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     Fri. Jul. 31, 2009



Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 4, 2020)

(Utilities sector ETF)

XLU latest price $28.9400 (-1.26%) ($28.9200 - $29.3700) on Fri. Jul. 31, 2009.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Uptrend Consolidation
Complacency  0
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  XLU declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XLU advances 2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XLU advance at 1.1% a week (73% probability)
  XLP(73%)    SPY(64%)    XLY(56%)    IWM(54%)    VGK(54%)  
Factors Impacting XLU price  XLU will advance at least 0.1% in a week (34% probabilities).
  EDOC(-47%)    TLT(-18%)    IDRV(-4%)    XLV(-3%)    XLRE(-3%)  
Explanation   The decline is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   2.2
 
Relative Volatility   1.9 (options are extremely expensive)
 
Hourly BBV   0
Hourly Trend   0% [$0(0), $0(0)]
Last Hour Trend   0% [$0, $0]


XLU Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  70%
Bullish Price Move  1.4%
Bearish Probability  30%
Bearish Price Move  -1.4%
Recommended Position Size  29%
Latest Price  $28.9400
Next Hour Price  $28.94(0%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $28.78(-0.57%)
1 - 5 Day Possible Target  $30.48(5.32%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $28.63 - $29.2
Support Level  $28.25
5 Day Moving Average  $29.12(-0.62%)
10 Day Moving Average  $28.95(-0.03%)
20 Day Moving Average  $28.25(2.44%)
To recent high  -2.1%
To recent low  13%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 


  
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. XLU price fluctuates within 3.04% (three month std-dev: 1.43%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. XLU price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20090831

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDCVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Jul_31_2009-2.1%-13% 1.2%,0.4(-0)2.2%,0.7(-0.2)-0.4%,-0.100%2.5%0.8002.1NAN%005.34   28.94(-1.26%)28.92-29.37Uptrend Consolidation 28.78(-0.57%)28.63-29.271
2Jul_30_2009-0.8%-14.4% 1.3%,0.4(-0)2.8%,0.9(-0.1)0.1%,000%2.4%1.3002.1NAN%006.45   29.31(1.52%)28.99-29.47Uptrend 29.65(1.16%)29.09-29.8980
3Jul_29_2009-2.3%-12.7% 1.4%,0.5(-0)3.2%,1.1(-0.1)0.4%,0.100%2.3%0.9002NAN%005.32   28.87(-0.48%)28.53-29.08Uptrend 29.27(1.38%)28.72-29.577
4Jul_28_2009-1.9%-13.2% 1.4%,0.5(-0)3.5%,1.2(-0)0.3%,0.100%2.2%1.2002NAN%004.71   29.01(-1.63%)28.77-29.5Uptrend 29.42(1.4%)28.82-29.6780
5Jul_27_2009-0.2%-15.5% 1.5%,0.5(0.1)3.6%,1.3(0.2)0.9%,0.300%1.9%1.9001.9NAN%003.18   29.49(-0.24%)29.28-29.56Growing Uptrend 29.98(1.66%)29.19-30.1885
 
6Jul_24_20090%-16.6% 1.3%,0.5(0.1)3.1%,1.2(0.3)1.1%,0.400%1.5%2.4001.7NAN%005.26   29.56(1.58%)28.91-29.56Breakout 29.84(0.96%)29.23-30.1172
7Jul_23_20090%-14.7% 0.9%,0.4(0.1)2.4%,1.1(0.4)0.7%,0.300%0.9%2.2001.5NAN%007.79   29.1(2.61%)28.34-29.22Breakout 29.25(0.53%)28.85-29.4371
8Jul_22_2009-0.5%-12.1% 0.7%,0.4(0)1.6%,0.9(0.2)0.1%,0.100%0.5%1.3001.3NAN%005.89   28.36(-0.53%)28.25-28.61Growing Uptrend 28.48(0.41%)28.23-28.5449
9Jul_21_20090%-12.6% 0.6%,0.4(0.1)1.2%,0.7(0.4)0.6%,0.400%0.1%1.7001.3NAN%006.78   28.51(0.99%)28.22-28.55Growing Uptrend 28.62(0.38%)28.35-28.6956
10Jul_20_2009-0.1%-11.5% 0.4%,0.3(0.2)0.5%,0.3(0.2)0.6%,0.400%-0.1%1.4001.2NAN%004.4   28.23(0.75%)27.84-28.25Uptrend 28.26(0.09%)28.1-28.3250
 
