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     Fri. Aug. 27, 2010

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)

XLU latest price $31.1400 (1.9%) ($30.4300 - $31.1500) on Fri. Aug. 27, 2010.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.2% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $31.1400(1.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  XLU advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XLU declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  XLP(71%)    SPY(58%)    JNK(50%)    XLK(48%)    XLY(48%)  
Factors Impacting XLU price  XLU will decline at least -0.6% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-6%)    TIP(7%)    IGOV(9%)    SHY(11%)    GLD(13%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.6% (StdDev 1.2%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   1.9%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $30.76(1.24%)
10 Day Moving Average  $30.72(1.37%)
20 Day Moving Average  $30.81(1.07%)
To recent high  -0.4%
To recent low  10.9%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. XLU price fluctuates within 0.78% (three month std-dev: 1.2%) daily (68% of days).

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