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     Tue. Dec. 31, 2013



Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Dec. 3, 2020)

(Utilities sector ETF)

XLU latest price $37.9700 (0.18%) ($37.8300 - $38.0300) on Tue. Dec. 31, 2013.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Uptrend Reversal
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  XLU advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XLU advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XLU advance at 0.5% a week (72% probability)
  XLP(72%)    SPY(60%)    JNK(55%)    VGK(50%)    XAR(50%)  
Factors Impacting XLU price  XLU will advance at least 0.2% in a week (5% probabilities).
  TLT(-8%)    VCSH(-4%)    JETS(-4%)    IYT(-4%)    IVW(-4%)  
Trading Plan  Buy the reversal
 
Valuation to SPY   -0.3
 
Relative Volatility   -1.4 (options are cheap)
 
Hourly BBV   0
Hourly Trend   0% [$0(0), $0(0)]
Last Hour Trend   0% [$0, $0]


XLU Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  50%
Bullish Price Move  0.7%
Bearish Probability  50%
Bearish Price Move  -0.7%
Recommended Position Size  0%
Latest Price  $37.9700
Next Hour Price  $37.97(0%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $38.05(0.21%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $37.98 - $38.1
Support Level  $37.86
5 Day Moving Average  $37.83(0.37%)
10 Day Moving Average  $37.83(0.37%)
20 Day Moving Average  $37.86(0.29%)
To recent high  -3.6%
To recent low  2.7%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 


  
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. XLU price fluctuates within 0.66% (three month std-dev: 0.71%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. XLU price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20140131

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Dec_31_2013-3.6%-2.7% -0.2%,-0.3(0.2)0.3%,0.4(0.3)0.1%,0.200%-0.1%0.4000.9NAN%07.02   37.97(0.18%)37.83-38.03Uptrend Reversal 38.05(0.21%)37.98-38.152
2Dec_30_2013-3.8%-2.5% -0.3%,-0.5(0.1)0.1%,0.1(0.4)0.1%,0.100%-0.1%0.2000.9NAN%05.66   37.9(0.24%)37.73-37.98Rebound 37.86(-0.1%)37.89-37.8542
3Dec_27_2013-4%-2.3% -0.4%,-0.6(0.1)-0.2%,-0.3(0.1)-0%,-000%-0.2%-0.2000.9NAN%012.8   37.81(0.4%)37.63-37.9Rebound 37.83(0.06%)37.77-37.8637
4Dec_26_2013-4.4%-1.9% -0.5%,-0.7(0.1)-0.3%,-0.4(0)-0.3%,-0.400%-0.3%-0.8000.9NAN%010.31   37.66(-0.45%)37.59-37.9Downtrend 37.64(-0.06%)37.61-37.746
5Dec_24_2013-4%-2.3% -0.5%,-0.8(0.2)-0.3%,-0.4(0.2)0.1%,0.200%-0.4%-0.3000.9NAN%04.94   37.83(0.4%)37.5-37.93Rebound 37.87(0.1%)37.78-37.943
 
6Dec_23_2013-4.3%-1.9% -0.6%,-0.9(0.1)-0.4%,-0.5(-0.1)-0%,-000%-0.5%-0.9001NAN%016.92   37.68(-0.4%)37.67-38.04Growing Downtrend 37.64(-0.11%)37.6-37.7345
7Dec_20_2013-4%-2.3% -0.7%,-0.9(0.1)-0.3%,-0.4(0)0.2%,0.200%-0.5%-0.4001.2NAN%015.37   37.83(-0.08%)37.5-37.99Downtrend 37.78(-0.13%)37.75-37.8550
8Dec_19_2013-3.9%-2.4% -0.8%,-0.9(0.1)-0.3%,-0.4(0.1)0.2%,0.200%-0.4%-0.4001.2NAN%016.08   37.86(-0.73%)37.52-38.06Rebound 37.91(0.12%)37.77-37.9647
9Dec_18_2013-3.2%-3.2% -0.9%,-0.9(0.1)-0.5%,-0.5(0.2)0.3%,0.300%-0.6%0.2001.2NAN%019.25   38.14(1.33%)37.25-38.18Rebound 38.08(-0.16%)38.03-38.151
10Dec_17_2013-4.4%-1.8% -1%,-0.9(-0.1)-0.6%,-0.6(0.1)-0.1%,-0.100%-0.7%-1.1001.3NAN%05.69   37.64(-0.19%)37.47-37.78Downtrend 37.56(-0.2%)37.49-37.7341
 
