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     Tue. Oct. 14, 2014



Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 4, 2020)

(Utilities sector ETF)

XLU latest price $43.2800 (0.91%) ($42.8900 - $43.7900) on Tue. Oct. 14, 2014.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Growing Uptrend
Complacency  0
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  XLU advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XLU advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (74% probability)
  XLP(73%)    SPY(61%)    VT(59%)    JNK(56%)    XLI(55%)  
Factors Impacting XLU price  XLU will decline at least -0.4% in a week (17% probabilities).
  VIXM(-25%)    UUP(-16%)    TLT(-9%)    GBTC(-9%)    VXX(-7%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   1.2
 
Relative Volatility   0.5 (options are expensive)
 
Hourly BBV   0
Hourly Trend   0% [$0(0), $0(0)]
Last Hour Trend   0% [$0, $0]


XLU Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  94%
Bullish Price Move  0.9%
Bearish Probability  6%
Bearish Price Move  -0.9%
Recommended Position Size  98%
Latest Price  $43.2800
Next Hour Price  $43.28(0%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $43.44(0.36%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $43.13 - $43.51
Support Level  $42.48
5 Day Moving Average  $43.05(0.53%)
10 Day Moving Average  $42.76(1.22%)
20 Day Moving Average  $42.48(1.88%)
To recent high  -0.8%
To recent low  7.7%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 


  
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.08% (three month std-dev: 0.87%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. XLU price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20141114

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDCVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Oct_14_2014-0.8%-7.7% 0.3%,0.3(0.1)1.4%,1.3(0.2)0.4%,0.300%0.7%1.7001.2NAN%0022.01   43.28(0.91%)42.89-43.79Growing Uptrend 43.44(0.36%)43.13-43.5169
2Oct_13_2014-1.7%-6.8% 0.2%,0.2(0.2)1.2%,1.2(0.1)0.2%,0.200%0.4%1001.1NAN%0017.11   42.89(-0.09%)42.87-43.48Growing Uptrend 43.01(0.28%)42.81-43.0662
3Oct_10_2014-1.6%-6.9% 0.1%,0.1(0.2)1.1%,1.1(0.3)0.2%,0.200%0.3%1.2001.1NAN%0018.27   42.93(0.47%)42.83-43.34N/A 42.93(-0.01%)42.65-43.1560
4Oct_9_2014-2%-6.4% -0.1%,-0.1(0.1)0.8%,0.8(0.3)0.2%,0.200%0.1%0.8001.1NAN%0015.77   42.73(-1.63%)42.7-43.67Uptrend Reversal 42.87(0.32%)42.75-42.9451
5Oct_8_2014-0.4%-8.1% -0.2%,-0.2(0.2)0.5%,0.6(0.5)0.5%,0.500%-0.1%2.5001.1NAN%0017.58   43.44(2.26%)42.48-43.49Uptrend Reversal 43.57(0.31%)43.46-43.6562
 
6Oct_7_2014-2.6%-5.8% -0.4%,-0.5(0.1)0.1%,0.1(0.3)0.2%,0.200%-0.4%0.4001NAN%0012.23   42.48(-0.14%)42.38-42.95Rebound 42.4(-0.19%)42.46-42.3739
7Oct_6_2014-2.5%-5.9% -0.5%,-0.5(0.1)-0.2%,-0.2(0.2)0.2%,0.200%-0.5%0.4001.2NAN%005.52   42.54(0%)42.35-42.78Rebound 42.44(-0.24%)42.5-42.4138
8Oct_3_2014-2.5%-5.9% -0.5%,-0.5(0)-0.4%,-0.3(0.1)0.4%,0.300%-0.7%0.3001.4NAN%009.18   42.54(0.64%)42.01-42.61Rebound 42.44(-0.23%)42.44-42.4452
9Oct_2_2014-3.1%-5.2% -0.6%,-0.5(0)-0.6%,-0.5(0.2)0.3%,0.200%-0.8%-0.4001.4NAN%0013.25   42.27(-0.14%)42.2-42.59Rebound 42.37(0.24%)42.15-42.4750
10Oct_1_2014-3.4%-5.4% -0.6%,-0.5(-0)-0.8%,-0.7(0.1)0.2%,0.100%-0.9%-0.3001.4NAN%0017.64   42.33(0.57%)42.12-42.73Downtrend 42.22(-0.27%)42.15-42.3738
 
