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     Tue. Jan. 21, 2020



Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Mon. Nov. 30, 2020)

(Utilities sector ETF)

XLU latest price $67.3700 (0.91%) ($66.6400 - $67.4000) on Tue. Jan. 21, 2020.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Breakout
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  XLU advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XLU advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XLU advance at 0.6% a week (90% probability)
  XLRE(88%)    XLP(87%)    VYM(86%)    SDY(85%)    IVE(84%)  
Factors Impacting XLU price  XLU will advance at least 0.3% in a week (41% probabilities).
  VXX(-49%)    VIXM(-49%)    TLT(-41%)    EDOC(-20%)    TIP(-14%)  
Explanation   The rally is sustainable and supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Buy the breakout
 
Valuation to SPY   0.2
 
Relative Volatility   2.6 (options are extremely expensive)
 
Hourly BBV   1.1
Hourly Trend   0.72% [$66.79(0.47), $66.31(0.57)]
Last Hour Trend   0.06% [$67.28, $67.24]


XLU Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  88%
Bullish Price Move  0.6%
Bearish Probability  13%
Bearish Price Move  -0.6%
Recommended Position Size  125%
Latest Price  $67.3700
Next Day Open Price  $67.45(0.12%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $68.02(0.96%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $66.85 - $68.52
Support Level  $64.77
5 Day Moving Average  $66.26(1.68%)
10 Day Moving Average  $65.32(3.14%)
20 Day Moving Average  $64.77(4.01%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  9.8%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
One Year Target Price   $113.95 (69.14%)
 


  
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.62% (three month std-dev: 0.62%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. XLU price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20200221

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Jan_21_20200%-9.8% 0.9%,0.5(0.1)1.8%,1.1(0.3)0.8%,0.51.50.06%0.8%2.51.10.22.60.45%0.923.88   67.37(0.91%)66.64-67.4Breakout 68.02(0.96%)66.85-68.5278
2Jan_17_20200%-8.8% 0.8%,0.6(0.1)1.3%,1(0.3)0.7%,0.62.10.09%0.5%2.6202.10.4%1.611.76   66.76(0.69%)66.1-66.85Breakout 67.13(0.56%)66.34-67.4875
3Jan_16_20200%-8% 0.7%,0.7(0.1)0.9%,0.9(0.4)0.6%,0.62.40.05%0.3%2.81.3-0.11.7NAN%1.710.9   66.3(0.62%)65.92-66.37Breakout 66.5(0.3%)65.95-66.7374
4Jan_15_20200%-7.4% 0.6%,0.8(0.1)0.5%,0.6(0.3)0.6%,0.82.10.02%0%3.12.301.3NAN%1.815.89   65.89(1.4%)65.11-66Breakout 65.96(0.1%)65.59-66.1272
5Jan_14_20200%-5.9% 0.5%,1(0.2)0.2%,0.5(0.4)0.3%,0.72.40.06%-0%2.11.8-0.20.9NAN%2.311.5   64.98(0.29%)64.5-65Uptrend 65.01(0.05%)64.85-65.0866
 
6Jan_13_2020-0%-5.6% 0.4%,1(0.2)0%,0(0.4)0.3%,0.62.70.05%-0%22.4-0.30.8NAN%2.312.67   64.79(0.61%)64.38-64.98N/A 64.67(-0.19%)64.44-64.8651
7Jan_10_2020-0.6%-4.9% 0.3%,0.6(0.1)-0.2%,-0.3(0.3)0.1%,0.31.5-0.02%0%0.8-0.3-0.30.9NAN%0.910.59   64.4(0.26%)64.29-64.63Growing Uptrend 64.41(0.01%)64.35-64.4244
8Jan_9_2020-0.9%-4.7% 0.3%,0.4(0)-0.3%,-0.5(0.2)0.1%,0.20.30%0.1%0.40.1-0.41.2NAN%1.111.64   64.23(0.55%)63.79-64.3Growing Uptrend 64.2(-0.04%)64.2-64.2142
9Jan_8_2020-1.5%-4.1% 0.3%,0.4(-0.1)-0.4%,-0.6(-0.1)-0.2%,-0.3-0.30.05%0.2%-0.30.4-0.41.3NAN%0.412.74   63.88(-0.05%)63.78-64.16Correction 63.56(-0.5%)63.5-63.8142
10Jan_7_2020-1.4%-4.1% 0.4%,0.4(-0.1)-0.3%,-0.4(-0.3)-0.1%,-0.2-0.60%0.2%-0.1-0.1-0.31.4NAN%0.413.07   63.91(-0.14%)63.55-63.94Correction 63.65(-0.41%)63.59-63.8847
 
