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     Fri. Sep. 3, 2010



Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 4, 2020)

(Utilities sector ETF)

XLU latest price $31.6200 (0.44%) ($31.3500 - $31.6400) on Fri. Sep. 3, 2010.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Breakout
Complacency  0
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  XLU advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XLU advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XLU advance at 0.3% a week (73% probability)
  XLP(73%)    SPY(63%)    JNK(55%)    XLY(54%)    XLK(53%)  
Factors Impacting XLU price  XLU will decline at least -0.1% in a week (10% probabilities).
  TLT(-16%)    IDRV(-8%)    VCSH(-6%)    VCIT(-5%)    XLC(-4%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Buy the breakout
 
Valuation to SPY   2.3
 
Relative Volatility   -0 (options are faily valued)
 
Hourly BBV   0
Hourly Trend   0% [$0(0), $0(0)]
Last Hour Trend   0% [$0, $0]


XLU Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  67%
Bullish Price Move  1.2%
Bearish Probability  33%
Bearish Price Move  -1.2%
Recommended Position Size  28%
Latest Price  $31.6200
Next Hour Price  $31.62(0%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $31.64(0.05%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $31.47 - $31.71
Support Level  $30.89
5 Day Moving Average  $31.21(1.31%)
10 Day Moving Average  $31(2%)
20 Day Moving Average  $30.89(2.36%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  12.4%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 


  
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.1% (three month std-dev: 1.17%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. XLU price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20101003

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDCVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Sep_3_20100%-12.4% 0.3%,0.2(-0)0.9%,0.8(0.2)0.3%,0.300%0.4%2.1000.9NAN%005.36   31.62(0.44%)31.35-31.64Breakout 31.64(0.05%)31.47-31.7162
2Sep_2_20100%-11.9% 0.3%,0.3(0.1)0.7%,0.7(0.4)0.6%,0.600%0.1%2.1000.8NAN%006.01   31.48(0%)31.21-31.56Breakout 31.5(0.05%)31.36-31.5661
3Sep_1_20100%-12.1% 0.2%,0.2(0.2)0.3%,0.4(0.3)0.5%,0.600%-0.1%2.4000.7NAN%008.26   31.48(2.17%)30.95-31.53Uptrend 31.47(-0.03%)31.35-31.5262
4Aug_31_2010-1.5%-9.7% 0%,0(0.1)0.1%,0.1(0.2)0.1%,0.100%-0.3%0.1000.6NAN%008.94   30.81(0.46%)30.4-30.94Rebound 30.8(-0.04%)30.82-30.7953
5Aug_30_2010-2%-9.2% -0%,-0.1(-0.1)-0%,-0(0.2)0%,000%-0.2%-0.5000.6NAN%008.39   30.67(-1.51%)30.67-31.14Rebound 30.73(0.21%)30.67-30.7640
 
6Aug_27_2010-0.4%-10.9% 0%,0(0.2)-0.1%,-0.2(0.4)0.5%,0.600%-0.3%1.4000.6NAN%009.93   31.14(1.9%)30.43-31.15N/A 31.05(-0.29%)30.94-31.1449
7Aug_26_2010-2.3%-8.8% -0.1%,-0.2(0)-0.5%,-0.6(0.2)0.1%,0.100%-0.3%-0.9000.6NAN%006.86   30.56(-0.46%)30.47-30.8Downtrend Consolidation 30.57(0.03%)30.64-30.5442
8Aug_25_2010-1.9%-9.3% -0.2%,-0.2(-0.2)-0.6%,-0.8(0.1)-0.1%,-0.100%-0.3%-0.3000.6NAN%0010.71   30.7(-0.07%)30.35-30.77Downtrend 30.68(-0.07%)30.66-30.7145
9Aug_24_2010-1.8%-9.4% 0%,0(-0.2)-0.7%,-0.9(-0.3)-0.2%,-0.200%-0.4%-0.2000.7NAN%0013.74   30.72(0.16%)30.36-30.93Correction 30.55(-0.54%)30.52-30.6844
10Aug_23_2010-2%-9.2% 0.2%,0.2(-0.1)-0.5%,-0.6(-0)-0%,-000%-0.3%-0.5000.7NAN%005.51   30.67(0.66%)30.54-30.91Correction 30.53(-0.47%)30.5-30.6547
 
