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     Thu. Aug. 29, 2013



Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Mon. Nov. 30, 2020)

(Utilities sector ETF)

XLU latest price $37.2700 (-0.59%) ($37.2000 - $37.5000) on Thu. Aug. 29, 2013.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Downtrend
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  XLU declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XLU declines -1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XLU decline at-0.6% a week (72% probability)
  XLP(72%)    SPY(61%)    JNK(55%)    XLY(51%)    VGK(50%)  
Factors Impacting XLU price  XLU will advance at least -0% in a week (7% probabilities).
  EDOC(-8%)    XBI(-6%)    TLT(-6%)    SMH(-6%)    GBTC(-6%)  
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   1
 
Relative Volatility   1 (options are expensive)
 
Hourly BBV   0
Hourly Trend   0% [$0(0), $0(0)]
Last Hour Trend   0% [$0, $0]


XLU Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  63%
Bullish Price Move  0.9%
Bearish Probability  38%
Bearish Price Move  -0.9%
Recommended Position Size  28%
Latest Price  $37.2700
Next Hour Price  $37.27(0%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $36.93(-0.92%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $36.7 - $37.44
Resistance Level  $38.14
5 Day Moving Average  $37.43(-0.43%)
10 Day Moving Average  $37.4(-0.35%)
20 Day Moving Average  $38.14(-2.28%)
To recent high  -5.9%
To recent low  2.3%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 


  
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. XLU price fluctuates within 2.33% (three month std-dev: 0.88%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. XLU price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20130929

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Aug_29_2013-5.9%-2.3% -1.3%,-0.6(-0)-1.5%,-0.6(0.1)-0.1%,-000%-1.9%-1002.7NAN%06.09   37.27(-0.59%)37.2-37.5Downtrend 36.93(-0.92%)36.7-37.4425
2Aug_28_2013-5.3%-2.9% -1.3%,-0.5(0)-1.8%,-0.8(0.1)0.2%,0.100%-2.1%-0.9002.6NAN%08.25   37.49(0.35%)37.19-37.62Downtrend 37.11(-1.02%)36.88-37.6424
3Aug_27_2013-5.6%-2.5% -1.3%,-0.5(-0)-2.2%,-0.9(0)-0.1%,-000%-2.1%-1.1002.6NAN%09.12   37.36(-0.05%)37.09-37.57Downtrend 36.93(-1.16%)36.66-37.5625
4Aug_26_2013-5.6%-2.6% -1.2%,-0.5(0)-2.2%,-1(0.1)0.1%,000%-2%-1.2002.5NAN%06.58   37.38(-0.74%)37.35-37.72Downtrend 36.96(-1.12%)36.69-37.629
5Aug_23_2013-4.9%-3.3% -1.3%,-0.6(0)-2.4%,-1.1(0.1)0.1%,000%-1.9%-1002.4NAN%07.58   37.66(0.83%)37.27-37.76Downtrend 37.21(-1.19%)36.95-37.8329
 
6Aug_22_2013-5.7%-2.5% -1.3%,-0.6(-0)-2.6%,-1.2(-0)-0.4%,-0.200%-1.8%-1.5002.4NAN%08.17   37.35(0.57%)37.1-37.49Downtrend 36.88(-1.25%)36.58-37.5922
7Aug_21_2013-7.6%-1.9% -1.2%,-0.6(-0.1)-2.5%,-1.2(-0.2)-0.7%,-0.400%-1.5%-2002.2NAN%012.32   37.14(-1.14%)36.98-37.51Growing Downtrend 36.76(-1.01%)36.42-37.4218
8Aug_20_2013-6.5%-3.1% -1.1%,-0.6(-0.1)-2.1%,-1.2(-0.1)-0.6%,-0.300%-1.2%-1.8002NAN%013.59   37.57(0.94%)37.22-37.87Downtrend 37.26(-0.83%)37.02-37.8128
9Aug_19_2013-7.4%-2.1% -0.9%,-0.5(-0.1)-1.9%,-1.2(-0.3)-0.9%,-0.500%-1%-2.6001.8NAN%012.21   37.22(-0.85%)37.17-37.7Growing Downtrend 37(-0.58%)36.75-37.5320
10Aug_16_2013-6.9%-3% -0.6%,-0.5(-0.2)-1.5%,-1.1(-0.4)-0.8%,-0.600%-0.8%-2.9001.4NAN%016.94   37.54(-1.16%)37.34-37.94Growing Downtrend 37.42(-0.33%)37.24-37.8125
 
