing Downtrend  Range(0.1%)000The Bottom 31.26(-0.27%)30.45-31.911.72   -9.9%-0
8Jul_20_200632.55 (-0.2%)32.07 (-0.6%)31.62 (-0.1%)  (0%)31.63(-1.31%)31.6-32.04-1.8(-1.4)0 %-0.4%0%-0.42%-1.5%262.3 Growing Downtrend  Range(0.3%)000Downtrend 31.27(-1.14%)31.04-31.790.82   -9.1%-0.8
9Jul_19_200632.63 (-0.2%)32.22 (-0.4%)31.65 (-0.2%)  (0%)32.05(2.01%)31.48-32.09-2.1(-0.9)0 %-0.3%0.8%-0.4%-1.3%442.2 Growing Downtrend  Higher(0.5%)000Growing Downtrend 31.73(-1%)31.48-32.141.38   -7.8%-2.1% 
10Jul_18_200632.67 (-0.2%)32.32 (-0.4%)31.72 (-0.9%)  (0%)31.42(-0.6%)31.13-31.57-2.4(-2)0 -0.2%-0.5%1.35%-0.36%-1.1%352.3 Growing Downtrend  Higher(1%)000Growing Downtrend 31.11(-0.98%)30.84-31.61.49   -9.7%-0.1
 
11Jul_17_200632.76 (-0.2%)32.53 (-0.4%)32.02 (-0.8%)  (0%)31.61(0.7%)31.39-31.66-2.2(-2.1)0 -0.2%-0.5%1.1%-0.28%-0.7%322 Downtrend Pop  Range(0.4%)000Growing Downtrend 31.42(-0.61%)31.23-31.790.55   -9.1%-0.7
12Jul_14_200632.84 (-0%)32.71 (-0.2%)32.29 (-0.9%)  (0%)31.39(-1.29%)31.27-31.71-1.9(-3)0 -0.2%-0.5%0%-0.18%-0.4%321.7 Breakdown  Range(-0.1%)000Growing Downtrend 31.3(-0.3%)31.16-31.621.53   -9.7%-0
13Jul_13_200632.94 (-0%)32.92 (-0%)32.59 (-0.8%)  (0%)31.8(-1.82%)31.78-32.26-1.4(-3.1)0 -0.2%-0.3%0%-0.08%-0.1%351.3 Breakdown  Range(0.4%)000Growing Downtrend 31.78(-0.05%)31.71-31.990.59   -8.6%-0
14Jul_12_200632.99 (-0%)33.02 (-0%)32.86 (-0.5%)  (0%)32.39(-1.58%)32.35-32.96-0.6(-2.1)0 -0.1%-0.1%0%-0.02%0.1%381 Breakdown  Higher(0.6%)000Downtrend 32.4(0.04%)32.36-32.490.68   -6.9%-0
15Jul_11_200633 (-0%)33.05 (0%)33.01 (-0.3%)  (0%)32.91(-0.09%)32.58-32.94-0(-0.3)0 -0.1%-0%0%0%0.2%521 N/A  Range(-0.1%)000Range Bound 32.91(0.01%)32.94-32.90.43   -5.4%-1.4% 
 
16Jul_10_200632.99 (-0%)33.05 (0%)33.11 (-0.3%)  (0%)32.94(0.12%)32.84-33.130.3(-0.2)0 -0.1%-0%0%0.02%0.2%501 N/A  Range(-0.1%)000N/A 32.95(0.04%)32.94-32.960.28   -5.3%-1.5% 
17Jul_7_200633 (-0%)33.05 (0%)33.2 (-0.3%)  (0%)32.9(-0.75%)32.83-33.30.5(-0.4)0 -0.1%-0%0%0.04%0.2%461 N/A  Range(0.3%)000N/A 32.94(0.13%)32.92-32.960.32   -5.4%-1.4% 
18Jul_6_200633.01 (-0%)33.05 (0%)33.3 (0.3%)  (0%)33.15(0.06%)33.05-33.280.8(0.5)0 0.1%-0%0%0.04%0.2%471 N/A  Range(0.1%)000N/A 33.14(-0.04%)33.07-33.190.31   -4.7%-2.2% 
19Jul_5_200633.01 (-0%)33.07 (0%)33.2 (0.3%)  (0%)33.13(-0.93%)32.98-33.190.6(0.4)0 0.1%0.1%0%0.04%0.2%591.1 N/A  Higher(0.7%)000N/A 33.13(0.01%)33.09-33.170.6   -4.7%-2.1% 
20Jul_3_200633.01 (-0%)33.04 (0%)33.1 (0.2%)  (0%)33.44(0.15%)33.29-33.510.4(1.4)0 %0.1%0%0.02%0.1%651.1 N/A  Range(0.1%)000N/A 33.35(-0.27%)33.21-33.460.29   -3.9%-3.1% 
 
21Jun_30_200633.02 (-0%)32.99 (0%)33.02 (0.3%)  (0%)33.39(0.06%)33.34-33.50(1.1)0 0.1%0%0%0.02%-0.1%591.3 N/A  Range(0.1%)000Uptrend Reversal 33.5(0.34%)33.41-33.570.58   -4%-2.9% 
22Jun_29_200633.04 (-0%)32.96 (0%)32.92 (0.3%)  (0%)33.37(2.17%)32.66-33.38-0.4(0.8)0 0.1%0%0%-0.02%-0.2%521.5 N/A  Range(0.1%)000After Bottom 33.29(-0.25%)33.19-33.370.63   -4.1%-2.9% 
23Jun_28_200633.06 (-0%)32.96 (-0%)32.83 (-0.3%)  (0%)32.66(0.09%)32.5-32.73-0.8(-1)0 -0.1%-0%0%-0.04%-0.4%421.6 N/A  Range(-0.1%)000N/A 32.75(0.28%)32.57-32.90.38   -6.1%-0.7
24Jun_27_200633.11 (-0%)32.95 (-0%)32.93 (-0.1%)  (0%)32.63(-1.27%)32.59-33.07-0.6(-1.2)0 %-0%0%-0.02%-0.5%411.5 N/A  Higher(0.6%)000Rebound 32.86(0.71%)32.59-32.980.39   -6.2%-0.6
25Jun_26_200633.14 (-0%)32.94 (-0%)32.97 (0%)  (0%)33.05(0.52%)32.87-33.05-0.5(-0.2)0 %0%0%-0.04%-0.6%461.6 N/A  Range(0%)000Rebound 33.09(0.11%)32.99-33.130.3   -5%-1.9% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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