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     Fri. Apr. 1, 2011



Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Dec. 2, 2020)

(Utilities sector ETF)

XLU latest price $32.1200 (0.78%) ($31.9500 - $32.1500) on Fri. Apr. 1, 2011.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Uptrend Reversal
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  XLU advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XLU advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XLU advance at 0.6% a week (73% probability)
  XLP(73%)    SPY(62%)    JNK(55%)    XLY(53%)    IWM(52%)  
Factors Impacting XLU price  XLU will advance at least 0.1% in a week (9% probabilities).
  TLT(-15%)    SIL(-5%)    VUG(-4%)    TAN(-4%)    SMH(-4%)  
Trading Plan  Buy the reversal
 
Valuation to SPY   0.7
 
Relative Volatility   1 (options are expensive)
 
Hourly BBV   0
Hourly Trend   0% [$0(0), $0(0)]
Last Hour Trend   0% [$0, $0]


XLU Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  69%
Bullish Price Move  0.7%
Bearish Probability  31%
Bearish Price Move  -0.7%
Recommended Position Size  54%
Latest Price  $32.1200
Next Hour Price  $32.12(0%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $32.3(0.56%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $32.15 - $32.4
Support Level  $31.7
5 Day Moving Average  $31.76(1.13%)
10 Day Moving Average  $31.56(1.77%)
20 Day Moving Average  $31.7(1.32%)
To recent high  -2.1%
To recent low  4%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 


  
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.74% (three month std-dev: 0.68%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. XLU price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20110501

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Apr_1_2011-2.1%-4% -0.2%,-0.1(0.1)0.8%,0.5(0.4)0.4%,0.300%-0.4%0.8002.6NAN%06.18   32.12(0.78%)31.95-32.15Uptrend Reversal 32.3(0.56%)32.15-32.447
2Mar_31_2011-2.9%-3.2% -0.3%,-0.1(0)0.1%,0.1(0.3)0.3%,0.200%-0.8%0.3002.6NAN%05.5   31.87(-0.25%)31.8-31.97Rebound 31.8(-0.22%)31.9-31.7637
3Mar_30_2011-2.7%-3.5% -0.3%,-0.1(0.1)-0.5%,-0.3(0.4)0.4%,0.200%-1.1%0.4002.6NAN%05.6   31.95(1.14%)31.67-32.07N/A 31.82(-0.4%)31.82-31.8239
4Mar_29_2011-3.7%-2.3% -0.4%,-0.2(0)-1.3%,-0.7(0.2)0.2%,0.100%-1.4%-0.2002.6NAN%05.44   31.59(0.99%)31.21-31.62Downtrend Consolidation 31.47(-0.39%)31.64-31.4128
5Mar_28_2011-4.7%-1.3% -0.4%,-0.2(-0)-1.7%,-0.9(0)0%,000%-1.5%-0.8002.7NAN%04.59   31.28(-0.35%)31.28-31.58Downtrend 31.01(-0.85%)30.87-31.3631
 
6Mar_25_2011-4.4%-1.7% -0.4%,-0.2(0.1)-1.7%,-1(0)0.3%,0.200%-1.4%-0.7002.7NAN%03.41   31.39(-0.03%)31.36-31.53Downtrend 31.15(-0.77%)31.01-31.4740
7Mar_24_2011-4.3%-1.7% -0.5%,-0.3(0.1)-1.8%,-1.1(0.1)0.3%,0.200%-1.2%-0.7002.6NAN%06.2   31.4(0.42%)31.19-31.48Downtrend 31.14(-0.82%)31-31.4842
8Mar_23_2011-4.7%-1.3% -0.6%,-0.3(0)-1.9%,-1.1(-0.1)0.2%,0.100%-0.9%-0.9002.6NAN%05.62   31.27(-0.06%)31.08-31.34Downtrend 30.98(-0.92%)30.82-31.3638
9Mar_22_2011-4.7%-1.3% -0.7%,-0.4(-0)-1.7%,-1.1(-0.1)-0.1%,-0.100%-0.5%-1002.5NAN%07.27   31.29(0.16%)31.16-31.44Growing Downtrend 31.05(-0.77%)30.86-31.3944
10Mar_21_2011-4.8%-1.2% -0.6%,-0.4(-0.1)-1.5%,-0.9(-0.2)-0.5%,-0.300%-0.2%-1.1002.5NAN%05.09   31.24(1.17%)31.09-31.34Growing Downtrend 31.02(-0.72%)30.83-31.3445
 
