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     Thu. Feb. 2, 2012



Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Dec. 2, 2020)

(Utilities sector ETF)

XLU latest price $34.7400 (-0.17%) ($34.6700 - $34.9600) on Thu. Feb. 2, 2012.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Downtrend
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  XLU declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XLU declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XLU advance at 0.2% a week (72% probability)
  XLP(72%)    SPY(61%)    JNK(55%)    XLY(51%)    XLK(50%)  
Factors Impacting XLU price  XLU will advance at least 0% in a week (7% probabilities).
  TLT(-9%)    GBTC(-7%)    ACES(-7%)    SLV(-5%)    JETS(-5%)  
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   1.9
 
Relative Volatility   -2 (options are extremely cheap)
 
Hourly BBV   0
Hourly Trend   0% [$0(0), $0(0)]
Last Hour Trend   0% [$0, $0]


XLU Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  50%
Bullish Price Move  1%
Bearish Probability  50%
Bearish Price Move  -1%
Recommended Position Size  0%
Latest Price  $34.7400
Next Hour Price  $34.74(0%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $34.72(-0.07%)
1 - 5 Day Possible Target  $34.52(-0.63%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $34.7 - $34.76
5 Day Moving Average  $34.69(0.14%)
10 Day Moving Average  $34.75(-0.03%)
20 Day Moving Average  $34.84(-0.29%)
To recent high  -4.1%
To recent low  4.4%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 


  
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. XLU price fluctuates within 0.6% (three month std-dev: 0.99%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. XLU price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20120302

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Feb_2_2012-4.1%-4.4% -0.7%,-1.2(0.1)-0.2%,-0.3(-0.1)-0.3%,-0.400%-0.3%-0.5000.6NAN%08.04   34.74(-0.17%)34.67-34.96Downtrend 34.72(-0.07%)34.7-34.7646
2Feb_1_2012-4%-4.6% -0.8%,-1.2(0)-0.2%,-0.2(0)-0.1%,-0.200%-0.4%-0.3000.6NAN%08.2   34.8(0.35%)34.69-34.88Downtrend 34.78(-0.06%)34.77-34.8146
3Jan_31_2012-4.3%-4.3% -0.8%,-1.1(-0)-0.2%,-0.2(0.2)0.1%,0.200%-0.4%-0.8000.7NAN%07.36   34.68(0.49%)34.46-34.69Rebound 34.79(0.31%)34.64-34.8540
4Jan_30_2012-4.8%-3.8% -0.8%,-1.1(-0.2)-0.3%,-0.4(-0.1)-0.1%,-0.200%-0.5%-1.8000.7NAN%09.48   34.51(-0.63%)34.3-34.6Downtrend 34.5(-0.02%)34.46-34.5938
5Jan_27_2012-4.2%-4.4% -0.7%,-0.7(-0.1)-0.2%,-0.3(0.1)0.1%,0.100%-0.7%-0.9000.9NAN%08.1   34.73(-1.22%)34.6-35.07Rebound 34.87(0.41%)34.68-34.9543
 
6Jan_26_2012-3%-5.7% -0.6%,-0.5(-0.1)-0.4%,-0.3(0.2)0.4%,0.300%-0.8%0.2001.1NAN%07.35   35.16(0.34%)34.94-35.27Rebound 35.11(-0.14%)35.1-35.1246
7Jan_25_2012-3.3%-5.4% -0.4%,-0.3(-0.1)-0.6%,-0.4(0.1)0.1%,0.100%-1%-0.2001.2NAN%012.93   35.04(1.65%)34.14-35.09Downtrend 34.98(-0.17%)34.95-35.0645
8Jan_24_2012-4.9%-3.6% -0.3%,-0.2(-0.1)-0.7%,-0.5(0.1)-0.2%,-0.200%-1.1%-1.3001.4NAN%05   34.47(-0.81%)34.4-34.62Downtrend 34.42(-0.15%)34.34-34.622
9Jan_23_2012-4.1%-4.5% -0.2%,-0.1(-0.1)-0.9%,-0.6(0.2)-0.1%,-000%-1.1%-0.9001.3NAN%024.4   34.75(0.4%)34.55-34.95Downtrend Consolidation 34.73(-0.05%)34.92-34.6717
10Jan_20_2012-4.5%-4.1% -0.1%,-0(-0.1)-1.1%,-0.8(0.1)-0.2%,-0.100%-1.1%-1.3001.3NAN%06.34   34.61(0.14%)34.45-34.66Downtrend 34.54(-0.2%)34.46-34.7410
 
