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     Tue. May. 13, 2014



Trading Signals: XLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Thu. Dec. 3, 2020)

(Health Care sector ETF)

XLV latest price $54.4479 (0.15%) ($54.3735 - $54.6434) on Tue. May. 13, 2014.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Growing Uptrend
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  XLV advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XLV advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XLV advance at 0.4% a week (76% probability)
  XLI(73%)    XLB(71%)    XRT(62%)    XHB(17%)    ARKK(6%)  
Factors Impacting XLV price  XLV will decline at least -0.7% in a week (12% probabilities).
  EMHY(-13%)    XLF(-12%)    PCY(-12%)    XLY(-11%)    XLK(-11%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   -2.2
 
Relative Volatility   -2.4 (options are extremely cheap)
 
Hourly BBV   0
Hourly Trend   0% [$0(0), $0(0)]
Last Hour Trend   0% [$0, $0]


XLV Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  64%
Bullish Price Move  1%
Bearish Probability  36%
Bearish Price Move  -1%
Recommended Position Size  28%
Latest Price  $54.4479
Next Hour Price  $54.45(0%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $54.48(0.05%)
1 - 5 Day Possible Target  $54.53(0.15%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $54.31 - $54.52
Support Level  $53.77
5 Day Moving Average  $53.98(0.87%)
10 Day Moving Average  $53.97(0.89%)
20 Day Moving Average  $53.77(1.26%)
To recent high  -1.7%
To recent low  5%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 


  
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. XLV price fluctuates within 0.86% (three month std-dev: 0.98%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. XLV price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20140613

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1May_13_2014-1.7%-5% 0.6%,0.7(0.2)0.2%,0.2(0.2)0.3%,0.300%0.4%1.5000.9NAN%03.23   54.45(0.15%)54.37-54.64Growing Uptrend 54.48(0.05%)54.31-54.5256
2May_12_2014-1.8%-4.8% 0.4%,0.4(0.2)0%,0(0)0.1%,0.100%0.5%1.3001NAN%05.24   54.36(1.02%)53.94-54.4N/A 54.2(-0.3%)53.94-54.451
3May_9_2014-2.8%-3.8% 0.2%,0.2(0.2)-0%,-0(-0)0%,000%0.6%0.4001.2NAN%07.3   53.82(0.61%)53.15-53.87Range Bound 53.78(-0.08%)53.72-53.8253
4May_8_2014-3.4%-3.2% -0%,-0(0)0%,0(-0.2)-0.3%,-0.200%0.7%0001.3NAN%07.71   53.49(-0.54%)53.34-54.09Range Bound 53.47(-0.04%)53.49-53.4658
5May_7_2014-2.9%-3.7% -0%,-0(0.1)0.3%,0.2(-0.2)-0.1%,-0.100%0.7%0.4001.3NAN%09.06   53.78(0.28%)53.08-53.79N/A 53.74(-0.08%)53.62-53.8361
 
6May_6_2014-3.1%-3.4% -0.1%,-0.1(0)0.6%,0.5(-0.3)-0.2%,-0.100%0.8%0.2001.3NAN%06.12   53.63(-0.88%)53.6-54.05N/A 53.64(0.02%)53.52-53.7463
7May_5_2014-2.3%-4.3% -0.2%,-0.1(0)1.1%,0.8(-0.2)0.1%,0.100%0.9%0.9001.3NAN%07.22   54.1(0.66%)53.25-54.12N/A 54.08(-0.04%)53.72-54.3774
8May_2_2014-2.9%-3.7% -0.2%,-0.2(-0)1.3%,1(-0.1)0.1%,0.100%0.8%0.5001.3NAN%06.13   53.75(-0.86%)53.64-54.3N/A 53.83(0.15%)53.54-54.0774
9May_1_2014-2.1%-4.6% -0.2%,-0.1(-0)1.4%,0.9(0.2)0.2%,0.100%0.6%1001.4NAN%06.86   54.22(0.22%)53.79-54.51Uptrend Reversal 54.47(0.46%)54.26-54.6171
10Apr_30_2014-2.3%-4.3% -0.1%,-0.1(-0)1.1%,0.7(0)0.1%,000%0.3%0.7001.5NAN%011.12   54.09(0.09%)53.77-54.18N/A 54.1(0.01%)53.71-54.448
 