11Aug_20_2010-2.6%-8.5% 0.3%,0.3(-0.2)-0.5%,-0.5(-0.3)-0.1%,-0.200%-0.2%-1.3000.7NAN%008.12   30.47(0.26%)30.15-30.53Correction 30.35(-0.41%)30.32-30.4640
12Aug_19_2010-2.8%-8.2% 0.4%,0.5(-0.1)-0.2%,-0.2(-0.2)-0.1%,-0.200%0%-1.6000.7NAN%0010.09   30.39(-1.43%)30.21-30.76Correction 30.29(-0.34%)30.26-30.3953
13Aug_18_2010-1.4%-9.8% 0.5%,0.5(0)-0%,-0(0.1)0.1%,0.100%0.2%0000.8NAN%0020.51   30.83(-0.55%)30.6-31.05N/A 30.84(0.04%)30.83-30.8557
14Aug_17_2010-0.9%-10.4% 0.5%,0.5(-0.1)-0.1%,-0.1(-0)-0.2%,-0.200%0.4%0.7000.8NAN%006.97   31(0.98%)30.78-31.18Correction 30.9(-0.31%)30.81-31.0249
15Aug_16_2010-1.9%-9.3% 0.6%,0.5(-0.1)-0.1%,-0.1(-0.2)-0.3%,-0.200%0.4%-0.2000.9NAN%008.45   30.7(0%)30.33-30.78Correction 30.6(-0.33%)30.57-30.7242
 
16Aug_13_2010-1.9%-9.3% 0.7%,0.5(-0)0.2%,0.1(-0.1)-0.2%,-0.100%0.6%-0001NAN%005.89   30.7(0.36%)30.48-30.9Uptrend 30.73(0.09%)30.7-30.7451
17Aug_12_2010-2.2%-8.9% 0.8%,0.6(-0.1)0.2%,0.2(-0.1)-0.2%,-0.200%0.7%-0.2001.1NAN%006.47   30.59(-0.2%)30.31-30.69Uptrend 30.62(0.1%)30.6-30.6353
18Aug_11_2010-2%-9.1% 0.9%,0.7(-0.1)0.4%,0.3(-0.3)-0.2%,-0.200%0.7%-0001.1NAN%009.51   30.65(-2.01%)30.64-30.94Uptrend Consolidation 30.66(0.04%)30.65-30.6955
19Aug_10_20100%-11.4% 1.1%,0.7(-0.1)0.8%,0.6(-0.1)0.3%,0.200%0.9%1.4001.2NAN%009.23   31.28(0.58%)30.81-31.45Uptrend 31.34(0.19%)31.15-31.4271
20Aug_9_2010-0.2%-10.7% 1.2%,0.9(-0.2)0.9%,0.6(-0.1)0.1%,000%1%1.2001.1NAN%004.7   31.1(0.35%)31.03-31.24Uptrend 31.16(0.19%)30.99-31.2359
 
21Aug_6_2010-0.5%-10.3% 1.5%,1(-0.1)1.1%,0.7(-0)0.4%,0.300%1.1%1.1001.1NAN%006.33   30.99(0.19%)30.55-31Uptrend 31.09(0.31%)30.89-31.1762
22Aug_5_2010-0.7%-10.1% 1.7%,1.1(-0.1)1.1%,0.7(0)0.3%,0.200%1.1%1001.1NAN%003.67   30.93(-0.16%)30.66-30.95Uptrend 31.04(0.34%)30.83-31.1266
23Aug_4_2010-0.5%-10.3% 1.8%,1.1(-0.1)1%,0.6(-0)-0%,-000%1.2%1.2001.2NAN%005.13   30.98(0.42%)30.66-30.98Uptrend 31.09(0.34%)30.85-31.1858
24Aug_3_2010-1%-9.8% 2%,1(0)1.1%,0.5(-0.1)-0.2%,-0.100%1.2%0.9001.5NAN%004.25   30.85(-0.48%)30.81-31.12Uptrend 30.99(0.46%)30.74-31.159
25Aug_2_2010-0.5%-10.4% 2%,1(0.1)1.3%,0.6(0)0.2%,0.100%1.4%1.3001.5NAN%007.63   31(2.07%)30.64-31Uptrend 31.15(0.48%)30.84-31.2861
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDCVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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