11Jan_6_2020-1.3%-4.3% 0.4%,0.5(-0.1)-0.1%,-0.1(-0.4)-0.1%,-0.1-0.9-0.03%0.4%0.1-0.4-0.31.5NAN%0.410.44   64(0.09%)63.76-64.19Correction 63.98(-0.03%)63.94-64.0361
12Jan_3_2020-1.4%-4.2% 0.5%,0.5(-0)0.2%,0.2(-0.3)-0.1%,-0.1-0.6-0.08%0.5%0-0.7-0.31.5NAN%0.317.99   63.94(0.2%)63.71-64.17Uptrend Consolidation 63.96(0.03%)63.94-64.0267
13Jan_2_2020-1.6%-4% 0.5%,0.5(-0)0.5%,0.5(-0.3)-0.1%,-0.10.30.09%0.7%-0.1-0.8-0.41.6NAN%1.219.11   63.81(-1.25%)63.57-64.75Uptrend Consolidation 63.86(0.08%)63.84-63.9361
14Dec_31_2019-0.3%-5.3% 0.6%,0.5(0.1)0.7%,0.7(-0.1)0.2%,0.20.30.14%0.8%1.2501.7NAN%110.81   64.62(0.39%)64.28-64.7Uptrend 64.79(0.26%)64.47-64.9274
15Dec_30_2019-0.7%-4.9% 0.5%,0.4(-0)0.8%,0.8(-0.1)-0.1%,-0.10.30.09%0.9%0.9-0.901.7NAN%0.711.93   64.37(-0.02%)64.03-64.38Uptrend 64.55(0.28%)64.25-64.6872
 
16Dec_27_2019-0.7%-4.9% 0.5%,0.5(-0)0.9%,0.9(0)-0.1%,-0.100.06%0.9%1-0.901.7NAN%0.910.28   64.38(0.3%)64.07-64.38Uptrend 64.55(0.27%)64.24-64.6867
17Dec_26_2019-1.1%-4.6% 0.5%,0.5(-0)0.9%,0.8(-0.1)-0.1%,-0.1-0.6-0.03%0.8%0.9-101.7NAN%1.16.66   64.19(0.17%)63.93-64.25Uptrend 64.37(0.28%)64.07-64.4961
18Dec_24_2019-1.3%-4.4% 0.6%,0.6(-0)1%,1(-0.1)-0.1%,-0.1-0.90.03%0.7%0.8-1.401.6NAN%1.24.51   64.08(0.14%)63.74-64.11Uptrend 64.27(0.3%)63.97-64.4162
19Dec_23_2019-1.4%-4.3% 0.6%,0.6(-0)1.1%,1(-0.1)-0.1%,-0-0.30.02%0.7%0.8-0.901.6NAN%116.48   63.99(-0.93%)63.82-64.73Uptrend 64.21(0.35%)63.89-64.3666
20Dec_20_2019-0.5%-5.2% 0.7%,0.6(0.1)1.2%,1.2(0.2)0.4%,0.40.30.2%0.6%1.81.601.7NAN%1.122.97   64.59(-0.09%)64.13-64.94Growing Uptrend 64.91(0.5%)64.36-65.0578
 
21Dec_19_2019-0.4%-5.3% 0.6%,0.6(0.1)1%,1.1(0.3)0.6%,0.61.20%0.5%2.21.701.5NAN%1.716.9   64.65(0.03%)64.25-64.74Breakout 64.85(0.31%)64.39-65.0569
22Dec_18_2019-0.5%-5.3% 0.5%,0.6(0)0.8%,0.9(0.3)0.5%,0.62.70.09%0.4%2.62.101.3NAN%1.712.81   64.63(0.4%)64.08-64.72Breakout 64.73(0.16%)64.36-64.967
23Dec_17_2019-0.9%-4.9% 0.4%,0.7(0)0.6%,0.8(0.3)0.4%,0.73.60.02%0.3%2.8101.1NAN%2.115.35   64.37(0.33%)64.14-64.77Breakout 64.42(0.08%)64.13-64.5467
24Dec_16_2019-1.2%-4.5% 0.4%,0.9(0)0.3%,0.7(0.5)0.4%,0.82.10.22%0.2%3.42.600.8NAN%1.620.77   64.16(1.25%)63.37-64.2Breakout 64.16(0%)63.95-64.2567
25Dec_13_2019-2.4%-3.3% 0.4%,1.3(-0.1)0.1%,0.2(0)0.1%,0.200.06%0.1%1.7-0.500.5NAN%1.519.33   63.37(0.78%)62.67-63.48Uptrend 63.37(0%)63.3-63.455
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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