11Jul_17_2009-0.8%-10.7% 0.1%,0.1(0.1)0.1%,0.1(0.4)0.8%,0.500%-0.3%1001.1NAN%003.8   28.02(-0.46%)27.77-28.29N/A 27.95(-0.24%)27.79-28.0953
12Jul_16_2009-0.4%-11.2% -0%,-0(0.1)-0.5%,-0.3(0.1)0.9%,0.600%-0.5%1.3001.1NAN%004.38   28.15(0.04%)27.75-28.28Downtrend 28.12(-0.12%)28.15-28.0452
13Jul_15_2009-0.4%-11.2% -0.3%,-0.2(0.1)-0.7%,-0.5(0.2)0.9%,0.600%-0.4%1.5001.1NAN%007.63   28.14(1.99%)27.66-28.15Downtrend 28.08(-0.23%)28.1-28.0258
14Jul_14_2009-2.3%-9% -0.4%,-0.3(0)-0.9%,-0.7(0)0.4%,0.300%-0.4%0.2001NAN%005.79   27.59(0.77%)27.22-27.6Downtrend 27.53(-0.21%)27.51-27.5856
15Jul_13_2009-3.1%-8.2% -0.4%,-0.3(-0.1)-1%,-0.7(-0.1)-0.2%,-0.100%-0.3%-0.3001NAN%006.29   27.38(1.75%)26.75-27.42Growing Downtrend 27.33(-0.2%)27.28-27.451
 
16Jul_10_2009-4.7%-6.3% -0.2%,-0.1(-0.2)-0.8%,-0.5(-0.1)-0.4%,-0.200%-0.3%-1.5001.1NAN%006.62   26.91(-0.11%)26.7-27.05Downtrend 26.89(-0.07%)26.83-27.0344
17Jul_9_2009-4.6%-6.4% 0%,0(-0.2)-0.7%,-0.5(-0.3)-1%,-0.700%-0.1%-1.6001NAN%006.34   26.94(0.04%)26.7-27.23Correction 26.65(-1.07%)26.6-26.8637
18Jul_8_2009-4.7%-6.4% 0.4%,0.3(-0.1)-0.2%,-0.1(-0.2)-0.7%,-0.500%0%-1.8001NAN%008.78   26.93(-0.44%)26.72-27.38Correction 26.75(-0.66%)26.71-26.9146
19Jul_7_2009-4.2%-6.9% 0.5%,0.4(-0.1)0.1%,0.1(-0.3)-0.8%,-0.600%0.1%-1.5001NAN%008.57   27.05(-1.99%)27-27.71Uptrend Consolidation 27.2(0.55%)27.25-27.0548
20Jul_6_2009-2.3%-9% 0.6%,0.4(-0.1)0.5%,0.3(0.1)-0.1%,-0.100%0.3%-0001NAN%006.64   27.6(0.58%)27.13-27.7Growing Uptrend 27.65(0.17%)27.6-27.6650
 
21Jul_2_2009-2.9%-8.4% 0.7%,0.5(-0.1)0.3%,0.2(-0.2)-0.3%,-0.200%0.3%-0.4001.1NAN%009.47   27.44(-2.87%)27.41-28.25Uptrend 27.48(0.13%)27.47-27.4843
22Jul_1_20090%-11.6% 0.9%,0.6(0)0.6%,0.4(0.2)0.6%,0.400%0.6%1.6001.2NAN%007.76   28.25(1.29%)27.85-28.35Growing Uptrend 28.31(0.22%)28.12-28.3654
23Jun_30_2009-1%-10.3% 0.8%,0.6(0)0.3%,0.2(0.1)0.5%,0.400%0.5%0.9001.1NAN%006.62   27.89(-0.75%)27.57-28.37Uptrend 27.93(0.13%)27.82-27.9757
24Jun_29_2009-0.3%-11.1% 0.8%,0.6(-0.1)0.2%,0.1(0)0.5%,0.400%0.5%1.6001.1NAN%004.48   28.1(1.3%)27.68-28.13Uptrend 28.11(0.02%)27.98-28.1663
25Jun_26_2009-1.6%-9.7% 1%,0.7(-0.1)0.1%,0.1(-0.2)0.2%,0.100%0.4%0.7001.1NAN%003.34   27.74(-0.36%)27.58-27.99N/A 27.72(-0.06%)27.59-27.8360
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDCVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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