11Aug_15_2013-5.8%-4.2% -0.3%,-0.3(-0.3)-1.1%,-1.1(-0.5)-0.7%,-0.700%-0.5%-3001.1NAN%010.1   37.98(-1.27%)37.91-38.33Growing Downtrend 37.93(-0.12%)37.83-38.230
12Aug_14_2013-4.6%-5.6% -0%,-0(-0.3)-0.6%,-0.8(-0.4)-0.4%,-0.600%-0.3%-2.7000.8NAN%08.66   38.47(-0.65%)38.27-38.71Downtrend 38.47(0.01%)38.42-38.6139
13Aug_13_2013-4%-6.3% 0.2%,0.4(-0.4)-0.3%,-0.5(-0.2)-0.2%,-0.300%-0.1%-2.3000.6NAN%09.84   38.72(-0.54%)38.67-38.96Correction 38.61(-0.29%)38.58-38.7151
14Aug_12_2013-3.4%-6.8% 0.4%,0.8(-0.5)-0.2%,-0.3(-0.2)-0.2%,-0.400%0%-1.8000.6NAN%05.62   38.93(-0.54%)38.8-39.06Correction 38.85(-0.2%)38.83-38.9343
15Aug_9_2013-2.9%-7.4% 0.7%,1.2(-0.5)-0%,-0.1(-0.2)-0.2%,-0.300%0.1%-0.7000.6NAN%06.32   39.14(-0.69%)39.12-39.47Correction 39.09(-0.13%)39.07-39.1647
 
16Aug_8_2013-2.3%-8.2% 1%,1.4(-0.3)0.1%,0.1(-0)-0.1%,-0.100%0.2%0.5000.8NAN%07.69   39.41(0.38%)39.17-39.54N/A 39.41(-0.01%)39.33-39.4750
17Aug_7_2013-3.6%-7.7% 1.2%,1.2(-0.1)0.1%,0.1(0)0%,000%0.3%0.1001.1NAN%07.71   39.26(0.46%)38.8-39.33N/A 39.31(0.13%)39.23-39.3848
18Aug_6_2013-4%-7.2% 1.3%,1(-0.1)0%,0(-0.2)-0.2%,-0.200%0.4%-0.2001.4NAN%010.57   39.08(-0.51%)39-39.31N/A 39.18(0.25%)39.12-39.2353
19Aug_5_2013-3.5%-7.8% 1.4%,0.9(-0)0.3%,0.2(-0)-0.1%,-0.100%0.6%0.3001.6NAN%05.54   39.28(-0.66%)39.28-39.47Uptrend 39.4(0.3%)39.25-39.4655
20Aug_2_2013-3.5%-8.5% 1.4%,0.8(0)0.3%,0.2(-0.1)0.1%,0.100%0.8%0.7002NAN%07.81   39.54(-0.13%)39.32-39.66Uptrend 39.67(0.33%)39.45-39.7755
 
21Aug_1_2013-3.5%-8.6% 1.4%,0.7(0)0.5%,0.2(-0.1)0.2%,0.100%1.2%0.9002.1NAN%09.67   39.59(0.84%)39.26-39.64Uptrend 39.74(0.38%)39.45-39.8666
22Jul_31_2013-4.3%-7.7% 1.3%,0.6(0)0.6%,0.3(-0.1)0.2%,0.100%1.4%0.6002.3NAN%016.08   39.26(-0.73%)39.07-39.48Uptrend 39.44(0.45%)39.15-39.5664
23Jul_30_2013-4.5%-8.5% 1.3%,0.5(-0)0.7%,0.3(-0.1)0.1%,000%1.6%1002.4NAN%08.86   39.55(0.33%)39.43-39.81Uptrend 39.75(0.51%)39.37-39.9276
24Jul_29_2013-4.9%-8.2% 1.3%,0.6(-0.1)1%,0.4(-0.2)0.1%,000%1.8%0.9002.5NAN%06.51   39.42(0.18%)39.19-39.58Uptrend 39.7(0.72%)39.25-39.977
25Jul_26_2013-5%-8% 1.5%,0.6(-0.1)1.5%,0.6(-0.2)-0%,-000%2%1002.5NAN%07.01   39.35(0.36%)38.87-39.36Uptrend 39.69(0.86%)39.16-39.9179
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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