11Mar_18_2011-5.9%-0-0.5%,-0.3(-0.2)-1.2%,-0.8(-0.4)-1%,-0.700%-0.1%-1.9002.5NAN%09.1   30.88(-0.48%)30.75-31.15Growing Downtrend 30.68(-0.66%)30.48-31.0536
12Mar_17_2011-5.5%-0.1-0.3%,-0.2(-0.2)-0.6%,-0.4(-0.5)-0.9%,-0.600%0.1%-2002.2NAN%012.03   31.03(0.13%)30.79-31.3Downtrend 30.94(-0.29%)30.83-31.1944
13Mar_16_2011-5.6%-0-0%,-0(-0.2)0%,0(-0.5)-1.1%,-0.900%0.4%-2.5002NAN%015.34   30.99(-1.56%)30.74-31.51N/A 31.24(0.8%)30.9-31.5146
14Mar_15_2011-4.1%-1.3% 0.3%,0.2(-0.1)0.7%,0.7(-0.4)-0.6%,-0.600%0.6%-1.6001.7NAN%014.26   31.48(-1.9%)31.37-31.65Uptrend Dip 31.65(0.55%)31.68-31.6550
15Mar_14_2011-2.2%-3.2% 0.4%,0.4(-0)1.1%,1.1(-0.1)-0%,-000%0.7%0.2001.7NAN%018.97   32.09(-1.32%)31.87-32.2Uptrend 32.21(0.37%)32.07-32.2756
 
16Mar_11_2011-0.9%-4.6% 0.5%,0.5(0.1)1.2%,1.2(0.2)0.3%,0.300%0.7%1.5001.8NAN%05.03   32.52(0.22%)32.34-32.64Growing Uptrend 32.68(0.5%)32.43-32.7560
17Mar_10_2011-1.1%-4.4% 0.4%,0.4(0)1%,1.1(0.1)0.2%,0.200%0.5%1.5001.7NAN%010.86   32.45(-1.13%)32.43-32.71Growing Uptrend 32.58(0.39%)32.36-32.6360
18Mar_9_20110%-5.9% 0.4%,0.4(0.2)0.9%,1(0.4)0.6%,0.700%0.3%3001.7NAN%013.11   32.82(1.02%)32.45-32.89Breakout 32.9(0.25%)32.65-33.0167
19Mar_8_20110%-5.2% 0.2%,0.3(0.1)0.5%,0.8(0.4)0.4%,0.700%0.1%2.8001.2NAN%06.72   32.49(1.12%)32.13-32.56Breakout 32.51(0.05%)32.38-32.5661
20Mar_7_2011-0.2%-4.1% 0.1%,0.2(-0)0.3%,0.5(0.1)0%,000%-0%1.4001NAN%010.81   32.13(0.37%)32.05-32.38Uptrend 32.13(0.01%)32.09-32.1558
 
21Mar_4_2011-0.6%-3.7% 0.1%,0.2(0.1)0.2%,0.5(0.3)0.2%,0.300%-0.1%0.8000.9NAN%07.34   32.01(-0.59%)31.77-32.23Uptrend 32.02(0.04%)31.99-32.0449
22Mar_3_20110%-4.3% 0.1%,0.1(0.3)0.1%,0.2(0.6)0.4%,0.800%-0.1%2.1000.9NAN%05.78   32.2(1.13%)31.99-32.26Uptrend 32.2(-0.01%)32.14-32.2251
23Mar_2_2011-0.9%-3.1% -0.1%,-0.1(0.1)-0.2%,-0.4(0.2)0.1%,0.200%-0.2%-0.2000.8NAN%05.76   31.84(0.16%)31.72-31.93Downtrend Consolidation 31.84(-0.01%)31.85-31.8345
24Mar_1_2011-1.1%-3% -0.1%,-0.2(0.1)-0.3%,-0.6(0.2)0%,0.100%-0.2%-0.6000.9NAN%012.15   31.79(-1%)31.78-32.24Downtrend Consolidation 31.79(-0.01%)31.82-31.7844
25Feb_28_2011-0.1%-4.4% -0.2%,-0.3(0.2)-0.4%,-0.8(0)0.1%,0.300%-0.2%1.6000.9NAN%012.31   32.11(1.1%)31.8-32.23Downtrend 32.08(-0.1%)32.08-32.0651
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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