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     Thu. Jan. 12, 2012

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jan. 15, 2021)

(Utilities sector ETF)

XLU latest price $34.9100 (-0.14%) ($34.8000 - $35.1700) on Thu. Jan. 12, 2012.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Growing Downtrend
Trend Narrative  Correction
Average Daily Price Swing  $0.51 (1.45% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.09% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  -0.2% (StdDev 1.09%)
Daily Moving Force  %
Rebound Strength  None(0%)
Trend   -0.16%
Latest Price  $34.9100(-0.14%)
Forecasted Low Price  34.77(-0.4%)
Forecasted High Price  35.01(0.3%)
Direction of Next Movement  Range(-0.1%)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  1.6%
Hourly Trend   0% [$0(0), $0(0)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Complacency  0
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  XLU declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XLU declines -1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (72% probability)
  XLP(72%)    SPY(61%)    JNK(54%)    XLY(51%)    IWM(49%)  
Factors Impacting XLU price  XLU will advance at least -0% in a week (7% probabilities).
  TLT(-10%)    EDOC(-7%)    XLC(-5%)    VCIT(-5%)    UNG(-5%)  
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   2.2
 
Relative Volatility   -1.3 (options are cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.2% (StdDev 1.09%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   -0.3%
  
 

  


Next Hour Price  $34.91(0%)
Resistance Level  $35.27
5 Day Moving Average  $35.02(-0.31%)
10 Day Moving Average  $35.28(-1.05%)
20 Day Moving Average  $35.27(-1.02%)
To recent high  -3.7%
To recent low  5%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.45% (three month std-dev: 1.09%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. XLU price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20120212

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Jan_12_201235.27 (0.1%)35.28 (-0.8%)35.02 (-0.2%)  (0%)34.91(-0.14%)34.8-35.17-0.6(-0.7)0 %-0.2%0%-0.16% Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.1%)0401.300Correction 34.48(-1.23%)34.41-34.786.01   -3.7%-5% 
2Jan_11_201235.28 (0.1%)35.38 (-0.5%)35.08 (-0.1%)  (0%)34.96(-0.46%)34.9-35.14-0.5(-0.6)0 %-0.2%0%-0.1% Growing Downtrend  Range(0%)0521.400Correction 34.56(-1.14%)34.49-34.856.16   -3.5%-5.1% 
3Jan_10_201235.27 (0.1%)35.49 (-0.2%)35.11 (-0.1%)  (0%)35.12(0.14%)35.09-35.37-0.2(-0.3)0 %-0.1%0%-0.04% N/A  Range(-0.1%)0651.400Correction 34.81(-0.89%)34.74-35.074.51   -3.1%-5.6% 
4Jan_9_201235.26 (0.1%)35.56 (0%)35.16 (-0.5%)  (0%)35.07(0.14%)34.91-35.2-0.3(-0.3)0 -0.1%-0.1%0%0.02% N/A  Range(-0.2%)0601.400Range Bound 35.09(0.07%)35.12-35.074.53   -3.2%-5.4% 
5Jan_6_201235.24 (0.1%)35.62 (0.3%)35.34 (-0.7%)  (0%)35.02(-0.54%)34.98-35.3-0.3(-0.4)0 -0.1%-0.1%0%0.08% N/A  Range(0.1%)0521.400Downtrend Reversal 34.9(-0.34%)34.86-35.077.31   -3.4%-5.3% 
 
6Jan_5_201235.25 (0.2%)35.68 (0.7%)35.58 (-0.4%)  (0%)35.21(0.2%)34.91-35.32-0.1(-0.1)0 -0.1%0%0%0.18% Uptrend Consolidation  Range(-0.1%)0591.400Uptrend 35.31(0.28%)35.21-35.3512.11   -2.8%-7.7% 
7Jan_4_201235.25 (0.4%)35.67 (0.9%)35.73 (-0.5%)  (0%)35.14(-0.57%)35.13-35.45-0.2(-0.2)0 -0.1%0.1%0%0.24% Uptrend Consolidation  Range(0.3%)0551.400Uptrend 35.28(0.41%)35.15-35.345.78   -3%-7.6% 
8Jan_3_201235.24 (0.6%)35.6 (1%)35.92 (-0.3%)  (0%)35.34(-1.78%)35.23-36.250.1(0.2)0 -0.1%0.2%0%0.3% Uptrend Consolidation  Higher(1%)0581.400Uptrend 35.53(0.55%)35.33-35.6319.19   -2.5%-8.2% 
9Dec_30_201135.21 (0.7%)35.54 (1.1%)36.01 (0.2%)  (0%)35.98(-0.72%)35.96-36.271.2(1.4)0 %0.2%0%0.32% Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.6%)0611.400After Top 36.07(0.24%)35.59-36.464.09   -0.7%-10.2% 
10Dec_29_201135.16 (0.9%)35.44 (1.2%)35.93 (0.4%)  (0%)36.24(0.78%)35.99-36.241.7(2)0 0.1%0.4%0%0.34% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.5%)0681.300Breakout 36.42(0.5%)36.06-36.573.96   0%-11% 
 