11Apr_29_2014-2.4%-4.2% -0.1%,-0(-0.1)1%,0.6(0.1)-0.1%,-000%0%0.6001.5NAN%08.96   54.05(0.59%)53.68-54.09Uptrend Reversal 54.33(0.52%)54.09-54.4957
12Apr_28_2014-3%-3.6% 0%,0(0)0.9%,0.5(0.2)0.1%,000%-0.3%0.2001.5NAN%09.74   53.73(0.59%)53.03-54.1N/A 53.82(0.16%)53.6-53.9951
13Apr_25_2014-3.5%-3% -0.1%,-0(0.1)0.5%,0.3(0.3)0.2%,0.100%-0.7%-0.1001.5NAN%06.37   53.41(-0.74%)53.28-53.8Uptrend Reversal 53.69(0.53%)53.45-53.8546
14Apr_24_2014-2.8%-3.8% -0.2%,-0.1(0.1)-0%,-0(0.2)0.3%,0.200%-0.9%0.3001.5NAN%08.01   53.82(-0.16%)53.31-54.18Rebound 53.7(-0.23%)53.82-53.6442
15Apr_23_2014-2.7%-4% -0.4%,-0.2(0.1)-0.4%,-0.2(0.3)0.5%,0.300%-0.9%0.4001.5NAN%08.67   53.9(-0.5%)53.71-54.29N/A 53.73(-0.31%)53.7-53.7741
 
16Apr_22_2014-2.2%-4.5% -0.6%,-0.4(0.2)-0.9%,-0.6(0.4)0.8%,0.500%-1.1%0.7001.5NAN%08.98   54.17(1.09%)53.89-54.45Downtrend Consolidation 54.02(-0.27%)53.95-54.0544
17Apr_21_2014-3.2%-3.3% -0.9%,-0.6(0.1)-1.5%,-0.9(0.2)0.7%,0.400%-1.2%0001.5NAN%05.55   53.58(1.2%)52.95-53.6Downtrend Consolidation 53.41(-0.31%)53.62-53.3544
18Apr_17_2014-4.4%-2.1% -1.1%,-0.6(0)-1.9%,-1.1(-0)0.2%,0.100%-1.2%-0.7001.6NAN%08.66   52.95(-0.02%)52.67-53.22Downtrend 52.64(-0.59%)52.44-53.0946
19Apr_16_2014-4.4%-2.1% -1.1%,-0.6(-0.1)-1.9%,-1.1(-0.2)-0.5%,-0.300%-1%-0.7001.6NAN%029.59   52.96(0.49%)52.62-53.25Growing Downtrend 52.64(-0.6%)52.39-53.0845
20Apr_15_2014-4.8%-1.6% -1%,-0.6(-0)-1.5%,-0.8(-0.1)-0.1%,-0.100%-0.9%-1.1001.6NAN%017.42   52.7(1.07%)51.58-52.81Downtrend 52.42(-0.53%)52.21-52.9242
 
21Apr_14_2014-5.8%-0.6-1%,-0.6(-0)-1.4%,-0.7(-0.2)-0.5%,-0.300%-0.8%-1.8001.6NAN%011.09   52.14(0.56%)51.55-52.44Growing Downtrend 51.95(-0.36%)51.71-52.4739
22Apr_11_2014-6.4%--0-0.9%,-0.6(-0.6)-1%,-0.6(-0.2)-0.8%,-0.500%-0.6%-2.5001.4NAN%014.71   51.85(-0.94%)51.71-52.76Growing Downtrend 51.73(-0.24%)51.51-52.2541
23Apr_10_2014-5.5%--00%,0(0)-0.6%,-0.4(-0.2)-1%,-0.700%-0.4%-2.5001.2NAN%017.62   52.34(-3.33%)52.22-54.22Downtrend 52.34(0%)52.2-52.6740
24Apr_9_2014-2.2%-2.1% 0%,0(0)-0.3%,-0.3(0)-0.3%,-0.300%-0.3%-0.2001.2NAN%014.44   54.15(2.14%)53.1-54.16Downtrend 54.11(-0.07%)54.09-54.1742
25Apr_8_2014-4.3%--00%,0(0)-0.3%,-0.2(-0.1)-0.6%,-0.500%-0.4%-2001.4NAN%015.17   53.01(-0.82%)52.69-53.53Downtrend 53.02(0.01%)52.91-53.2532
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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