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     Wed. Jun. 9, 2010



Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Dec. 3, 2020)

(Utilities sector ETF)

XLU latest price $28.5000 (-0.56%) ($28.4200 - $28.8700) on Wed. Jun. 9, 2010.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Rebound
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  XLU declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XLU declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XLU decline at-0.2% a week (73% probability)
  XLP(73%)    SPY(64%)    JNK(55%)    XLY(55%)    IWM(53%)  
Factors Impacting XLU price  XLU will advance at least 0% in a week (11% probabilities).
  TLT(-17%)    VIXM(-6%)    GBTC(-6%)    EDOC(-6%)    FEX(-5%)  
Trading Plan  Buy the rebound
 
Valuation to SPY   1.6
 
Relative Volatility   0.6 (options are expensive)
 
Hourly BBV   0
Hourly Trend   0% [$0(0), $0(0)]
Last Hour Trend   0% [$0, $0]


XLU Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  75%
Bullish Price Move  1.1%
Bearish Probability  25%
Bearish Price Move  -1.1%
Recommended Position Size  45%
Latest Price  $28.5000
Next Hour Price  $28.5(0%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $28.65(0.54%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $28.36 - $28.78
Resistance Level  $28.87
5 Day Moving Average  $28.51(-0.04%)
10 Day Moving Average  $28.5(0%)
20 Day Moving Average  $28.87(-1.28%)
To recent high  -7.6%
To recent low  1.5%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 


  
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. XLU price fluctuates within 2.46% (three month std-dev: 1.13%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. XLU price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20100709

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Jun_9_2010-7.6%-1.5% -1%,-0.4(0)-0.1%,-0.1(0.2)-0.1%,-0.100%-1.3%-0.5002.2NAN%06.17   28.5(-0.56%)28.42-28.87Rebound 28.65(0.54%)28.36-28.7841
2Jun_8_2010-7%-2% -1%,-0.4(0.1)-0.5%,-0.2(0.3)0.4%,0.200%-1.6%-0.4002.3NAN%011.03   28.66(1.31%)28.17-28.72Rebound 28.82(0.57%)28.51-28.9639
3Jun_7_2010-8.2%-0.7-1.3%,-0.5(0)-1.3%,-0.5(0.1)-0.4%,-0.100%-2%-0.9002.4NAN%07.61   28.29(0.6%)28.12-28.68Downtrend 28.06(-0.8%)27.91-28.4233
4Jun_4_2010-8.8%-0.1-1.4%,-0.5(0)-1.5%,-0.6(0.1)-0.4%,-0.200%-2%-1.2002.3NAN%08.89   28.12(-2.97%)28.03-28.7Downtrend 27.89(-0.83%)27.72-28.2931
5Jun_3_2010-6%-3.2% -1.5%,-0.6(0.1)-1.8%,-0.7(0.3)0.6%,0.200%-2%-0.2002.3NAN%06.99   28.98(1.05%)28.72-29.01Downtrend Consolidation 28.78(-0.68%)29.05-28.6934
 
6Jun_2_2010-7%-2.1% -1.6%,-0.6(0)-2.5%,-1(0.1)0.4%,0.100%-2.2%-0.7002.4NAN%06.13   28.68(2.1%)28.09-28.71Downtrend 28.3(-1.32%)28.09-28.7929
7Jun_1_2010-8.9%-0-1.7%,-0.6(-0)-2.8%,-1.1(-0)-0.2%,-0.100%-2.1%-1.5002.6NAN%010.81   28.09(-2.33%)28.07-28.7Downtrend 27.66(-1.53%)27.38-28.3125
8May_28_2010-6.7%-2% -1.6%,-0.6(0)-2.8%,-1(-0.1)0.1%,000%-1.9%-0.8002.8NAN%07.33   28.76(0.1%)28.65-29.02Downtrend 28.3(-1.59%)28.05-28.931
9May_27_2010-6.8%-1.9% -1.7%,-0.6(0)-2.6%,-1(-0.1)0.2%,0.100%-1.9%-0.9002.7NAN%05.42   28.73(1.92%)28.39-28.75Downtrend 28.27(-1.59%)28.02-28.8748
10May_26_2010-8.6%-0-1.7%,-0.6(-0.1)-2.5%,-0.9(-0.2)-0.8%,-0.300%-1.7%-1.7002.8NAN%07.57   28.19(-0.04%)28.05-28.53Bottom 28.33(0.51%)27.81-28.6939
 