11Dec_28_201135.1 (1.1%)35.28 (1.1%)35.79 (0.5%)  (0%)35.96(-0.36%)35.9-36.231.6(1.8)0 0.1%0.3%0%0.3% Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.6%)0581.200Growing Uptrend 36.15(0.52%)35.81-36.233.15   -0.4%-10.1% 
12Dec_27_201135.02 (1%)35.16 (0.8%)35.6 (1%)  (0%)36.09(0.81%)35.78-36.162(2.3)0 0.2%0.4%0%0.24% Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.6%)0581.100Breakout 36.21(0.32%)35.91-36.333.24   0%-10.5% 
13Dec_23_201134.9 (0.6%)35.01 (0.3%)35.24 (0.7%)  (0%)35.8(0.65%)35.68-35.961.4(1.6)0 0.1%0.3%0%0.12% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.4%)0571.300Growing Uptrend 35.9(0.29%)35.64-35.973.22   0%-9.6% 
14Dec_22_201134.79 (0.4%)34.92 (0.1%)34.99 (0.3%)  (0%)35.57(0.11%)35.47-35.651.3(1.5)0 0.1%0.3%0%0.06% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.4%)0591.300Growing Uptrend 35.61(0.1%)35.44-35.654.09   0%-8.9% 
15Dec_21_201134.68 (0.2%)34.82 (-0.1%)34.88 (0.6%)  (0%)35.53(1.49%)35.05-35.571.3(1.5)0 0.1%0.2%0%0% N/A  Range(0.3%)0531.400Growing Uptrend 35.52(-0.02%)35.38-35.569.67   0%-8.8% 
 
16Dec_20_201134.59 (0.1%)34.82 (-0.3%)34.69 (0.1%)  (0%)35.01(2.13%)34.55-35.050.7(0.7)0 %0%0%-0.06% N/A  Range(0%)0471.400Correction 34.79(-0.62%)34.66-34.956.54   -1.1%-7.2% 
17Dec_19_201134.55 (-0%)34.76 (-0.2%)34.66 (-0.2%)  (0%)34.28(-0.75%)34.22-34.78-0.4(-0.5)0 %-0.2%0%-0.04% N/A  Range(0.2%)0531.400Downtrend 34.25(-0.08%)34.22-34.326.71   -3.2%-5% 
18Dec_16_201134.57 (-0%)34.84 (0.1%)34.74 (-0.3%)  (0%)34.54(-1.4%)34.47-34.92-0.1(-0.1)0 -0.1%-0%0%0.02% N/A  Higher(0.6%)0601.400Range Bound 34.55(0.04%)34.57-34.547.77   -2.4%-5.8% 
19Dec_15_201134.56 (-0%)34.84 (0.4%)34.83 (0.3%)  (0%)35.03(1.21%)34.79-35.140.8(0.8)0 0.1%0%0%0.08% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.1%)0691.400N/A 34.98(-0.13%)34.77-35.169.14   -1%-7.3% 
20Dec_14_201134.54 (-0.1%)34.87 (0.6%)34.74 (-0.3%)  (0%)34.61(-0.63%)34.58-34.970.2(0.1)0 -0.1%-0.1%0%0.12% N/A  Range(0.1%)0681.400N/A 34.64(0.09%)34.53-34.736.11   -2.2%-6% 
 
21Dec_13_201134.54 (-0.1%)34.93 (0.9%)34.83 (-0.2%)  (0%)34.83(0.37%)34.75-35.230.4(0.5)0 %0.1%0%0.2% Uptrend Consolidation  Range(0.1%)0621.400N/A 34.91(0.24%)34.7-35.086.87   -1.6%-6.6% 
22Dec_12_201134.55 (-0%)34.88 (1%)34.89 (-0.2%)  (0%)34.7(-0.86%)34.45-34.950.2(0.3)0 %0.1%0%0.22% Uptrend Consolidation  Range(0.5%)0551.400N/A 34.8(0.3%)34.61-34.9610.14   -2%-6.2% 
23Dec_9_201134.58 (0%)34.8 (0.9%)34.95 (0.1%)  (0%)35(1.27%)34.66-35.080.5(0.7)0 %0.3%0%0.22% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.3%)0531.500N/A 35.09(0.26%)34.82-35.3111.49   -1.1%-7.2% 
24Dec_8_201134.58 (-0%)34.66 (0.7%)34.9 (-0.3%)  (0%)34.56(-1.45%)34.48-35-0.1(-0)0 -0.1%0.2%0%0.18% Uptrend Consolidation  Higher(0.8%)0521.400N/A 34.7(0.41%)34.6-34.786.9   -2.4%-5.8% 
25Dec_7_201134.57 (0%)34.54 (0.7%)35.01 (-0.1%)  (0%)35.07(-0.14%)34.83-35.20.7(0.8)0 %0.3%0%0.16% Uptrend Consolidation  Range(0.4%)0541.400N/A 35.07(0.01%)34.8-35.295.28   -0.9%-7.4% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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