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     Tue. Oct. 29, 2013



Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 27, 2020)

(Utilities sector ETF)

XLU latest price $39.1700 (0.13%) ($39.0200 - $39.2700) on Tue. Oct. 29, 2013.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Uptrend
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  XLU advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XLU advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XLU advance at 0.8% a week (72% probability)
  XLP(72%)    SPY(60%)    JNK(55%)    VGK(50%)    XAR(50%)  
Factors Impacting XLU price  XLU will decline at least -0.1% in a week (36% probabilities).
  EDOC(-50%)    TLT(-7%)    GDXJ(-6%)    GBTC(-5%)    VXX(-4%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   0.7
 
Relative Volatility   2.6 (options are extremely expensive)
 
Hourly BBV   0
Hourly Trend   0% [$0(0), $0(0)]
Last Hour Trend   0% [$0, $0]


XLU Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  60%
Bullish Price Move  0.9%
Bearish Probability  40%
Bearish Price Move  -0.9%
Recommended Position Size  22%
Latest Price  $39.1700
Next Hour Price  $39.17(0%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $39.48(0.78%)
1 - 5 Day Possible Target  $40.05(2.25%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $38.96 - $39.7
Support Level  $38.12
5 Day Moving Average  $39.03(0.36%)
10 Day Moving Average  $38.71(1.19%)
20 Day Moving Average  $38.12(2.75%)
To recent high  -1.1%
To recent low  6.7%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 


  
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.92% (three month std-dev: 0.86%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. XLU price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20131129

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Oct_29_2013-1.1%-6.7% 1.1%,0.6(0)1.7%,0.9(0)0.2%,0.100%1.5%1.4002.2NAN%07.92   39.17(0.13%)39.02-39.27Uptrend 39.48(0.78%)38.96-39.774
2Oct_28_2013-1.2%-6.5% 1%,0.5(0.1)1.7%,0.9(-0)0.4%,0.200%1.3%1.6002.1NAN%09.82   39.12(-0.2%)38.98-39.35Uptrend 39.41(0.74%)38.9-39.6275
3Oct_25_2013-1%-6.8% 0.8%,0.5(0.1)1.7%,1(-0)0.4%,0.200%1.2%1.9002NAN%06.56   39.2(1.06%)38.6-39.23Uptrend 39.45(0.65%)38.95-39.6778
4Oct_24_2013-2%-5.6% 0.7%,0.4(0.1)1.8%,1.2(-0.1)0.3%,0.200%1.2%1.6001.8NAN%07.87   38.79(-0.21%)38.59-39.01Uptrend 39.01(0.56%)38.61-39.1871
5Oct_23_2013-1.8%-5.9% 0.5%,0.4(0.2)1.9%,1.3(0.2)0.6%,0.400%1.1%2001.6NAN%014.17   38.87(0.08%)38.77-39.3Breakout 39.08(0.54%)38.66-39.2673
 
6Oct_22_2013-1.9%-5.8% 0.2%,0.2(0.1)1.6%,1.2(0.4)0.8%,0.600%0.9%2.3001.5NAN%019.64   38.84(1.28%)38.37-38.99Breakout 38.96(0.32%)38.62-39.1164
7Oct_21_2013-3.1%-4.4% 0.1%,0.1(-0)1.1%,1(0.2)0.2%,0.200%0.6%1.6001.3NAN%07.4   38.35(-0.21%)38.18-38.49N/A 38.28(-0.17%)37.93-38.5761
8Oct_18_2013-2.9%-4.7% 0.1%,0.1(0)0.9%,0.8(0.1)0.2%,0.200%0.3%2001.2NAN%010.98   38.43(0.26%)38.29-38.57Breakout 38.46(0.09%)38.27-38.5563
9Oct_17_2013-3.2%-4.4% 0.1%,0.1(-0.1)0.7%,0.7(0.2)0.2%,0.200%0.1%1.9001.2NAN%016.08   38.33(1.62%)37.42-38.41N/A 38.21(-0.31%)37.88-38.4861
10Oct_16_2013-4.7%-2.7% 0.2%,0.2(-0.1)0.5%,0.4(0.1)0.2%,0.100%-0.2%0.3001.4NAN%012.88   37.72(0.91%)37.38-37.74Uptrend 37.77(0.14%)37.7-37.8150
 