11May_25_2010-8.5%-0-1.5%,-0.6(-0.1)-2%,-0.8(-0.2)-1%,-0.400%-1.3%-2002.5NAN%013.53   28.2(-0.53%)27.44-28.22Growing Downtrend 27.89(-1.09%)27.6-28.4631
12May_24_2010-8%-0-1.3%,-0.6(-0.2)-1.6%,-0.7(-0.1)-1.1%,-0.500%-1%-2.1002.3NAN%06.8   28.35(-0.94%)28.34-28.82Growing Downtrend 28.13(-0.78%)27.9-28.6131
13May_21_2010-7.2%-0.5-0.9%,-0.5(-0.2)-1.3%,-0.6(-0)-0.9%,-0.400%-0.8%-2002.1NAN%09.88   28.62(0.46%)28-28.65Downtrend 28.46(-0.56%)28.3-28.8429
14May_20_2010-7.6%-0-0.6%,-0.3(-0.2)-1.2%,-0.7(-0.2)-1.1%,-0.600%-0.9%-2.7001.9NAN%011.23   28.49(-3%)28.45-29.01Growing Downtrend 28.39(-0.36%)28.23-28.7533
15May_19_2010-4.7%-0.9-0.2%,-0.2(-0.1)-0.9%,-0.6(-0.2)-0.6%,-0.400%-0.9%-1.6001.6NAN%08.55   29.37(-1.01%)29.17-29.66Growing Downtrend 29.31(-0.21%)29.22-29.540
 
16May_18_2010-3.8%-2% -0.1%,-0(-0.1)-0.6%,-0.5(-0.2)-0.3%,-0.200%-0.8%-1.1001.4NAN%07.79   29.67(-0.97%)29.62-30.21Downtrend 29.64(-0.1%)29.59-29.7643
17May_17_2010-2.8%-3% 0%,0(0)-0.4%,-0.3(-0.1)-0%,-000%-0.7%-0.5001.4NAN%08.48   29.96(0.1%)29.5-30.1Correction 29.74(-0.75%)29.69-29.9251
18May_14_2010-2.9%-2.9% -0%,-0(0.2)-0.3%,-0.2(0.3)0.6%,0.400%-0.5%-0.5001.4NAN%07.54   29.93(-0.83%)29.78-30.23N/A 30(0.22%)29.9-30.0844
19May_13_2010-2.1%-3.7% -0.3%,-0.2(0.1)-0.7%,-0.5(0.3)0.6%,0.500%-0.3%0.1001.4NAN%07.05   30.18(-0.43%)30.14-30.59Downtrend Consolidation 30.15(-0.1%)30.18-30.1445
20May_12_2010-1.7%-5.2% -0.4%,-0.3(0)-1%,-0.8(0.1)0.2%,0.100%-0.3%0.4001.4NAN%05.23   30.31(0.83%)29.97-30.4Downtrend 30.22(-0.3%)30.19-30.2849
 
21May_11_2010-2.5%-4.3% -0.5%,-0.3(0)-1.1%,-0.9(0)-0.2%,-0.100%-0.3%-0.2001.4NAN%07.23   30.06(0.2%)29.72-30.38Downtrend 29.95(-0.35%)29.9-30.0748
22May_10_2010-2.7%-4.3% -0.5%,-0.4(-0.1)-1.1%,-0.9(-0.4)-0.6%,-0.400%-0.3%-0.3001.4NAN%09.51   30(3.09%)29.63-30.19Growing Downtrend 29.9(-0.34%)29.83-30.0248
23May_7_2010-5.6%-1.8% -0.3%,-0.2(-0.2)-0.7%,-0.5(-0.6)-0.9%,-0.700%-0.2%-2.7001.5NAN%017.67   29.1(-0.55%)28.68-29.61Growing Downtrend 29.06(-0.14%)28.97-29.343
24May_6_2010-5.1%-2.3% -0%,-0(-0.2)0.1%,0(-0.4)-0.7%,-0.700%0.1%-3.1001.2NAN%018.17   29.26(-2.76%)25.76-30.08N/A 29.55(0.98%)29.24-29.846
25May_5_2010-2.4%-5.2% 0.2%,0.3(-0.1)0.5%,0.7(-0.1)-0.1%,-0.200%0.4%-0.7001NAN%09.19   30.09(-0.69%)29.95-30.47Uptrend Dip 30.18(0.3%)30.08-30.250
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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