11Sep_30_2014-4.9%-4.8% -0.6%,-0.5(-0)-0.9%,-0.7(0)0%,000%-0.8%-0.8001.4NAN%0011.61   42.09(0.14%)41.95-42.54Downtrend 41.99(-0.24%)41.91-42.1742
12Sep_29_2014-5%-4.6% -0.6%,-0.5(-0.1)-0.9%,-0.7(0.1)-0.1%,-0.100%-0.8%-1001.4NAN%005.58   42.03(0.65%)41.54-42.06Downtrend 41.93(-0.23%)41.85-42.1339
13Sep_26_2014-5.6%-4% -0.5%,-0.4(-0.1)-1.1%,-0.9(0.1)-0.4%,-0.300%-0.8%-1.7001.4NAN%006.81   41.76(0.14%)41.4-41.93Downtrend 41.65(-0.27%)41.53-41.9329
14Sep_25_2014-5.8%-3.8% -0.3%,-0.3(-0.1)-1.2%,-1(-0.2)-0.4%,-0.300%-0.8%-2001.3NAN%009.65   41.7(-0.6%)41.69-42.1Growing Downtrend 41.61(-0.22%)41.48-41.8926
15Sep_24_2014-5.2%-4.4% -0.2%,-0.2(-0.1)-1%,-1(-0.1)-0.4%,-0.400%-0.7%-1.9001.2NAN%008.35   41.95(-0.36%)41.81-42.17Growing Downtrend 41.89(-0.14%)41.8-42.1138
 
16Sep_23_2014-4.9%-4.8% -0.1%,-0.1(-0.2)-0.9%,-0.9(-0.2)-0.4%,-0.400%-0.5%-1.7001.1NAN%009.81   42.1(-0.28%)41.98-42.27Downtrend 42.05(-0.11%)41.98-42.2339
17Sep_22_2014-4.6%-5.1% 0.1%,0.1(-0.1)-0.7%,-0.8(-0)-0.1%,-0.100%-0.4%-1.6001NAN%0012.31   42.22(-0.75%)42.13-42.48Correction 41.94(-0.66%)41.89-42.1543
18Sep_19_2014-3.9%-5.9% 0.2%,0.2(-0)-0.6%,-0.8(-0.1)0.1%,0.200%-0.2%-0.8001NAN%009.66   42.54(0%)42.22-42.58Correction 42.3(-0.56%)42.25-42.4942
19Sep_18_2014-3.9%-5.9% 0.2%,0.3(-0.2)-0.6%,-0.7(-0.2)-0.2%,-0.300%0%-0.8000.9NAN%0012.5   42.54(-0.72%)42.39-43Correction 42.3(-0.56%)42.25-42.4946
20Sep_17_2014-3.2%-6.7% 0.4%,0.5(-0.1)-0.4%,-0.5(-0.2)0.1%,0.100%0.1%0.1000.9NAN%0015.54   42.85(-0.19%)42.63-43.15Correction 42.82(-0.07%)42.81-42.8353
 
21Sep_16_2014-3%-6.9% 0.5%,0.6(-0.1)-0.3%,-0.3(-0)0.1%,0.100%0.2%0.3000.9NAN%0012.23   42.93(1.27%)42.35-43.04Correction 42.89(-0.1%)42.86-42.9359
22Sep_15_2014-4.2%-5.5% 0.6%,0.6(-0.2)-0.3%,-0.3(-0.4)-0.5%,-0.500%0.4%-0.9001.1NAN%0010.83   42.39(0.31%)42.26-42.63Correction 42.19(-0.48%)42.14-42.3748
23Sep_12_2014-4.5%-5.2% 0.8%,0.7(-0.3)0.2%,0.2(-0.4)-0.6%,-0.600%0.6%-1.1001.1NAN%0017.44   42.26(-1.79%)42.16-42.85Uptrend Consolidation 42.4(0.33%)42.44-42.2950
24Sep_11_2014-2.8%-7.1% 1.1%,1(-0.1)0.6%,0.6(-0.1)-0%,-000%0.8%0.6001.2NAN%009.36   43.03(0.84%)42.6-43.1Uptrend 43.13(0.23%)42.97-43.256
25Sep_10_2014-3.6%-6.2% 1.2%,1(-0.1)0.7%,0.5(-0.1)-0.2%,-0.100%1%0001.4NAN%0010.54   42.67(-0.44%)42.53-42.91Uptrend 42.82(0.36%)42.67-42.8954
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDCVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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