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     Thu. Jul. 21, 2005



Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Mon. Nov. 30, 2020)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)

XLY latest price $34.4000 (-0.23%) ($34.2800 - $34.6000) on Thu. Jul. 21, 2005.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Uptrend
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  XLY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XLY advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XLY advance at 0.8% a week (90% probability)
  SPY(91%)    IWM(87%)    QQQ(87%)    XLK(85%)    VGK(79%)  
Factors Impacting XLY price  XLY will advance at least 0.4% in a week (27% probabilities).
  TLT(-39%)    SHY(-27%)    TIP(-18%)    IDRV(-13%)    ACES(-8%)  
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   -0.8
 
Relative Volatility   2.5 (options are extremely expensive)
 
Hourly BBV   0
Hourly Trend   0% [$0(0), $0(0)]
Last Hour Trend   0% [$0, $0]


XLY Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  67%
Bullish Price Move  0.8%
Bearish Probability  33%
Bearish Price Move  -0.8%
Recommended Position Size  43%
Latest Price  $34.4000
Next Hour Price  $34.4(0%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $34.69(0.84%)
1 - 5 Day Possible Target  $35.24(2.44%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $34.22 - $34.89
Support Level  $33.52
5 Day Moving Average  $34.3(0.29%)
10 Day Moving Average  $34.05(1.03%)
20 Day Moving Average  $33.52(2.63%)
To recent high  -0.2%
To recent low  11%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 


  
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.79% (three month std-dev: 0.75%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. XLY price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20050821

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Jul_21_2005-0.2%-11% 0.6%,0.3(0)2%,1.1(0.1)0.3%,0.100%1.6%1.5002.4NAN%00.24   34.4(-0.23%)34.28-34.6Uptrend 34.69(0.84%)34.22-34.8981
2Jul_20_20050%-11.3% 0.5%,0.3(0)1.9%,1.2(0.2)0.4%,0.200%1.3%1.8002.1NAN%00.77   34.48(0.38%)34.07-34.51Growing Uptrend 34.79(0.89%)34.28-34.9177
3Jul_19_20050%-10.9% 0.4%,0.3(0)1.7%,1.1(-0)0.3%,0.200%1%1.8001.8NAN%01.1   34.35(0.62%)34.16-34.37Uptrend 34.51(0.48%)34.17-34.6670
4Jul_18_20050%-10.2% 0.4%,0.3(0)1.7%,1.2(0.1)0.3%,0.200%0.7%1.6001.7NAN%00.33   34.14(0.09%)33.9-34.23Uptrend 34.3(0.46%)34-34.4374
5Jul_15_20050%-10.1% 0.4%,0.3(0)1.6%,1.2(0.2)0.4%,0.300%0.4%1.6001.6NAN%00.2   34.11(0.41%)33.91-34.19Growing Uptrend 34.3(0.57%)33.97-34.3969
 
6Jul_14_20050%-9.7% 0.4%,0.3(0.1)1.3%,1(0.4)0.6%,0.500%0.1%1.5001.4NAN%00.24   33.97(0.53%)33.89-34.18Growing Uptrend 34.12(0.43%)33.85-34.1861
7Jul_13_2005-0.3%-9.1% 0.3%,0.2(0.1)0.8%,0.7(0.4)0.6%,0.500%-0.2%1.2001.3NAN%00.18   33.79(-0.27%)33.72-34.03Uptrend 33.86(0.21%)33.7-33.9348
8Jul_12_20050%-9.4% 0.2%,0.2(0.1)0.3%,0.3(0.5)0.4%,0.400%-0.3%1.6001.3NAN%00.56   33.88(0.65%)33.6-33.96Uptrend 33.89(0.02%)33.76-33.9449
9Jul_11_2005-0.2%-8.7% 0.1%,0.1(0.1)-0.2%,-0.2(0.5)0.5%,0.400%-0.5%1.1001.2NAN%00.32   33.66(0.54%)33.48-33.72Range Bound 33.6(-0.19%)33.51-33.6647
10Jul_8_2005-0.7%-8.1% -0%,-0(0.1)-0.7%,-0.7(0.4)0.4%,0.400%-0.7%0.7001.1NAN%01.02   33.48(1.55%)32.97-33.49Downtrend Consolidation 33.43(-0.14%)33.39-33.4445
 