11Oct_15_2013-5.6%-1.8% 0.4%,0.3(0)0.4%,0.3(0.1)0.1%,0.100%-0.4%-0.6001.4NAN%012   37.38(-1.4%)37.31-37.91Uptrend Dip 37.55(0.45%)37.36-37.5944
12Oct_14_2013-4.2%-3.2% 0.3%,0.3(0.1)0.2%,0.2(0.4)0.5%,0.400%-0.4%0.6001.4NAN%026.34   37.91(-0.55%)37.38-38Uptrend 37.96(0.13%)37.87-3847
13Oct_11_2013-3.7%-3.8% 0.2%,0.2(0.1)-0.2%,-0.2(0.3)0.5%,0.500%-0.5%1.2001.4NAN%06.91   38.12(0.47%)37.79-38.19N/A 38.01(-0.3%)37.83-38.1549
14Oct_10_2013-4.2%-3.3% 0.1%,0.1(0.1)-0.5%,-0.5(0.4)0.5%,0.400%-0.6%0.8001.4NAN%011.7   37.94(1.5%)37.2-38N/A 37.81(-0.33%)37.74-37.8756
15Oct_9_2013-5.6%-1.8% 0%,0(-0)-1%,-0.9(0.2)-0.1%,-0.100%-0.5%-0.3001.4NAN%014.32   37.38(0.4%)37.21-37.9Downtrend 37.29(-0.23%)37.25-37.432
 
16Oct_8_2013-6%-1.4% 0.1%,0.1(-0.1)-1.2%,-1(-0.1)-0.1%,-0.100%-0.4%-0.6001.4NAN%012.26   37.23(0.7%)36.99-37.52Correction 36.78(-1.21%)36.71-37.0828
17Oct_7_2013-6.6%-0.70.2%,0.1(-0)-1.1%,-0.9(-0.2)-0.2%,-0.200%-0.3%-1.2001.4NAN%05.14   36.97(-0.48%)36.91-37.29Correction 36.55(-1.13%)36.48-36.8446
18Oct_4_2013-6.2%-1.2% 0.2%,0.2(0)-0.8%,-0.7(-0.1)-0.1%,-0.100%-0.1%-0.8001.4NAN%04.46   37.15(0.19%)37.03-37.29Correction 36.81(-0.91%)36.75-37.0650
19Oct_3_2013-6.3%-1% 0.2%,0.2(0)-0.7%,-0.5(-0.4)-0.3%,-0.300%0.1%-0.9001.4NAN%09.3   37.08(-1.17%)36.94-37.46Correction 36.73(-0.95%)36.66-36.9951
20Oct_2_2013-5.2%-2.2% 0.2%,0.2(0)-0.1%,-0.1(-0.3)-0.1%,-0.100%0.5%0001.5NAN%09.61   37.52(0.11%)37.22-37.61Range Bound 37.52(0%)37.52-37.5259
 
21Oct_1_2013-5.3%-2.1% 0.2%,0.1(-0)0.3%,0.2(-0.1)-0.3%,-0.200%0.9%0001.6NAN%07.86   37.48(0.29%)37.35-37.61Uptrend 37.51(0.09%)37.48-37.5357
22Sep_30_2013-5.6%-1.8% 0.2%,0.1(-0)0.5%,0.4(-0.2)-0.3%,-0.200%1%-0.2001.6NAN%09.6   37.37(-0.11%)37.18-37.48Uptrend 37.43(0.15%)37.38-37.4551
23Sep_27_2013-5.5%-1.9% 0.2%,0.2(-0)0.7%,0.5(-0.1)-0.1%,-0.100%1%-0.1001.6NAN%07.64   37.41(-0.64%)37.28-37.72Uptrend 37.5(0.25%)37.42-37.5455
24Sep_26_2013-4.9%-2.5% 0.3%,0.2(-0.1)0.8%,0.6(-0.2)-0.4%,-0.300%1%0.4001.6NAN%08.57   37.65(-0.13%)37.51-37.88Uptrend Consolidation 37.59(-0.15%)37.55-37.7459
25Sep_25_2013-4.8%-2.7% 0.4%,0.3(-0.1)1.2%,0.9(-0.3)-0.5%,-0.400%0.8%0.5001.5NAN%013.86   37.7(-0.68%)37.68-38.1Uptrend Consolidation 37.63(-0.18%)37.57-37.8262
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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