11Jan_19_2012-4.6%-3.9% 0%,0(-0)-1.3%,-0.9(0.1)-0.2%,-0.200%-1%-1.5001.3NAN%07.63   34.56(-0.83%)34.53-34.91Downtrend 34.5(-0.17%)34.42-34.721
12Jan_18_2012-3.8%-4.8% 0%,0(0)-1.4%,-1.1(0.1)-0.2%,-0.100%-0.8%-0.9001.2NAN%05.94   34.85(-0.03%)34.66-34.91Downtrend 34.76(-0.25%)34.69-34.9321
13Jan_17_2012-3.8%-4.8% 0%,0(-0.1)-1.5%,-1.1(-0.1)-0.1%,-0.100%-0.7%-0.9001.2NAN%06.64   34.86(-0.09%)34.78-35.25Correction 34.4(-1.31%)34.33-34.732
14Jan_13_2012-3.7%-4.9% 0.1%,0.1(0)-1.3%,-0.9(-0.1)-0.1%,-0.100%-0.4%-0.8001.4NAN%06.02   34.89(-0.06%)34.62-34.89Correction 34.41(-1.39%)34.32-34.7439
15Jan_12_2012-3.7%-5% 0.1%,0.1(-0)-1.1%,-0.8(-0.2)-0.2%,-0.100%0%-0.7001.3NAN%06.01   34.91(-0.14%)34.8-35.17Correction 34.48(-1.23%)34.41-34.7840
 
16Jan_11_2012-3.5%-5.1% 0.1%,0.1(0)-0.8%,-0.5(-0.3)-0.1%,-0.100%0.3%-0.6001.4NAN%06.16   34.96(-0.46%)34.9-35.14Correction 34.56(-1.14%)34.49-34.8552
17Jan_10_2012-3.1%-5.6% 0.1%,0.1(-0)-0.3%,-0.2(-0.3)-0.1%,-0.100%0.6%-0.3001.4NAN%04.51   35.12(0.14%)35.09-35.37Correction 34.81(-0.89%)34.74-35.0765
18Jan_9_2012-3.2%-5.4% 0.2%,0.1(-0.1)0.1%,0(-0.3)-0.5%,-0.300%0.9%-0.3001.4NAN%04.53   35.07(0.14%)34.91-35.2Range Bound 35.09(0.07%)35.12-35.0760
19Jan_6_2012-3.4%-5.3% 0.2%,0.1(-0.1)0.5%,0.3(-0.4)-0.7%,-0.400%1.1%-0.4001.4NAN%07.31   35.02(-0.54%)34.98-35.3Downtrend Reversal 34.9(-0.34%)34.86-35.0752
20Jan_5_2012-2.8%-7.7% 0.4%,0.2(-0.1)1.1%,0.7(-0.2)-0.4%,-0.300%1.2%-0.1001.4NAN%012.11   35.21(0.2%)34.91-35.32Uptrend 35.31(0.28%)35.21-35.3559
 
21Jan_4_2012-3%-7.6% 0.6%,0.4(-0.2)1.5%,0.9(-0.1)-0.5%,-0.300%1.2%-0.2001.4NAN%05.78   35.14(-0.57%)35.13-35.45Uptrend 35.28(0.41%)35.15-35.3455
22Jan_3_2012-2.5%-8.2% 1%,0.6(-0.2)1.7%,1(-0)-0.3%,-0.200%1%0.2001.4NAN%019.19   35.34(-1.78%)35.23-36.25Uptrend 35.53(0.54%)35.31-35.6358
23Dec_30_2011-0.7%-10.2% 1.2%,0.7(-0.1)1.8%,1.1(-0)0.2%,0.100%0.9%1.4001.4NAN%04.09   35.98(-0.72%)35.96-36.27Uptrend 36.16(0.49%)35.82-36.361
24Dec_29_20110%-11% 1.4%,0.9(-0.1)1.8%,1.2(0.2)0.4%,0.300%0.8%2001.3NAN%03.96   36.24(0.78%)35.99-36.24Breakout 36.41(0.46%)36.02-36.5768
25Dec_28_2011-0.4%-10.1% 1.5%,1.1(0.1)1.5%,1.1(0.3)0.5%,0.400%0.5%1.8001.2NAN%03.15   35.96(-0.36%)35.9-36.23Growing Uptrend 36.14(0.51%)35.79-36.2358
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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