11Jul_7_2005-2.3%-6.4% -0.2%,-0.2(0)-1.1%,-1.1(-0)0%,000%-0.8%-0.7001.1NAN%00.41   32.97(0.3%)32.45-33Downtrend 32.9(-0.2%)32.85-33.0238
12Jul_6_2005-2.5%-6.1% -0.2%,-0.2(-0.1)-1.1%,-1(-0.1)-0.2%,-0.100%-0.6%-1001.1NAN%00.22   32.87(-0.9%)32.83-33.15Growing Downtrend 32.81(-0.17%)32.75-32.9438
13Jul_5_2005-1.7%-7.1% -0.1%,-0.1(0.1)-0.9%,-0.9(0)0.3%,0.300%-0.4%-0.2001.1NAN%00.26   33.17(0.94%)32.77-33.2Downtrend 33.12(-0.16%)33.09-33.1942
14Jul_1_2005-2.6%-6.1% -0.2%,-0.2(0)-1%,-1(-0.1)0%,000%-0.2%-1.1001.1NAN%00.67   32.86(0.24%)32.76-32.96Growing Downtrend 32.82(-0.13%)32.76-32.9345
15Jun_30_2005-2.8%-5.8% -0.2%,-0.2(-0.1)-0.9%,-0.9(-0.2)-0.2%,-0.200%-0.1%-1.4001.1NAN%00.31   32.78(-0.52%)32.78-33.15Growing Downtrend 32.74(-0.12%)32.69-32.8745
 
16Jun_29_2005-2.3%-6.4% -0.1%,-0.1(-0.2)-0.6%,-0.7(-0.4)-0.5%,-0.500%0.1%-1001NAN%00.46   32.95(-0.6%)32.93-33.15Downtrend 32.91(-0.11%)32.88-3348
17Jun_28_2005-1.7%-7% 0%,0(-0.1)-0.2%,-0.3(-0.3)-0.3%,-0.400%0.3%-0.4001NAN%00.17   33.15(1.41%)32.76-33.18Correction 32.98(-0.52%)32.94-33.1256
18Jun_27_2005-3.1%-5.5% 0.1%,0.1(-0.2)0.1%,0.1(-0.4)-0.6%,-0.700%0.4%-1.9001NAN%00.67   32.69(-0.46%)32.68-32.88Downtrend Reversal 32.54(-0.46%)32.51-32.6742
19Jun_24_2005-2.6%-6% 0.3%,0.4(-0.2)0.4%,0.5(-0.4)-0.5%,-0.600%0.5%-1.6000.9NAN%00.62   32.84(-0.88%)32.82-33.1Uptrend Dip 32.95(0.33%)32.83-32.9847
20Jun_23_2005-1.8%-6.9% 0.5%,0.6(-0.1)0.8%,0.9(-0.2)-0.3%,-0.300%0.6%-0.7000.9NAN%00.21   33.13(-1.75%)33.13-33.73Uptrend Dip 33.25(0.36%)33.2-33.2656
 
21Jun_22_2005-0%-8.8% 0.6%,0.7(-0.1)0.9%,1.1(0.1)0.1%,0.100%0.6%1.5001NAN%00.48   33.72(-0.03%)33.56-33.88Uptrend 33.76(0.13%)33.63-33.8265
22Jun_21_20050%-8.9% 0.7%,0.9(-0.2)0.8%,1(0)0.1%,0.100%0.5%1.7000.9NAN%00.39   33.73(0.06%)33.58-33.85Uptrend 33.77(0.12%)33.64-33.8371
23Jun_20_20050%-8.8% 0.9%,1.2(-0.2)0.8%,1.1(0.2)0.3%,0.400%0.5%2000.8NAN%00.2   33.71(0.06%)33.47-33.76Breakout 33.75(0.12%)33.61-33.8173
24Jun_17_20050%-8.7% 1%,1.4(-0.2)0.7%,1(0.3)0.4%,0.500%0.4%2.2000.8NAN%00.15   33.69(0.27%)33.61-33.83Breakout 33.73(0.11%)33.59-33.7867
25Jun_16_2005-0.2%-8.5% 1.1%,1.8(-0.1)0.5%,0.8(0.1)0.3%,0.500%0.3%2.3000.7NAN%00.12   33.6(0.21%)33.51-33.69Breakout 33.62(0.07%)33.51-33.6765
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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