11Dec_16_2013-4.3%-2% -0.9%,-0.7(-0.1)-0.7%,-0.5(0)-0.3%,-0.200%-0.7%-1001.5NAN%09.68   37.71(0.53%)37.6-37.97Downtrend 37.6(-0.28%)37.52-37.836
12Dec_13_2013-4.8%-1.5% -0.8%,-0.6(-0.1)-0.7%,-0.5(-0.1)-0.5%,-0.300%-0.9%-1.4001.6NAN%06.2   37.51(-0.16%)37.42-38.17Downtrend 37.41(-0.27%)37.3-37.6531
13Dec_12_2013-4.6%-1.7% -0.6%,-0.5(0)-0.6%,-0.5(0)-0.2%,-0.100%-1%-1.4001.6NAN%07.76   37.57(0.13%)37.5-37.82Downtrend 37.5(-0.18%)37.41-37.7131
14Dec_11_2013-4.7%-1.6% -0.7%,-0.5(-0)-0.7%,-0.5(0)-0.4%,-0.300%-1%-1.7001.6NAN%08.72   37.52(-0.82%)37.47-37.83Downtrend 37.44(-0.2%)37.35-37.6832
15Dec_10_2013-4%-2.4% -0.6%,-0.5(-0)-0.7%,-0.6(0.1)-0.1%,-0.100%-1%-1.3001.4NAN%09.6   37.83(-0.99%)37.77-38.23Downtrend 37.77(-0.17%)37.69-37.9530
 
16Dec_9_2013-3%-3.5% -0.6%,-0.5(0.1)-0.8%,-0.7(0.2)0.2%,0.200%-1%-0.7001.4NAN%07.24   38.21(-0.6%)38.05-38.5Downtrend Consolidation 38.18(-0.09%)38.34-38.1230
17Dec_6_2013-2.4%-4.1% -0.7%,-0.5(0)-1.1%,-0.9(0.2)0.2%,0.200%-0.9%-0.2001.4NAN%07.42   38.44(1.37%)38-38.52Downtrend Consolidation 38.36(-0.21%)38.49-38.3231
18Dec_5_2013-3.7%-3.3% -0.7%,-0.6(-0.1)-1.4%,-1.1(0)-0.1%,-0.100%-1%-1.4001.5NAN%09.73   37.92(-0.81%)37.87-38.12Downtrend 37.78(-0.37%)37.67-38.0526
19Dec_4_2013-2.9%-4.1% -0.6%,-0.5(0)-1.4%,-1.1(-0)0.1%,000%-1%-0.9001.5NAN%07.39   38.23(0.45%)37.76-38.25Downtrend 38.09(-0.36%)38-38.3140
20Dec_3_2013-3.4%-3.6% -0.7%,-0.6(-0.1)-1.4%,-1.1(-0.2)-0.2%,-0.200%-0.9%-1.3001.4NAN%09.87   38.06(0.5%)37.68-38.12Growing Downtrend 37.93(-0.33%)37.81-38.1741
 
21Dec_2_2013-3.9%-3.1% -0.6%,-0.5(-0.1)-1.2%,-1(-0.3)-0.4%,-0.400%-0.7%-2001.4NAN%07.18   37.87(-0.42%)37.67-38.15Growing Downtrend 37.78(-0.25%)37.65-38.0433
22Nov_29_2013-3.5%-3.6% -0.5%,-0.5(-0.1)-0.9%,-0.8(-0.2)-0.3%,-0.300%-0.5%-1.9001.2NAN%02.94   38.03(-0.05%)37.93-38.27Growing Downtrend 37.97(-0.17%)37.87-38.1834
23Nov_27_2013-3.4%-3.6% -0.4%,-0.5(-0.1)-0.7%,-0.7(-0)-0.3%,-0.300%-0.3%-2.3001.1NAN%08.47   38.05(-0.21%)37.89-38.22Downtrend 38.02(-0.07%)37.95-38.233
24Nov_26_2013-3.2%-3.8% -0.4%,-0.5(-0.2)-0.6%,-0.8(-0.2)-0.5%,-0.600%-0.2%-2.5000.9NAN%011.72   38.13(-0.99%)38.11-38.53Growing Downtrend 38.1(-0.07%)38.04-38.2729
25Nov_25_2013-2.2%-4.9% -0.2%,-0.3(-0.3)-0.5%,-0.7(-0.3)-0.4%,-0.600%-0.2%-1.7000.8NAN%06.97   38.51(-0.39%)38.5-38.78Growing Downtrend 38.49(-0.04%)38.46-38.5946
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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